The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Frisch Auf Göppingen v SG BBM Bietigheim

Kickoff: 2026-10-10 17:02 UTC

Final: Frisch Auf Göppingen 25–29 SG BBM Bietigheim

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

23 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Frisch Auf Göppingen (Local)

Prediction 70.01%1.43fair odd
EV -6.89%
Edge -5.18%
Kelly -20.87%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.55%70.23%69.91%73.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.311.321.3380.00%76.59%75.76%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

SG BBM Bietigheim (Visit)

Prediction 21.57%4.64fair odd
EV +12.18%
Edge +2.34%
Kelly +2.90%
Growth +0.353%

assuming max odds 5.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.20%21.19%21.67%22.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.924.334.255.2025.51%23.12%23.53%19.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 8.42%11.88fair odd
EV +0.995%
Edge +0.083%
Kelly +0.090%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 12.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.75%8.58%8.41%9.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
9.0010.5811.0012.0011.11%9.45%9.09%8.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Frisch Auf Göppingen (Local): 70.01%; SG BBM Bietigheim (Visit): 21.57%; Draw: 8.42%. For SG BBM Bietigheim (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.64. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +12.18%.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.92%EV -10.39%E -8.11%K -37.09%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.20%EV +12.18%E +2.34%K +2.90%G +0.353%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.88%EV +0.995%E +0.083%K +0.090%G +0.001%5.7%2026-10-10 14:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.05%EV -9.69%E -7.51%K -33.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -0.764%E -0.166%K -0.212%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.75%EV +0.995%E +0.083%K +0.090%G +0.001%7.6%2026-10-10 16:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 70.95%EV -12.49%E -9.99%K -49.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.71%EV -2.92%E -0.649%K -0.835%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.34%EV -20.05%E -2.11%K -2.36%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-10 16:50
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 70.95%EV -12.49%E -9.99%K -49.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.71%EV -2.92%E -0.649%K -0.835%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.34%EV -20.05%E -2.11%K -2.36%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-10 16:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.74%EV -8.99%E -6.91%K -29.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -5.08%E -1.15%K -1.49%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.36%EV -7.42%E -0.675%K -0.742%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-10 16:35
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.92%EV -8.99%E -6.91%K -29.95%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.99%EV -6.59%E -1.52%K -1.98%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -15.84%E -1.58%K -1.76%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-10 16:50
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.38%EV -9.69%E -7.51%K -33.40%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.67%EV -6.59%E -1.52%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.95%EV -24.25%E -2.69%K -3.03%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-10 16:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.38%EV -9.69%E -7.51%K -33.40%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.67%EV -6.59%E -1.52%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.95%EV -24.25%E -2.69%K -3.03%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-10 16:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 69.38%EV -9.69%E -7.51%K -33.40%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.67%EV -6.59%E -1.52%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.95%EV -24.25%E -2.69%K -3.03%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-10 16:50
NordicBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.92%EV -6.89%E -5.18%K -20.87%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -7.24%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV -7.42%E -0.675%K -0.742%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-10 16:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.74%EV -6.89%E -5.18%K -20.87%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -8.31%E -1.96%K -2.56%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -7.42%E -0.675%K -0.742%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-10 16:50
Unibet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.74%EV -6.89%E -5.18%K -20.87%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -8.31%E -1.96%K -2.56%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -7.42%E -0.675%K -0.742%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-10 14:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.74%EV -6.89%E -5.18%K -20.87%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -8.31%E -1.96%K -2.56%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -7.42%E -0.675%K -0.742%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-10 14:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.74%EV -6.89%E -5.18%K -20.87%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -8.31%E -1.96%K -2.56%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -7.42%E -0.675%K -0.742%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-10 14:00
Casumo🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.74%EV -6.89%E -5.18%K -20.87%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -8.31%E -1.96%K -2.56%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -7.42%E -0.675%K -0.742%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-10 14:00
Grosvenor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.74%EV -6.89%E -5.18%K -20.87%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -8.31%E -1.96%K -2.56%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -7.42%E -0.675%K -0.742%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-10 14:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.74%EV -6.89%E -5.18%K -20.87%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -8.31%E -1.96%K -2.56%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -7.42%E -0.675%K -0.742%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-10 14:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.74%EV -6.89%E -5.18%K -20.87%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -8.31%E -1.96%K -2.56%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -7.42%E -0.675%K -0.742%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-10 14:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.74%EV -6.89%E -5.18%K -20.87%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -8.31%E -1.96%K -2.56%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -7.42%E -0.675%K -0.742%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-10 14:00
Betsson🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.56%EV -6.89%E -5.18%K -20.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%EV -9.39%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -7.42%E -0.675%K -0.742%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-10 16:35
Codere (IT)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.72%EV -7.59%E -5.75%K -23.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.39%E -2.24%K -2.94%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.37%EV -7.42%E -0.675%K -0.742%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-10 16:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 70.23%EV -12.49%E -9.99%K -49.95%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.41%EV -11.55%E -2.82%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.36%EV -11.63%E -1.11%K -1.22%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-10 16:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 68.55%EV -9.69%E -7.51%K -33.40%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 22.56%EV -15.43%E -3.94%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.95I 10.05%NM 8.89%EV -16.26%E -1.63%K -1.82%G +0.000%13.1%2026-10-10 16:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.27I 78.74%NM 68.19%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.79%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.02%15.5%2026-10-10 16:50

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Pinnacle🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.15%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.85%6.5%2026-10-10 16:35