默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Frisch Auf Göppingen v THW Kiel

开赛时间: 2026-02-21 18:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

25 家博彩公司 (7 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Frisch Auf Göppingen (主队)

预测 18.27%5.47公平赔率
EV +5.95%
优势 +1.03%
Kelly +1.24%
增长率 +0.074%

假设最高赔率为 5.80

博彩公司预测分布
15.93%18.16%18.44%20.34%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.255.235.005.8023.53%19.11%20.00%17.24%最小值均值中位数最大值

THW Kiel (客队)

预测 73.28%1.36公平赔率
EV -7.67%
优势 -6.09%
Kelly -29.50%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.26

博彩公司预测分布
71.31%73.42%73.14%76.37%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.211.231.221.2682.64%81.59%81.97%79.37%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 8.45%11.83公平赔率
EV +1.46%
优势 +0.122%
Kelly +0.133%
增长率 +0.002%

假设最高赔率为 12.00

博彩公司预测分布
7.69%8.42%8.42%8.93%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
10.0011.2311.0012.0010.00%8.90%9.09%8.33%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Frisch Auf Göppingen (主队):18.27%;THW Kiel (客队):73.28%;平局:8.45%。 对于“Frisch Auf Göppingen (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.47。 当时有10家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为5.80,对应+5.95%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (25 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
LiveScore Bet🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.93%EV +5.95%E +1.03%K +1.24%G +0.074%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.37%EV -11.33%E -9.37%K -53.97%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.70%EV +1.46%E +0.122%K +0.133%G +0.002%8.2%2026-02-21 15:05
Grosvenor🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.93%EV +5.95%E +1.03%K +1.24%G +0.074%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.37%EV -11.33%E -9.37%K -53.97%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.70%EV +1.46%E +0.122%K +0.133%G +0.002%8.2%2026-02-21 15:05
Casumo🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.93%EV +5.95%E +1.03%K +1.24%G +0.074%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.37%EV -11.33%E -9.37%K -53.97%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.70%EV +1.46%E +0.122%K +0.133%G +0.002%8.2%2026-02-21 15:05
Virgin Bet🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.93%EV +5.95%E +1.03%K +1.24%G +0.074%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.37%EV -11.33%E -9.37%K -53.97%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.70%EV +1.46%E +0.122%K +0.133%G +0.002%8.2%2026-02-21 15:04
Unibet (NL)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.93%EV +5.95%E +1.03%K +1.24%G +0.074%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.37%EV -11.33%E -9.37%K -53.97%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.70%EV +1.46%E +0.122%K +0.133%G +0.002%8.2%2026-02-21 15:05
LeoVegas🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.93%EV +5.95%E +1.03%K +1.24%G +0.074%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.37%EV -11.33%E -9.37%K -53.97%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.70%EV +1.46%E +0.122%K +0.133%G +0.002%8.2%2026-02-21 15:05
Unibet🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.93%EV +5.95%E +1.03%K +1.24%G +0.074%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.37%EV -11.33%E -9.37%K -53.97%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.70%EV +1.46%E +0.122%K +0.133%G +0.002%8.2%2026-02-21 15:04
Svenska Spel🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.93%EV +5.95%E +1.03%K +1.24%G +0.074%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.37%EV -11.33%E -9.37%K -53.97%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.70%EV +1.46%E +0.122%K +0.133%G +0.002%8.2%2026-02-21 15:05
ATG (SE)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.93%EV +5.95%E +1.03%K +1.24%G +0.074%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.37%EV -11.33%E -9.37%K -53.97%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.70%EV +1.46%E +0.122%K +0.133%G +0.002%8.2%2026-02-21 15:05
Coolbet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.85%EV +0.473%E +0.086%K +0.105%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.73%EV -9.14%E -7.37%K -38.07%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.42%EV -7.00%E -0.636%K -0.700%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 17:54
Tipico (DE)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -5.01%E -0.963%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.56%EV -8.40%E -6.72%K -33.61%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.76%EV -11.22%E -1.07%K -1.18%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-20 08:10
Winamax (DE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.66%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.69%EV -7.67%E -6.09%K -29.50%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.74%EV +1.46%E +0.122%K +0.133%G +0.002%7.7%2026-02-20 08:05
Unibet (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -8.66%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.85%EV -8.40%E -6.72%K -33.61%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.69%EV +1.46%E +0.122%K +0.133%G +0.002%8.3%2026-02-20 05:35
Paddy Power🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -8.66%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 73.81%EV -10.60%E -8.69%K -48.19%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.19%EV -7.00%E -0.636%K -0.700%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-20 05:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -8.66%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 73.81%EV -10.60%E -8.69%K -48.19%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.19%EV -7.00%E -0.636%K -0.700%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-21 12:25
Coral🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -8.66%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 73.81%EV -10.60%E -8.69%K -48.19%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.19%EV -7.00%E -0.636%K -0.700%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-21 12:25
888sport🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.86%EV -8.66%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 73.21%EV -10.60%E -8.69%K -48.19%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.93%EV -15.45%E -1.55%K -1.72%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-20 11:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.86%EV -8.66%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 73.21%EV -10.60%E -8.69%K -48.19%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.93%EV -15.45%E -1.55%K -1.72%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-20 11:49
888sport (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.86%EV -8.66%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 73.21%EV -10.60%E -8.69%K -48.19%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.93%EV -15.45%E -1.55%K -1.72%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-20 11:50
Marathon Bet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.71%EV -10.49%E -2.14%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 72.76%EV -7.67%E -6.09%K -29.50%G +0.000%10.75I 9.30%NM 8.53%EV -9.11%E -0.847%K -0.934%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-20 11:00
Codere (IT)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -10.49%E -2.14%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.06%EV -8.40%E -6.72%K -33.61%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.30%EV -7.00%E -0.636%K -0.700%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-20 18:05
NordicBet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -12.31%E -2.57%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 72.78%EV -8.40%E -6.72%K -33.61%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.27%EV -7.00%E -0.636%K -0.700%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-20 08:05
Betsson🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -12.31%E -2.57%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 72.78%EV -8.40%E -6.72%K -33.61%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.27%EV -7.00%E -0.636%K -0.700%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-20 08:05
Winamax (FR)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 20.07%EV -21.45%E -4.99%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 71.31%EV -11.33%E -9.37%K -53.97%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.63%EV -15.45%E -1.55%K -1.72%G +0.000%15.9%2026-02-20 05:35
Betclic (FR)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 20.34%EV -22.36%E -5.26%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 71.43%EV -11.33%E -9.37%K -53.97%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.23%EV -11.22%E -1.07%K -1.18%G +0.000%15.7%2026-02-21 17:50
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets4.30I 23.26%NM 20.18%1.22I 81.97%NM 71.14%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.68%15.2%2026-02-20 08:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.40I 18.52%NM 9.52%1.30I 76.92%NM 39.56%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.92%94.5%2026-02-21 17:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.40I 18.52%NM 9.52%1.30I 76.92%NM 39.56%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.92%94.5%2026-02-21 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 36.01%1.30I 76.92%NM 27.98%1.01I 99.01%NM 36.01%174.9%2026-02-21 17:35