The School of Odds

Cincinnati Reds v Baltimore Orioles

2026-07-05 17:05 — MLB

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (18 in analysis)

Option 1: Cincinnati Reds (Local)

1.8155.25%Min
1.8952.99%Mean
1.9052.63%Median
1.9551.28%Max
49.74%2.011Min
51.60%1.938Max
50.28%1.989Mean
50.00%2.000Median
50.03%1.999IQM
50.27%1.989Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.95 under the IQM model: 50.03%

EV -2.45%Edge -1.26%Kelly -2.58%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Baltimore Orioles (Visit)

1.8454.35%Min
1.9351.92%Mean
1.9152.36%Median
2.0149.75%Max
48.40%2.066Min
50.26%1.990Max
49.72%2.011Mean
50.00%2.000Median
49.97%2.001IQM
49.73%2.011Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.01 under the IQM model: 49.97%

EV +0.447%Edge +0.222%Kelly +0.443%Growth +0.002%

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

BookmakerCincinnati Reds (Local)Baltimore Orioles (Visit) ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet1.91I 52.36% NM 51.28%EV -4.45% E -2.33% K -4.89% G +0.000%2.01I 49.75% NM 48.72%EV +0.447% E +0.222% K +0.443% G +0.002%2.1%2026-07-05 00:30
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05% NM 51.57%EV -7.45% E -4.03% K -8.77% G +0.000%1.97I 50.76% NM 48.43%EV -1.55% E -0.788% K -1.60% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 23:00
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05% NM 51.57%EV -7.45% E -4.03% K -8.77% G +0.000%1.97I 50.76% NM 48.43%EV -1.55% E -0.788% K -1.60% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 23:00
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05% NM 51.57%EV -7.45% E -4.03% K -8.77% G +0.000%1.97I 50.76% NM 48.43%EV -1.55% E -0.788% K -1.60% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 23:00
FanDuel1.89I 52.91% NM 50.91%EV -5.45% E -2.88% K -6.12% G +0.000%1.96I 51.02% NM 49.09%EV -2.05% E -1.05% K -2.14% G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-05 01:55
Casumo1.85I 54.05% NM 51.44%EV -7.45% E -4.03% K -8.77% G +0.000%1.96I 51.02% NM 48.56%EV -2.05% E -1.05% K -2.14% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05% NM 51.44%EV -7.45% E -4.03% K -8.77% G +0.000%1.96I 51.02% NM 48.56%EV -2.05% E -1.05% K -2.14% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 23:00
Unibet1.85I 54.05% NM 51.44%EV -7.45% E -4.03% K -8.77% G +0.000%1.96I 51.02% NM 48.56%EV -2.05% E -1.05% K -2.14% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 23:00
Bally Bet1.85I 54.05% NM 51.44%EV -7.45% E -4.03% K -8.77% G +0.000%1.96I 51.02% NM 48.56%EV -2.05% E -1.05% K -2.14% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 22:59
betPARX1.85I 54.05% NM 51.44%EV -7.45% E -4.03% K -8.77% G +0.000%1.96I 51.02% NM 48.56%EV -2.05% E -1.05% K -2.14% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 23:00
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05% NM 51.44%EV -7.45% E -4.03% K -8.77% G +0.000%1.96I 51.02% NM 48.56%EV -2.05% E -1.05% K -2.14% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 23:00
LiveScore Bet1.84I 54.35% NM 51.58%EV -7.95% E -4.32% K -9.47% G +0.000%1.96I 51.02% NM 48.42%EV -2.05% E -1.05% K -2.14% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 23:00
Virgin Bet1.84I 54.35% NM 51.58%EV -7.95% E -4.32% K -9.47% G +0.000%1.96I 51.02% NM 48.42%EV -2.05% E -1.05% K -2.14% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 23:00
GTbets1.95I 51.28% NM 50.00%EV -2.45% E -1.26% K -2.58% G +0.000%1.95I 51.28% NM 50.00%EV -2.55% E -1.31% K -2.69% G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-04 21:20
LowVig.ag1.95I 51.28% NM 50.00%EV -2.45% E -1.26% K -2.58% G +0.000%1.95I 51.28% NM 50.00%EV -2.55% E -1.31% K -2.69% G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-04 21:20
BetOnline.ag1.95I 51.28% NM 50.00%EV -2.45% E -1.26% K -2.58% G +0.000%1.95I 51.28% NM 50.00%EV -2.55% E -1.31% K -2.69% G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-04 21:20
BetUS1.95I 51.28% NM 50.00%EV -2.45% E -1.26% K -2.58% G +0.000%1.95I 51.28% NM 50.00%EV -2.55% E -1.31% K -2.69% G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-05 00:15
Pinnacle1.95I 51.28% NM 50.00%EV -2.45% E -1.26% K -2.58% G +0.000%1.95I 51.28% NM 50.00%EV -2.55% E -1.31% K -2.69% G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-05 00:40
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48% NM 51.05%EV -6.45% E -3.45% K -7.41% G +0.000%1.95I 51.28% NM 48.95%EV -2.55% E -1.31% K -2.69% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 23:35
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48% NM 51.05%EV -6.45% E -3.45% K -7.41% G +0.000%1.95I 51.28% NM 48.95%EV -2.55% E -1.31% K -2.69% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 23:54
Marathon Bet1.85I 54.05% NM 51.32%EV -7.45% E -4.03% K -8.77% G +0.000%1.95I 51.28% NM 48.68%EV -2.55% E -1.31% K -2.69% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 00:20
BetRivers1.83I 54.64% NM 51.59%EV -8.45% E -4.62% K -10.18% G +0.000%1.95I 51.28% NM 48.41%EV -2.55% E -1.31% K -2.69% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 23:00
TABtouch1.83I 54.64% NM 51.59%EV -8.45% E -4.62% K -10.18% G +0.000%1.95I 51.28% NM 48.41%EV -2.55% E -1.31% K -2.69% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 23:00
MyBookie.ag1.92I 52.08% NM 50.13%EV -3.95% E -2.06% K -4.29% G +0.000%1.93I 51.81% NM 49.87%EV -3.55% E -1.84% K -3.82% G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-05 02:04
Grosvenor1.81I 55.25% NM 51.60%EV -9.45% E -5.22% K -11.67% G +0.000%1.93I 51.81% NM 48.40%EV -3.55% E -1.84% K -3.82% G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-05 00:05
TAB1.92I 52.08% NM 50.00%EV -3.95% E -2.06% K -4.29% G +0.000%1.92I 52.08% NM 50.00%EV -4.05% E -2.11% K -4.40% G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-05 02:35
Bet Right1.90I 52.63% NM 50.26%EV -4.95% E -2.61% K -5.50% G +0.000%1.92I 52.08% NM 49.74%EV -4.05% E -2.11% K -4.40% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 23:50
SportsBet1.88I 53.19% NM 50.53%EV -5.95% E -3.17% K -6.76% G +0.000%1.92I 52.08% NM 49.47%EV -4.05% E -2.11% K -4.40% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 01:55
DraftKings1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -4.45% E -2.33% K -4.89% G +0.000%1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -4.55% E -2.38% K -5.00% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 23:45
Fanatics1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -4.45% E -2.33% K -4.89% G +0.000%1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -4.55% E -2.38% K -5.00% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 21:20
888sport1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -4.45% E -2.33% K -4.89% G +0.000%1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -4.55% E -2.38% K -5.00% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 23:55
Betway1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -4.45% E -2.33% K -4.89% G +0.000%1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -4.55% E -2.38% K -5.00% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 00:34
Caesars1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -4.45% E -2.33% K -4.89% G +0.000%1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -4.55% E -2.38% K -5.00% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 21:19
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -4.45% E -2.33% K -4.89% G +0.000%1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -4.55% E -2.38% K -5.00% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 23:55
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -4.45% E -2.33% K -4.89% G +0.000%1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -4.55% E -2.38% K -5.00% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 23:55
William Hill1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -4.45% E -2.33% K -4.89% G +0.000%1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -4.55% E -2.38% K -5.00% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 21:55
BetMGM1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -4.45% E -2.33% K -4.89% G +0.000%1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -4.55% E -2.38% K -5.00% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 22:05
Coral1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -4.45% E -2.33% K -4.89% G +0.000%1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -4.55% E -2.38% K -5.00% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 22:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -4.45% E -2.33% K -4.89% G +0.000%1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -4.55% E -2.38% K -5.00% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 22:05
Bovada1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -4.45% E -2.33% K -4.89% G +0.000%1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -4.55% E -2.38% K -5.00% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 00:40
BetAnything1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -4.45% E -2.33% K -4.89% G +0.000%1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -4.55% E -2.38% K -5.00% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 02:15
Unibet (UK)1.90I 52.63% NM 50.13%EV -4.95% E -2.61% K -5.50% G +0.000%1.91I 52.36% NM 49.87%EV -4.55% E -2.38% K -5.00% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 02:05
PlayUp1.90I 52.63% NM 50.13%EV -4.95% E -2.61% K -5.50% G +0.000%1.91I 52.36% NM 49.87%EV -4.55% E -2.38% K -5.00% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 02:05
Betr (AU)1.89I 52.91% NM 50.26%EV -5.45% E -2.88% K -6.12% G +0.000%1.91I 52.36% NM 49.74%EV -4.55% E -2.38% K -5.00% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 23:50
Fliff1.87I 53.48% NM 50.53%EV -6.45% E -3.45% K -7.41% G +0.000%1.91I 52.36% NM 49.47%EV -4.55% E -2.38% K -5.00% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 02:45
ReBet1.87I 53.48% NM 50.53%EV -6.45% E -3.45% K -7.41% G +0.000%1.91I 52.36% NM 49.47%EV -4.55% E -2.38% K -5.00% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 21:20
Dabble (AU)1.92I 52.08% NM 49.74%EV -3.95% E -2.06% K -4.29% G +0.000%1.90I 52.63% NM 50.26%EV -5.05% E -2.66% K -5.61% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 02:20
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63% NM 50.00%EV -4.95% E -2.61% K -5.50% G +0.000%1.90I 52.63% NM 50.00%EV -5.05% E -2.66% K -5.61% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 21:20
NordicBet1.90I 52.63% NM 50.00%EV -4.95% E -2.61% K -5.50% G +0.000%1.90I 52.63% NM 50.00%EV -5.05% E -2.66% K -5.61% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 00:35
Betsson1.90I 52.63% NM 50.00%EV -4.95% E -2.61% K -5.50% G +0.000%1.90I 52.63% NM 50.00%EV -5.05% E -2.66% K -5.61% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 00:35
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63% NM 50.00%EV -4.95% E -2.61% K -5.50% G +0.000%1.90I 52.63% NM 50.00%EV -5.05% E -2.66% K -5.61% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 21:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.90I 52.63% NM 50.00%EV -4.95% E -2.61% K -5.50% G +0.000%1.90I 52.63% NM 50.00%EV -5.05% E -2.66% K -5.61% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 22:05
Neds1.90I 52.63% NM 50.00%EV -4.95% E -2.61% K -5.50% G +0.000%1.90I 52.63% NM 50.00%EV -5.05% E -2.66% K -5.61% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 22:05
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19% NM 50.26%EV -5.95% E -3.17% K -6.76% G +0.000%1.90I 52.63% NM 49.74%EV -5.05% E -2.66% K -5.61% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 02:05
Betclic (FR)1.88I 53.19% NM 50.13%EV -5.95% E -3.17% K -6.76% G +0.000%1.89I 52.91% NM 49.87%EV -5.55% E -2.94% K -6.24% G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-05 02:04
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48% NM 50.00%EV -6.45% E -3.45% K -7.41% G +0.000%1.87I 53.48% NM 50.00%EV -6.55% E -3.50% K -7.53% G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-05 02:05
Bet Victor1.87I 53.48% NM 50.00%EV -6.45% E -3.45% K -7.41% G +0.000%1.87I 53.48% NM 50.00%EV -6.55% E -3.50% K -7.53% G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-05 02:26
Unibet (FR)1.84I 54.35% NM 50.27%EV -7.95% E -4.32% K -9.47% G +0.000%1.86I 53.76% NM 49.73%EV -7.05% E -3.79% K -8.20% G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-05 02:05
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35% NM 50.00%EV -7.95% E -4.32% K -9.47% G +0.000%1.84I 54.35% NM 50.00%EV -8.05% E -4.37% K -9.58% G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-05 02:05
Margin = book's overround · I = implied probability · NM = no-margin (de-vigged) probability · EV = expected value · E = edge · K = Kelly fraction · G = bankroll growth.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerCincinnati Reds (Local)Baltimore Orioles (Visit)Margin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.95I 51.28%2.04I 49.02%0.3%2026-07-05 02:05
Novig1.98I 50.51%2.00I 50.00%0.5%2026-07-05 02:22
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%2.00I 50.00%1.0%2026-07-04 23:00
Polymarket1.96I 51.02%2.00I 50.00%1.0%2026-07-05 00:30
ProphetX1.97I 50.76%1.98I 50.51%1.3%2026-07-05 02:15
Matchbook1.97I 50.76%1.97I 50.76%1.5%2026-07-05 02:40
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%1.85I 54.05%8.7%2026-07-05 02:50