The School of Odds

West Indies v Sri Lanka

2026-07-05 14:00 — Test Matches

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (2 in analysis)

Option 1: West Indies (Local)

10.0010.00%Min
12.757.84%Mean
13.007.69%Median
14.007.14%Max
6.63%15.085Min
9.26%10.799Max
6.93%14.432Mean
6.93%14.432Median
6.93%14.432IQM
6.95%14.380Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 14.00 under the IQM model: 6.93%

EV -2.99%Edge -0.214%Kelly -0.230%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Sri Lanka (Visit)

1.6062.50%Min
1.6460.93%Mean
1.6460.98%Median
1.6859.52%Max
55.12%1.814Min
58.29%1.716Max
56.78%1.761Mean
56.78%1.761Median
56.78%1.761IQM
56.82%1.760Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.68 under the IQM model: 56.78%

EV -4.62%Edge -2.75%Kelly -6.79%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

2.5040.00%Min
2.6238.16%Mean
2.6537.74%Median
2.7037.04%Max
34.54%2.895Min
37.12%2.694Max
36.29%2.755Mean
36.29%2.755Median
36.29%2.755IQM
36.22%2.761Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.70 under the IQM model: 36.29%

EV -2.01%Edge -0.743%Kelly -1.18%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

BookmakerWest Indies (Local) ▼Sri Lanka (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
Betway14.00I 7.14% NM 6.63%EV -2.99% E -0.214% K -0.230% G +0.000%1.65I 60.61% NM 56.25%EV -6.32% E -3.83% K -9.72% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 37.12%EV -9.26% E -3.71% K -6.18% G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-04 21:40
Unibet13.00I 7.69% NM 7.23%EV -9.92% E -0.763% K -0.827% G +0.000%1.64I 60.98% NM 57.31%EV -6.89% E -4.20% K -10.76% G +0.000%2.65I 37.74% NM 35.46%EV -3.82% E -1.44% K -2.32% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-04 21:40
Virgin Bet13.00I 7.69% NM 7.23%EV -9.92% E -0.763% K -0.827% G +0.000%1.64I 60.98% NM 57.31%EV -6.89% E -4.20% K -10.76% G +0.000%2.65I 37.74% NM 35.46%EV -3.82% E -1.44% K -2.32% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-04 21:40
Casumo13.00I 7.69% NM 7.23%EV -9.92% E -0.763% K -0.827% G +0.000%1.64I 60.98% NM 57.31%EV -6.89% E -4.20% K -10.76% G +0.000%2.65I 37.74% NM 35.46%EV -3.82% E -1.44% K -2.32% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-04 21:40
LiveScore Bet13.00I 7.69% NM 7.23%EV -9.92% E -0.763% K -0.827% G +0.000%1.64I 60.98% NM 57.31%EV -6.89% E -4.20% K -10.76% G +0.000%2.65I 37.74% NM 35.46%EV -3.82% E -1.44% K -2.32% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-04 21:35
Unibet (SE)13.00I 7.69% NM 7.23%EV -9.92% E -0.763% K -0.827% G +0.000%1.64I 60.98% NM 57.31%EV -6.89% E -4.20% K -10.76% G +0.000%2.65I 37.74% NM 35.46%EV -3.82% E -1.44% K -2.32% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-04 21:35
Grosvenor13.00I 7.69% NM 7.23%EV -9.92% E -0.763% K -0.827% G +0.000%1.64I 60.98% NM 57.31%EV -6.89% E -4.20% K -10.76% G +0.000%2.65I 37.74% NM 35.46%EV -3.82% E -1.44% K -2.32% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-04 21:40
ATG (SE)13.00I 7.69% NM 7.23%EV -9.92% E -0.763% K -0.827% G +0.000%1.64I 60.98% NM 57.31%EV -6.89% E -4.20% K -10.76% G +0.000%2.65I 37.74% NM 35.46%EV -3.82% E -1.44% K -2.32% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-04 21:35
BetRivers13.00I 7.69% NM 7.23%EV -9.92% E -0.763% K -0.827% G +0.000%1.64I 60.98% NM 57.31%EV -6.89% E -4.20% K -10.76% G +0.000%2.65I 37.74% NM 35.46%EV -3.82% E -1.44% K -2.32% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-04 21:40
LeoVegas (SE)13.00I 7.69% NM 7.18%EV -9.92% E -0.763% K -0.827% G +0.000%1.63I 61.35% NM 57.30%EV -7.45% E -4.57% K -11.83% G +0.000%2.63I 38.02% NM 35.51%EV -4.55% E -1.73% K -2.79% G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-04 21:35
Betr (AU)13.00I 7.69% NM 7.17%EV -9.92% E -0.763% K -0.827% G +0.000%1.60I 62.50% NM 58.29%EV -9.16% E -5.72% K -15.26% G +0.000%2.70I 37.04% NM 34.54%EV -2.01% E -0.743% K -1.18% G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-04 22:15
TABtouch13.00I 7.69% NM 7.13%EV -9.92% E -0.763% K -0.827% G +0.000%1.62I 61.73% NM 57.22%EV -8.02% E -4.95% K -12.94% G +0.000%2.60I 38.46% NM 35.65%EV -5.64% E -2.17% K -3.52% G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-04 21:40
Paddy Power13.00I 7.69% NM 7.13%EV -9.92% E -0.763% K -0.827% G +0.000%1.62I 61.73% NM 57.22%EV -8.02% E -4.95% K -12.94% G +0.000%2.60I 38.46% NM 35.65%EV -5.64% E -2.17% K -3.52% G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-04 21:35
Neds12.00I 8.33% NM 7.76%EV -16.85% E -1.40% K -1.53% G +0.000%1.67I 59.88% NM 55.74%EV -5.18% E -3.10% K -7.74% G +0.000%2.55I 39.22% NM 36.50%EV -7.45% E -2.92% K -4.81% G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-04 22:00
Ladbrokes (AU)12.00I 8.33% NM 7.76%EV -16.85% E -1.40% K -1.53% G +0.000%1.67I 59.88% NM 55.74%EV -5.18% E -3.10% K -7.74% G +0.000%2.55I 39.22% NM 36.50%EV -7.45% E -2.92% K -4.81% G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-04 22:00
TAB10.00I 10.00% NM 9.26%EV -30.71% E -3.07% K -3.41% G +0.000%1.68I 59.52% NM 55.12%EV -4.62% E -2.75% K -6.79% G +0.000%2.60I 38.46% NM 35.62%EV -5.64% E -2.17% K -3.52% G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-05 02:45
Margin = book's overround · I = implied probability · NM = no-margin (de-vigged) probability · EV = expected value · E = edge · K = Kelly fraction · G = bankroll growth.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerWest Indies (Local)Sri Lanka (Visit)DrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)14.00I 7.14%1.74I 57.47%2.78I 35.97%0.6%2026-07-05 02:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)13.50I 7.41%1.74I 57.47%2.80I 35.71%0.6%2026-07-05 02:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)13.50I 7.41%1.74I 57.47%2.80I 35.71%0.6%2026-07-05 02:50