The School of Odds

Los Angeles Lakers v Miami Heat

2026-07-05 20:30 — NBA Summer League

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis)

Option 1: Los Angeles Lakers (Local)

1.9551.28%Min
1.9850.58%Mean
1.9850.51%Median
2.0050.00%Max
47.06%2.125Min
48.95%2.043Max
47.91%2.087Mean
47.89%2.088Median
47.86%2.090IQM
47.98%2.084Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.00 under the IQM model: 47.86%

EV -4.29%Edge -2.14%Kelly -4.29%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Miami Heat (Visit)

1.7656.82%Min
1.8254.91%Mean
1.8354.64%Median
1.8753.48%Max
51.05%1.959Min
52.94%1.889Max
52.09%1.920Mean
52.11%1.919Median
52.14%1.918IQM
52.02%1.922Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.87 under the IQM model: 52.14%

EV -2.49%Edge -1.33%Kelly -2.86%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLos Angeles Lakers (Local) ▼Miami Heat (Visit)MarginUpdated
Fanatics2.00I 50.00% NM 47.78%EV -4.29% E -2.14% K -4.29% G +0.000%1.83I 54.64% NM 52.22%EV -4.58% E -2.50% K -5.52% G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 00:19
Hard Rock Bet2.00I 50.00% NM 47.78%EV -4.29% E -2.14% K -4.29% G +0.000%1.83I 54.64% NM 52.22%EV -4.58% E -2.50% K -5.52% G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 02:19
Bovada2.00I 50.00% NM 47.78%EV -4.29% E -2.14% K -4.29% G +0.000%1.83I 54.64% NM 52.22%EV -4.58% E -2.50% K -5.52% G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 06:38
BetRivers2.00I 50.00% NM 47.09%EV -4.29% E -2.14% K -4.29% G +0.000%1.78I 56.18% NM 52.91%EV -7.19% E -4.04% K -9.21% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 06:45
SportsBet1.98I 50.51% NM 48.03%EV -5.24% E -2.65% K -5.35% G +0.000%1.83I 54.64% NM 51.97%EV -4.58% E -2.50% K -5.52% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 00:15
Marathon Bet1.98I 50.51% NM 47.06%EV -5.24% E -2.65% K -5.35% G +0.000%1.76I 56.82% NM 52.94%EV -8.23% E -4.67% K -10.83% G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-05 06:45
FanDuel1.96I 51.02% NM 48.56%EV -6.20% E -3.16% K -6.46% G +0.000%1.85I 54.05% NM 51.44%EV -3.54% E -1.91% K -4.16% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 00:15
DraftKings1.95I 51.28% NM 48.95%EV -6.68% E -3.43% K -7.03% G +0.000%1.87I 53.48% NM 51.05%EV -2.49% E -1.33% K -2.86% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 01:05
ReBet1.95I 51.28% NM 48.41%EV -6.68% E -3.43% K -7.03% G +0.000%1.83I 54.64% NM 51.59%EV -4.58% E -2.50% K -5.52% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 00:35
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28% NM 48.00%EV -6.68% E -3.43% K -7.03% G +0.000%1.80I 55.56% NM 52.00%EV -6.14% E -3.41% K -7.68% G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-05 06:49
Margin = book's overround · I = implied probability · NM = no-margin (de-vigged) probability · EV = expected value · E = edge · K = Kelly fraction · G = bankroll growth.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLos Angeles Lakers (Local)Miami Heat (Visit)Margin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.01I 99.01%1.01I 99.01%98.0%2026-07-05 01:45