The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Frisch Auf Göppingen v HSG Wetzlar

Kickoff: 2026-05-07 17:00 UTC

Final: Frisch Auf Göppingen 31–30 HSG Wetzlar

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

26 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Frisch Auf Göppingen (Local)

Prediction 58.39%1.71fair odd
EV -5.41%
Edge -3.34%
Kelly -8.73%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.82%58.56%58.24%60.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.551.561.6266.67%64.56%64.10%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

HSG Wetzlar (Visit)

Prediction 30.55%3.27fair odd
EV -2.23%
Edge -0.698%
Kelly -1.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.72%30.47%30.67%31.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.023.053.2035.09%33.07%32.79%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 11.06%9.04fair odd
EV +6.16%
Edge +0.642%
Kelly +0.717%
Growth +0.044%

assuming max odds 9.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.93%10.97%11.09%11.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.508.248.509.6013.33%12.14%11.76%10.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Frisch Auf Göppingen (Local): 58.39%; HSG Wetzlar (Visit): 30.55%; Draw: 11.06%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.04. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.16%.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.83%EV -5.41%E -3.34%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.25%EV -6.82%E -2.23%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.93%EV +6.16%E +0.642%K +0.717%G +0.044%4.9%2026-05-07 14:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.06%EV -7.75%E -4.90%K -13.35%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 31.74%EV -11.70%E -4.05%K -6.19%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -0.471%E -0.052%K -0.059%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-07 16:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.69%EV -7.75%E -4.90%K -13.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.40%EV -6.82%E -2.23%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.91%EV -6.00%E -0.706%K -0.800%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-07 16:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.39%EV -7.75%E -4.90%K -13.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -8.34%E -2.78%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV -6.00%E -0.706%K -0.800%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-07 16:55
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.00%EV -8.91%E -5.71%K -15.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.18%EV -6.82%E -2.23%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.83%EV -6.00%E -0.706%K -0.800%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-06 15:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.00%EV -8.91%E -5.71%K -15.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.18%EV -6.82%E -2.23%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.83%EV -6.00%E -0.706%K -0.800%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-06 15:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.00%EV -8.91%E -5.71%K -15.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.18%EV -6.82%E -2.23%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.83%EV -6.00%E -0.706%K -0.800%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-06 15:30
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.00%EV -8.91%E -5.71%K -15.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.18%EV -6.82%E -2.23%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.83%EV -6.00%E -0.706%K -0.800%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-06 15:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.00%EV -8.91%E -5.71%K -15.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.18%EV -6.82%E -2.23%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.83%EV -6.00%E -0.706%K -0.800%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-06 15:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.00%EV -8.91%E -5.71%K -15.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.18%EV -6.82%E -2.23%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.83%EV -6.00%E -0.706%K -0.800%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-06 15:35
LeoVegas🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.00%EV -8.91%E -5.71%K -15.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.18%EV -6.82%E -2.23%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.83%EV -6.00%E -0.706%K -0.800%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-06 15:35
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.00%EV -8.91%E -5.71%K -15.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.18%EV -6.82%E -2.23%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.83%EV -6.00%E -0.706%K -0.800%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-06 15:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.00%EV -8.91%E -5.71%K -15.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.18%EV -6.82%E -2.23%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.83%EV -6.00%E -0.706%K -0.800%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-06 15:34
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.47%EV -11.25%E -7.40%K -21.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.72%EV -2.23%E -0.698%K -1.02%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.81%EV -6.00%E -0.706%K -0.800%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-07 09:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.76%EV -8.91%E -5.71%K -15.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.06%EV -6.82%E -2.23%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.18%EV -9.32%E -1.14%K -1.29%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-07 09:50
NordicBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.47%EV -8.91%E -5.71%K -15.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -8.34%E -2.78%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.12%EV -9.32%E -1.14%K -1.29%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-07 16:55
Betsson🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.47%EV -8.91%E -5.71%K -15.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -8.34%E -2.78%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.12%EV -9.32%E -1.14%K -1.29%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-07 16:55
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.35%EV -10.66%E -6.97%K -20.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -5.29%E -1.71%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.35%EV -11.53%E -1.44%K -1.65%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-07 16:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.66%EV -12.42%E -8.28%K -24.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.34%EV -11.40%E -3.93%K -6.00%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.00%EV -11.53%E -1.44%K -1.65%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-06 15:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.89%EV -10.66%E -6.97%K -20.12%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.75%EV -12.01%E -4.17%K -6.39%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.36%EV -13.74%E -1.76%K -2.02%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-07 16:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 57.82%EV -11.25%E -7.40%K -21.63%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.84%EV -12.93%E -4.54%K -6.99%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.34%EV -14.29%E -1.84%K -2.12%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-07 16:55
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -10.66%E -6.97%K -20.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -8.34%E -2.78%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.90%EV -17.06%E -2.27%K -2.62%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-07 16:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -10.66%E -6.97%K -20.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -8.34%E -2.78%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.90%EV -17.06%E -2.27%K -2.62%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-07 16:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -10.66%E -6.97%K -20.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -8.34%E -2.78%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.90%EV -17.06%E -2.27%K -2.62%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-07 16:10
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.39%EV -12.42%E -8.28%K -24.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -5.29%E -1.71%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.88%EV -17.06%E -2.27%K -2.62%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-06 23:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.39%EV -12.42%E -8.28%K -24.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -5.29%E -1.71%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.88%EV -17.06%E -2.27%K -2.62%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-06 23:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.50I 66.67%NM 57.83%2.82I 35.46%NM 30.76%7.60I 13.16%NM 11.41%15.3%2026-05-07 16:55

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Pinnacle🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.37%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.63%6.0%2026-05-07 16:15