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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Frisch Auf Göppingen v Rhein-Neckar Löwen

开赛时间： 2026-09-17 17:00 UTC

最终结果： Frisch Auf Göppingen 29–28 Rhein-Neckar Löwen

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

23 家博彩公司 (9 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Frisch Auf Göppingen (主队)

预测 38.61%2.59公平赔率
EV -5.40%
优势 -2.21%
Kelly -3.73%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.45

博彩公司预测分布
37.49%39.14%38.43%43.43%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.142.292.252.4546.73%43.60%44.44%40.82%最小值均值中位数最大值

Rhein-Neckar Löwen (客队)

预测 49.22%2.03公平赔率
EV +0.893%
优势 +0.436%
Kelly +0.850%
增长率 +0.008%

假设最高赔率为 2.05

博彩公司预测分布
45.98%48.94%49.29%51.03%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.781.881.872.0556.18%53.20%53.48%48.78%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 12.17%8.21公平赔率
EV +8.34%
优势 +0.938%
Kelly +1.06%
增长率 +0.088%

假设最高赔率为 8.90

博彩公司预测分布
10.54%11.92%12.28%12.88%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
7.007.857.758.9014.29%12.73%12.90%11.24%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Frisch Auf Göppingen (主队)：38.61%；Rhein-Neckar Löwen (客队)：49.22%；平局：12.17%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为8.21。 当时有10家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为8.90，对应+8.34%的正期望值。

有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（2 个赛果，而分析采用 3 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (23 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
Coolbet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.43%EV -16.22%E -7.47%K -13.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.98%EV +0.893%E +0.436%K +0.850%G +0.008%8.90I 11.24%NM 10.59%EV +8.34%E +0.938%K +1.06%G +0.088%6.1%2026-09-17 15:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 40.94%EV -13.51%E -6.03%K -10.90%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.52%EV -6.98%E -3.69%K -7.84%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 10.54%EV +5.91%E +0.679%K +0.767%G +0.045%9.0%2026-09-17 15:10
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.46%EV -13.90%E -6.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.66%EV -4.52%E -2.33%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.88%EV +3.47%E +0.409%K +0.463%G +0.016%8.2%2026-09-17 12:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.46%EV -13.90%E -6.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.66%EV -4.52%E -2.33%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.88%EV +3.47%E +0.409%K +0.463%G +0.016%8.2%2026-09-17 12:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.46%EV -13.90%E -6.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.66%EV -4.52%E -2.33%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.88%EV +3.47%E +0.409%K +0.463%G +0.016%8.2%2026-09-17 12:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.36%EV -13.90%E -6.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.79%EV -5.01%E -2.60%K -5.39%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV +3.47%E +0.409%K +0.463%G +0.016%8.4%2026-09-17 12:20
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.36%EV -13.90%E -6.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.79%EV -5.01%E -2.60%K -5.39%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV +3.47%E +0.409%K +0.463%G +0.016%8.4%2026-09-17 12:21
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.36%EV -13.90%E -6.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.79%EV -5.01%E -2.60%K -5.39%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV +3.47%E +0.409%K +0.463%G +0.016%8.4%2026-09-17 12:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.36%EV -13.90%E -6.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.79%EV -5.01%E -2.60%K -5.39%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV +3.47%E +0.409%K +0.463%G +0.016%8.4%2026-09-17 12:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.36%EV -13.90%E -6.23%K -11.30%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.79%EV -5.01%E -2.60%K -5.39%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV +3.47%E +0.409%K +0.463%G +0.016%8.4%2026-09-17 12:21
Tipico (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.49%EV -5.40%E -2.21%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.03%EV -11.41%E -6.34%K -14.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -2.61%E -0.327%K -0.373%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-17 16:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.33%E -3.06%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.63%EV -8.46%E -4.55%K -9.84%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.91%EV -5.66%E -0.730%K -0.838%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-17 16:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 38.37%EV -7.72%E -3.23%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.57%EV -8.95%E -4.84%K -10.53%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.07%EV -7.48%E -0.984%K -1.13%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-17 15:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.71%EV -7.33%E -3.06%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.90%EV -6.49%E -3.42%K -7.21%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.39%EV -8.70%E -1.16%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-17 16:55
NordicBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.71%EV -9.27%E -3.94%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.17%EV -8.95%E -4.84%K -10.53%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.13%EV -8.70%E -1.16%K -1.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-17 16:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 41.16%EV -17.37%E -8.12%K -15.24%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 47.10%EV -7.97%E -4.26%K -9.16%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.74%EV -8.70%E -1.16%K -1.34%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-17 12:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.40%EV -11.20%E -4.87%K -8.61%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 49.34%EV -11.90%E -6.65%K -15.07%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.27%EV -12.35%E -1.72%K -1.99%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-17 16:49
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.87%EV -8.11%E -3.41%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.25%EV -9.93%E -5.43%K -11.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.88%EV -14.79%E -2.11%K -2.46%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-17 16:55
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.87%EV -8.11%E -3.41%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.25%EV -9.93%E -5.43%K -11.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.88%EV -14.79%E -2.11%K -2.46%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-17 16:16
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.87%EV -8.11%E -3.41%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.25%EV -9.93%E -5.43%K -11.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.88%EV -14.79%E -2.11%K -2.46%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-17 16:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.87%EV -8.11%E -3.41%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.25%EV -9.93%E -5.43%K -11.97%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.88%EV -14.79%E -2.11%K -2.46%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-17 16:15
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.16%EV -11.20%E -4.87%K -8.61%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 49.30%EV -12.40%E -6.96%K -15.89%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.54%EV -14.79%E -2.11%K -2.46%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-17 16:05
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.89%EV -13.13%E -5.83%K -10.50%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.61%EV -11.41%E -6.34%K -14.26%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.50%EV -14.79%E -2.11%K -2.46%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-17 16:54
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets◎2.26I 44.25%NM 38.36%1.76I 56.82%NM 49.26%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.38%15.4%2026-09-17 16:05

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司选项 1选项 2利润率 ▲更新时间
Pinnacle🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%5.3%2026-09-17 16:05