Language:English
Bergischer HC v Rhein-Neckar Löwen
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Bergischer HC (Local)
Prediction 24.84%4.03fair odd
EV -4.36%
Edge -1.13%
Kelly -1.53%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.82%24.82%24.87%26.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.633.603.8530.30%27.52%27.78%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Rhein-Neckar Löwen (Visit)
Prediction 65.55%1.53fair odd
EV -6.92%
Edge -4.88%
Kelly -16.49%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.52%65.46%65.53%66.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.351.401.401.4274.07%71.56%71.43%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 9.61%10.40fair odd
EV -3.87%
Edge -0.387%
Kelly -0.430%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 10.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.24%9.72%9.61%10.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.509.509.7810.0011.76%10.52%10.22%10.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bergischer HC (Local): 24.84%; Rhein-Neckar Löwen (Visit): 65.55%; Draw: 9.61%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 10.40. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 10.00, with an expected value of -3.87%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.07%EV -4.36%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -8.24%E -5.88%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV -8.67%E -0.913%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-04 09:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -5.60%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.62%EV -8.24%E -5.88%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.21%EV -13.48%E -1.50%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-04 12:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.76I 26.60%NM 24.57%EV -6.60%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.99%EV -8.24%E -5.88%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 9.78I 10.22%NM 9.45%EV -5.98%E -0.612%K -0.681%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-04 12:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.76I 26.60%NM 24.57%EV -6.60%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.99%EV -8.24%E -5.88%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 9.78I 10.22%NM 9.45%EV -5.98%E -0.612%K -0.681%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-04 12:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -6.85%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.41%EV -10.86%E -7.98%K -30.16%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -8.67%E -0.913%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-04 12:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -6.85%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.67%EV -10.86%E -7.98%K -30.16%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -18.29%E -2.15%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-03 18:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -6.85%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.67%EV -10.86%E -7.98%K -30.16%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -18.29%E -2.15%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-03 18:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -6.85%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.67%EV -10.86%E -7.98%K -30.16%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -18.29%E -2.15%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-03 18:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.15%EV -8.09%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.54%EV -6.92%E -4.88%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -3.87%E -0.387%K -0.430%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-04 12:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.18%EV -9.58%E -2.63%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.47%EV -8.24%E -5.88%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.35%EV -5.79%E -0.591%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-04 08:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.67%EV -10.57%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.09%EV -6.92%E -4.88%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -3.87%E -0.387%K -0.430%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-03 17:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.67%EV -10.57%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.09%EV -6.92%E -4.88%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -3.87%E -0.387%K -0.430%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-04 09:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.67%EV -10.57%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.09%EV -6.92%E -4.88%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -3.87%E -0.387%K -0.430%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-04 09:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.67%EV -10.57%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.09%EV -6.92%E -4.88%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -3.87%E -0.387%K -0.430%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-04 09:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.67%EV -10.57%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.09%EV -6.92%E -4.88%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -3.87%E -0.387%K -0.430%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-04 09:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.67%EV -10.57%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.09%EV -6.92%E -4.88%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -3.87%E -0.387%K -0.430%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-04 09:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.67%EV -10.57%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.09%EV -6.92%E -4.88%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -3.87%E -0.387%K -0.430%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-04 09:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.67%EV -10.57%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.09%EV -6.92%E -4.88%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -3.87%E -0.387%K -0.430%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-04 09:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.67%EV -10.57%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.09%EV -6.92%E -4.88%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -3.87%E -0.387%K -0.430%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-04 09:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -10.57%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.16%EV -8.24%E -5.88%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 9.50%EV -7.71%E -0.803%K -0.897%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-04 12:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.43I 29.15%NM 25.77%EV -14.80%E -4.31%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 64.52%EV -10.20%E -7.45%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 9.10I 10.99%NM 9.71%EV -12.52%E -1.38%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-09-04 12:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.17%EV -16.78%E -5.01%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 63.52%EV -9.55%E -6.92%K -25.12%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.31%EV -18.29%E -2.15%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-04 09:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.09%EV -18.02%E -5.46%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 63.78%EV -11.51%E -8.53%K -32.89%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.13%EV -18.29%E -2.15%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-09-04 12:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.18% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 64.00% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 9.82% | 15.7% | 2026-09-04 12:10 |