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Frisch Auf Göppingen v HC Erlangen

Kickoff: 2026-03-29 14:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Frisch Auf Göppingen (Local)

Prediction 55.71%1.80fair odd
EV -4.74%
Edge -2.77%
Kelly -6.68%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.49%55.86%55.67%57.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.651.641.7164.10%60.53%60.98%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

HC Erlangen (Visit)

Prediction 32.87%3.04fair odd
EV -3.04%
Edge -1.03%
Kelly -1.56%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.13%32.78%32.91%35.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.722.752.9538.46%36.74%36.36%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 11.42%8.75fair odd
EV +2.82%
Edge +0.314%
Kelly +0.353%
Growth +0.010%

assuming max odds 9.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.35%11.36%11.41%12.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.258.248.009.0013.79%12.14%12.50%11.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Frisch Auf Göppingen (Local): 55.71%; HC Erlangen (Visit): 32.87%; Draw: 11.42%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.75. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.82%.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.49%EV -4.74%E -2.77%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -12.90%E -4.87%K -7.82%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV +2.82%E +0.314%K +0.353%G +0.010%7.3%2026-03-27 15:34
LeoVegas🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.49%EV -4.74%E -2.77%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -12.90%E -4.87%K -7.82%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV +2.82%E +0.314%K +0.353%G +0.010%7.3%2026-03-27 15:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.49%EV -4.74%E -2.77%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -12.90%E -4.87%K -7.82%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV +2.82%E +0.314%K +0.353%G +0.010%7.3%2026-03-27 15:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.49%EV -4.74%E -2.77%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -12.90%E -4.87%K -7.82%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV +2.82%E +0.314%K +0.353%G +0.010%7.3%2026-03-27 15:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.49%EV -4.74%E -2.77%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -12.90%E -4.87%K -7.82%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV +2.82%E +0.314%K +0.353%G +0.010%7.3%2026-03-27 15:35
Grosvenor🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.49%EV -4.74%E -2.77%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -12.90%E -4.87%K -7.82%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV +2.82%E +0.314%K +0.353%G +0.010%7.3%2026-03-27 15:34
Casumo🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.49%EV -4.74%E -2.77%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -12.90%E -4.87%K -7.82%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV +2.82%E +0.314%K +0.353%G +0.010%7.3%2026-03-27 15:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.49%EV -4.74%E -2.77%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -12.90%E -4.87%K -7.82%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV +2.82%E +0.314%K +0.353%G +0.010%7.3%2026-03-27 15:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.49%EV -4.74%E -2.77%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -12.90%E -4.87%K -7.82%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.35%EV +2.82%E +0.314%K +0.353%G +0.010%7.3%2026-03-27 15:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.24%EV -7.53%E -4.54%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.34%EV -12.24%E -4.58%K -7.33%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.42%EV +0.539%E +0.061%K +0.069%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-27 22:55
Coolbet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.36%EV -8.64%E -5.27%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.43%EV -6.32%E -2.22%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.20%EV -5.74%E -0.696%K -0.792%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-27 15:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.87%EV -7.53%E -4.54%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.54%EV -6.32%E -2.22%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.59%EV -8.60%E -1.08%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-26 22:23
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.69%EV -8.09%E -4.90%K -12.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -7.97%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -8.60%E -1.08%K -1.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-27 14:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.39%EV -10.87%E -6.79%K -18.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -3.04%E -1.03%K -1.56%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -8.60%E -1.08%K -1.23%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-28 02:34
NordicBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.66%EV -9.20%E -5.64%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -9.61%E -3.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.34%EV -8.60%E -1.08%K -1.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-26 22:25
Betsson🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.66%EV -9.20%E -5.64%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -9.61%E -3.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.34%EV -8.60%E -1.08%K -1.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-26 22:25
Codere (IT)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.66%EV -9.20%E -5.64%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -9.61%E -3.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.34%EV -8.60%E -1.08%K -1.23%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-26 22:24
Betclic (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.32%EV -10.87%E -6.79%K -18.12%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 33.03%EV -11.91%E -4.44%K -7.09%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 11.65%EV -13.17%E -1.73%K -2.00%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-26 22:25
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.72%EV -9.76%E -6.02%K -15.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.24%EV -7.97%E -2.85%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.04%EV -14.31%E -1.91%K -2.20%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-26 22:23
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.55%EV -10.31%E -6.41%K -16.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.52%EV -9.61%E -3.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.93%EV -14.31%E -1.91%K -2.20%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-27 14:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.55%EV -10.31%E -6.41%K -16.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.52%EV -9.61%E -3.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.93%EV -14.31%E -1.91%K -2.20%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-27 14:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.55%EV -10.31%E -6.41%K -16.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.52%EV -9.61%E -3.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.93%EV -14.31%E -1.91%K -2.20%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-27 14:39
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.71%EV -10.87%E -6.79%K -18.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.41%EV -9.61%E -3.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.88%EV -14.31%E -1.91%K -2.20%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-27 15:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.71%EV -10.87%E -6.79%K -18.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.41%EV -9.61%E -3.49%K -5.49%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.88%EV -14.31%E -1.91%K -2.20%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-27 15:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 55.09%EV -13.10%E -8.40%K -23.39%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.05%EV -14.54%E -5.59%K -9.09%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 11.85%EV -17.17%E -2.37%K -2.75%G +0.000%16.4%2026-03-26 22:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.57I 63.69%NM 55.21%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.08%7.40I 13.51%NM 11.71%15.4%2026-03-27 14:40

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Pinnacle🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.28%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.72%5.6%2026-03-26 22:25