The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Frisch Auf Göppingen v Rhein-Neckar Löwen

Kickoff: 2026-04-23 17:00 UTC

Final: Frisch Auf Göppingen 32–30 Rhein-Neckar Löwen

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

26 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Frisch Auf Göppingen (Local)

Prediction 42.89%2.33fair odd
EV +0.795%
Edge +0.338%
Kelly +0.589%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.59%42.71%42.87%44.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.022.122.122.3549.50%47.18%47.17%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rhein-Neckar Löwen (Visit)

Prediction 45.24%2.21fair odd
EV -6.34%
Edge -3.07%
Kelly -5.93%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.72%45.63%45.20%48.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.022.022.0752.36%49.55%49.50%48.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 11.86%8.43fair odd
EV +7.96%
Edge +0.875%
Kelly +0.983%
Growth +0.078%

assuming max odds 9.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.48%11.66%11.93%12.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.257.868.009.1013.79%12.73%12.50%10.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Frisch Auf Göppingen (Local): 42.89%; Rhein-Neckar Löwen (Visit): 45.24%; Draw: 11.86%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.43. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.96%.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.59%EV +0.795%E +0.338%K +0.589%G +0.005%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.92%EV -11.77%E -6.04%K -12.39%G +0.000%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.48%EV +7.96%E +0.875%K +0.983%G +0.078%4.8%2026-04-23 12:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.50%EV -11.64%E -5.65%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.72%EV -7.25%E -3.54%K -6.90%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV +0.846%E +0.100%K +0.113%G +0.001%9.1%2026-04-23 14:34
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.15%EV -7.78%E -3.62%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -7.25%E -3.54%K -6.90%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -5.09%E -0.636%K -0.727%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 14:34
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.15%EV -7.78%E -3.62%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -7.25%E -3.54%K -6.90%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -5.09%E -0.636%K -0.727%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 05:09
LiveScore Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.68%EV -9.07%E -4.28%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.74%EV -6.34%E -3.07%K -5.93%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -5.09%E -0.636%K -0.727%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 09:09
Casumo🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.68%EV -9.07%E -4.28%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.74%EV -6.34%E -3.07%K -5.93%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -5.09%E -0.636%K -0.727%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 09:09
Grosvenor🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.68%EV -9.07%E -4.28%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.74%EV -6.34%E -3.07%K -5.93%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -5.09%E -0.636%K -0.727%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 09:10
LeoVegas🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.68%EV -9.07%E -4.28%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.74%EV -6.34%E -3.07%K -5.93%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -5.09%E -0.636%K -0.727%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 09:09
Virgin Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.68%EV -9.07%E -4.28%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.74%EV -6.34%E -3.07%K -5.93%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -5.09%E -0.636%K -0.727%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 09:09
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.68%EV -9.07%E -4.28%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.74%EV -6.34%E -3.07%K -5.93%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -5.09%E -0.636%K -0.727%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 09:10
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.68%EV -9.07%E -4.28%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.74%EV -6.34%E -3.07%K -5.93%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -5.09%E -0.636%K -0.727%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 09:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.68%EV -9.07%E -4.28%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.74%EV -6.34%E -3.07%K -5.93%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -5.09%E -0.636%K -0.727%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 09:09
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.68%EV -9.07%E -4.28%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.74%EV -6.34%E -3.07%K -5.93%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -5.09%E -0.636%K -0.727%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 09:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.34%EV -9.93%E -4.73%K -9.03%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.55%EV -13.58%E -7.11%K -14.93%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -5.09%E -0.636%K -0.727%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-22 14:29
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.34%EV -9.93%E -4.73%K -9.03%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.55%EV -13.58%E -7.11%K -14.93%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.11%EV -5.09%E -0.636%K -0.727%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-22 14:30
Codere (IT)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.95%EV -8.21%E -3.84%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 45.27%EV -8.15%E -4.02%K -7.92%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.78%EV -7.46%E -0.956%K -1.10%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 17:14
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.85%EV -9.07%E -4.28%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 45.20%EV -9.06%E -4.51%K -8.97%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 11.95%EV -9.83%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-22 22:24
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.85%EV -9.07%E -4.28%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 45.20%EV -9.06%E -4.51%K -8.97%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 11.95%EV -9.83%E -1.29%K -1.49%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-22 22:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.78%EV -5.64%E -2.56%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.96%EV -9.51%E -4.76%K -9.51%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -11.02%E -1.47%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 16:49
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.92%EV -9.93%E -4.73%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.06%EV -9.51%E -4.76%K -9.51%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV -11.02%E -1.47%K -1.70%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-22 22:25
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.92%EV -9.93%E -4.73%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.06%EV -9.51%E -4.76%K -9.51%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV -11.02%E -1.47%K -1.70%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-23 16:54
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.92%EV -9.93%E -4.73%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.06%EV -9.51%E -4.76%K -9.51%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV -11.02%E -1.47%K -1.70%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-23 16:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.92%EV -9.93%E -4.73%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.06%EV -9.51%E -4.76%K -9.51%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV -11.02%E -1.47%K -1.70%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-23 16:54
PMU (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.48%EV -13.36%E -6.61%K -13.10%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 44.81%EV -11.32%E -5.78%K -11.79%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.71%EV -11.02%E -1.47%K -1.70%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-23 09:09
Betclic (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 42.71%EV -11.21%E -5.42%K -10.48%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.34%EV -11.77%E -6.04%K -12.39%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 11.95%EV -12.20%E -1.65%K -1.91%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-23 16:48
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.94%EV -12.07%E -5.89%K -11.50%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 44.91%EV -11.32%E -5.78%K -11.79%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.14%EV -13.98%E -1.93%K -2.24%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-23 05:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.02I 49.50%NM 42.82%1.93I 51.81%NM 44.82%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.36%15.6%2026-04-22 17:09

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Pinnacle🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%5.3%2026-04-22 21:10