默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Dundalk v Shamrock Rovers

开赛时间: 2026-10-30 19:45 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

48 家博彩公司 (14 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Dundalk (主队)

预测 24.02%4.16公平赔率
EV -1.50%
优势 -0.367%
Kelly -0.485%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.10

博彩公司预测分布
22.17%23.98%24.00%25.27%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.453.773.754.1028.99%26.54%26.67%24.39%最小值均值中位数最大值

Shamrock Rovers (客队)

预测 52.30%1.91公平赔率
EV -1.68%
优势 -0.892%
Kelly -1.91%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.88

博彩公司预测分布
49.51%52.26%52.19%55.10%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.601.781.771.8862.50%56.21%56.50%53.19%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 23.68%4.22公平赔率
EV +0.155%
优势 +0.037%
Kelly +0.048%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.23

博彩公司预测分布
22.73%23.76%23.81%25.60%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.353.783.754.2329.85%26.49%26.67%23.64%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Dundalk (主队):24.02%;Shamrock Rovers (客队):52.30%;平局:23.68%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.22。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为4.23,对应+0.155%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (48 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯4.01I 24.94%NM 24.02%EV -3.67%E -0.914%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.21%EV -5.34%E -2.95%K -6.59%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.77%EV +0.155%E +0.037%K +0.048%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-30 19:30
DraftKings🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.05%EV -5.11%E -1.29%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.78%EV -5.86%E -3.26%K -7.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%EV -2.92%E -0.713%K -0.943%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-30 19:25
LowVig.ag🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -8.48%E -4.84%K -11.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -2.92%E -0.713%K -0.943%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-30 19:25
BetOnline.ag🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -8.48%E -4.84%K -11.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -2.92%E -0.713%K -0.943%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-30 19:25
BetUS🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -8.48%E -4.84%K -11.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -2.92%E -0.713%K -0.943%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-30 19:25
BetAnything🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -8.48%E -4.84%K -11.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -2.92%E -0.713%K -0.943%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-30 19:25
FanDuel🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -3.91%E -0.977%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -9.00%E -5.17%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -5.29%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-30 19:30
Betway🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -13.52%E -3.75%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -8.48%E -4.84%K -11.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -5.29%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-30 19:25
Tipico (DE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -1.50%E -0.367%K -0.485%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -13.71%E -8.31%K -21.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -5.29%E -1.32%K -1.76%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-30 19:15
1xBet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.27%EV -6.38%E -3.57%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.75%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-30 19:15
Marathon Bet🎯3.92I 25.51%NM 23.76%EV -5.83%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.61%EV -7.43%E -4.20%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.63%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-30 19:10
Unibet (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.86%E -3.26%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -7.66%E -1.96%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-30 19:10
Coolbet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -3.91%E -0.977%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.47%EV -3.25%E -1.75%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -8.84%E -2.30%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-30 19:15
Winamax (DE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -9.91%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.91%EV -7.95%E -4.52%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.73%EV -8.84%E -2.30%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-30 19:10
Bovada🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.23%EV -7.95%E -4.52%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -10.03%E -2.64%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-30 19:24
William Hill🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -11.11%E -3.00%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -5.86%E -3.26%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -10.03%E -2.64%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-30 19:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.66%EV -9.52%E -5.50%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -10.03%E -2.64%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-30 19:35
BetMGM🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -8.71%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.20%EV -9.00%E -5.17%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -10.03%E -2.64%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-30 19:25
Paddy Power🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -8.71%E -2.29%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.34%EV -9.52%E -5.50%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -10.03%E -2.64%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-30 19:25
Bet Right🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.91%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -5.86%E -3.26%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -11.21%E -2.99%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-30 19:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -9.91%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -5.86%E -3.26%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -11.21%E -2.99%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-30 19:15
Neds🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -11.11%E -3.00%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.84%EV -9.52%E -5.50%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -11.21%E -2.99%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-30 19:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -11.11%E -3.00%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.84%EV -9.52%E -5.50%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -11.21%E -2.99%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-30 19:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -11.11%E -3.00%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.84%EV -9.52%E -5.50%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -11.21%E -2.99%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-30 19:25
Coral🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -11.11%E -3.00%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.84%EV -9.52%E -5.50%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -11.21%E -2.99%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-30 19:25
Sky Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -13.52%E -3.75%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.50%EV -9.52%E -5.50%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -11.21%E -2.99%K -4.08%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-30 19:10
Unibet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -9.91%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.77%EV -1.68%E -0.892%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -12.39%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-30 19:10
Unibet (NL)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -9.91%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.77%EV -1.68%E -0.892%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -12.39%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-30 19:05
TABtouch🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -9.91%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.77%EV -1.68%E -0.892%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -12.39%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-30 19:10
Unibet (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -9.91%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.77%EV -1.68%E -0.892%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -12.39%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-30 19:10
Grosvenor🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -9.91%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.77%EV -1.68%E -0.892%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -12.39%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-30 19:05
Casumo🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -9.91%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.77%EV -1.68%E -0.892%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -12.39%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-30 19:10
Svenska Spel🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -9.91%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.77%EV -1.68%E -0.892%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -12.39%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-30 19:10
betPARX🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -9.91%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.77%EV -1.68%E -0.892%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -12.39%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-30 19:10
ATG (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -9.91%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.77%EV -1.68%E -0.892%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -12.39%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-30 19:10
NordicBet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.61%EV -6.91%E -3.88%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -12.39%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-30 19:15
Betsson🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -6.31%E -1.62%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.61%EV -6.91%E -3.88%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -12.39%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-30 19:15
PlayUp🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.06%EV -9.91%E -2.64%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.56%EV -8.48%E -4.84%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -12.39%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-30 19:25
LeoVegas🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -11.11%E -3.00%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.39%EV -8.48%E -4.84%K -11.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.31%EV -12.39%E -3.35%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-30 19:15
Winamax (FR)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 24.63%EV -14.72%E -4.15%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.42%EV -11.09%E -6.52%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.95%EV -13.58%E -3.72%K -5.12%G +0.000%14.4%2026-10-30 19:15
betfred_uk🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -13.52%E -3.75%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -5.86%E -3.26%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -14.76%E -4.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-30 19:10
SportsBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 23.64%EV -11.11%E -3.00%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 52.06%EV -12.14%E -7.22%K -17.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.30%EV -14.76%E -4.10%K -5.68%G +0.000%14.3%2026-10-30 19:15
BetRivers🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -13.52%E -3.75%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 49.51%EV -5.34%E -2.95%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -17.13%E -4.89%K -6.85%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-30 19:10
Virgin Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -13.52%E -3.75%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 49.51%EV -5.34%E -2.95%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.60%EV -17.13%E -4.89%K -6.85%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-30 19:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.02%EV -14.72%E -4.15%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 49.61%EV -6.38%E -3.57%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -17.13%E -4.89%K -6.85%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-30 19:10
Unibet (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 23.37%EV -13.52%E -3.75%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 52.59%EV -16.32%E -10.20%K -27.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.04%EV -17.13%E -4.89%K -6.85%G +0.000%18.8%2026-10-30 19:25
LiveScore Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.05%EV -15.92%E -4.55%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 49.54%EV -7.43%E -4.20%K -9.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.41%EV -18.31%E -5.31%K -7.47%G +0.000%14.1%2026-10-30 19:10
PMU (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 24.85%EV -17.12%E -4.96%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 49.56%EV -9.52%E -5.50%K -13.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.59%EV -20.68%E -6.17%K -8.80%G +0.000%16.6%2026-10-30 19:10
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.30I 23.26%NM 23.00%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.46%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%1.1%2026-10-30 19:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.30I 23.26%NM 23.00%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.46%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%1.1%2026-10-30 19:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.30I 23.26%NM 23.00%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.46%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%1.1%2026-10-30 19:25
Matchbook◎4.30I 23.26%NM 23.00%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.46%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.55%1.1%2026-10-30 19:25