The School of OddsChicago Cubs v St. Louis Cardinals
Head to Head
Option 1: Chicago Cubs (Local)
Odds
1.5664.10%Min
1.6361.35%Mean
1.6261.73%Median
1.6959.17%Max
Consensus probabilities
57.40%1.742Min
59.30%1.686Max
58.29%1.716Mean
58.28%1.716Median
58.29%1.715IQM
58.26%1.716Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 1.69 under the IQM model: 58.29%
EV -1.48%Edge -0.877%Kelly -2.15%Growth +0.000%
Option 2: St. Louis Cardinals (Visit)
Odds
2.1546.51%Min
2.2843.80%Mean
2.3043.48%Median
2.3842.02%Max
Consensus probabilities
40.70%2.457Min
42.60%2.347Max
41.71%2.398Mean
41.72%2.397Median
41.71%2.398IQM
41.74%2.396Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 2.38 under the IQM model: 41.71%
EV -0.741%Edge -0.311%Kelly -0.537%Growth +0.000%
Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Chicago Cubs (Local) ▼ | St. Louis Cardinals (Visit) | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets | 1.69I 59.17% NM 57.96%EV -1.48% E -0.877% K -2.15% G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92% NM 42.04%EV -2.83% E -1.21% K -2.13% G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-03 18:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.69I 59.17% NM 57.75%EV -1.48% E -0.877% K -2.15% G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29% NM 42.25%EV -3.66% E -1.58% K -2.79% G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-03 18:15 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.69I 59.17% NM 57.75%EV -1.48% E -0.877% K -2.15% G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29% NM 42.25%EV -3.66% E -1.58% K -2.79% G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-03 18:15 |
| 1xBet | 1.67I 59.88% NM 58.77%EV -2.65% E -1.59% K -3.95% G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02% NM 41.23%EV -0.741% E -0.311% K -0.537% G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-07-03 18:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.67I 59.88% NM 57.93%EV -2.65% E -1.59% K -3.95% G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48% NM 42.07%EV -4.08% E -1.77% K -3.14% G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-03 19:05 |
| Fanatics | 1.67I 59.88% NM 57.40%EV -2.65% E -1.59% K -3.95% G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44% NM 42.60%EV -6.16% E -2.74% K -4.93% G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-03 19:10 |
| Caesars | 1.65I 60.61% NM 58.23%EV -3.81% E -2.31% K -5.87% G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48% NM 41.77%EV -4.08% E -1.77% K -3.14% G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-03 18:55 |
| Fliff | 1.65I 60.61% NM 57.69%EV -3.81% E -2.31% K -5.87% G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44% NM 42.31%EV -6.16% E -2.74% K -4.93% G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-03 17:34 |
| DraftKings | 1.64I 60.98% NM 58.27%EV -4.40% E -2.68% K -6.87% G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67% NM 41.73%EV -4.49% E -1.96% K -3.48% G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-03 19:05 |
| PlayUp | 1.63I 61.35% NM 58.52%EV -4.98% E -3.06% K -7.90% G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48% NM 41.48%EV -4.08% E -1.77% K -3.14% G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-03 19:20 |
| Bet Right | 1.63I 61.35% NM 58.52%EV -4.98% E -3.06% K -7.90% G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48% NM 41.48%EV -4.08% E -1.77% K -3.14% G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-03 19:10 |
| Betsson | 1.63I 61.35% NM 58.21%EV -4.98% E -3.06% K -7.90% G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05% NM 41.79%EV -5.33% E -2.35% K -4.20% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-03 17:30 |
| FanDuel | 1.62I 61.73% NM 59.30%EV -5.56% E -3.43% K -8.97% G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37% NM 40.70%EV -1.58% E -0.667% K -1.16% G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-03 17:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.62I 61.73% NM 58.67%EV -5.56% E -3.43% K -8.97% G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48% NM 41.33%EV -4.08% E -1.77% K -3.14% G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-03 19:10 |
| 888sport | 1.62I 61.73% NM 58.67%EV -5.56% E -3.43% K -8.97% G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48% NM 41.33%EV -4.08% E -1.77% K -3.14% G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-03 17:39 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.62I 61.73% NM 58.67%EV -5.56% E -3.43% K -8.97% G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48% NM 41.33%EV -4.08% E -1.77% K -3.14% G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-03 17:39 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.62I 61.73% NM 58.67%EV -5.56% E -3.43% K -8.97% G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48% NM 41.33%EV -4.08% E -1.77% K -3.14% G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-03 17:39 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.62I 61.73% NM 58.67%EV -5.56% E -3.43% K -8.97% G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48% NM 41.33%EV -4.08% E -1.77% K -3.14% G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-03 17:40 |
| Coolbet | 1.62I 61.73% NM 58.67%EV -5.56% E -3.43% K -8.97% G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48% NM 41.33%EV -4.08% E -1.77% K -3.14% G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-03 19:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.62I 61.73% NM 58.35%EV -5.56% E -3.43% K -8.97% G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05% NM 41.65%EV -5.33% E -2.35% K -4.20% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-03 19:24 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.62I 61.73% NM 58.14%EV -5.56% E -3.43% K -8.97% G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44% NM 41.86%EV -6.16% E -2.74% K -4.93% G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-03 19:10 |
| Bet Victor | 1.61I 62.11% NM 58.29%EV -6.15% E -3.82% K -10.07% G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44% NM 41.71%EV -6.16% E -2.74% K -4.93% G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-03 19:09 |
| Paddy Power | 1.60I 62.50% NM 58.97%EV -6.73% E -4.21% K -11.21% G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48% NM 41.03%EV -4.08% E -1.77% K -3.14% G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-03 17:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.59I 62.89% NM 59.23%EV -7.31% E -4.60% K -12.39% G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29% NM 40.77%EV -3.66% E -1.58% K -2.79% G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-03 17:30 |
| ReBet | 1.59I 62.89% NM 58.05%EV -7.31% E -4.60% K -12.39% G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45% NM 41.95%EV -8.25% E -3.75% K -6.87% G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-03 19:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.57I 63.69% NM 57.80%EV -8.48% E -5.40% K -14.87% G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51% NM 42.20%EV -10.33% E -4.81% K -8.99% G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-03 19:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.56I 64.10% NM 57.95%EV -9.06% E -5.81% K -16.18% G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51% NM 42.05%EV -10.33% E -4.81% K -8.99% G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-03 19:10 |
Margin = book's overround · I = implied probability · NM = no-margin (de-vigged) probability · EV = expected value · E = edge · K = Kelly fraction · G = bankroll growth.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Chicago Cubs (Local) | St. Louis Cardinals (Visit) | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 1.72I 58.14% | 2.38I 42.02% | 0.2% | 2026-07-03 18:30 |
| Polymarket | 1.72I 58.14% | 2.33I 42.92% | 1.1% | 2026-07-03 17:30 |
| Novig | 1.56I 64.10% | 2.27I 44.05% | 8.2% | 2026-07-03 19:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.57I 63.69% | 2.16I 46.30% | 10.0% | 2026-07-03 19:10 |