Texas Rangers v Detroit Tigers

2026-07-04 20:06 — MLB

Head to Head

30 sportsbooks (13 in analysis)

Option 1: Texas Rangers (Local)

Odds

1.8454.35%Min

1.9351.92%Mean

1.9252.08%Median

2.0050.00%Max

Consensus probabilities

47.64%2.099Min

50.00%2.000Max

49.30%2.028Mean

49.21%2.032Median

49.32%2.028IQM

49.30%2.028Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.00 under the IQM model: 49.32%

EV -1.37%Edge -0.683%Kelly -1.37%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Detroit Tigers (Visit)

Odds

1.7856.18%Min

1.8753.35%Mean

1.8853.19%Median

1.9651.02%Max

Consensus probabilities

50.00%2.000Min

52.36%1.910Max

50.70%1.972Mean

50.79%1.969Median

50.68%1.973IQM

50.70%1.972Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.96 under the IQM model: 50.68%

EV -0.661%Edge -0.337%Kelly -0.689%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Texas Rangers (Local) ▼	Detroit Tigers (Visit)	Margin	Updated
FanDuel	2.00I 50.00% NM 48.05%EV -1.37% E -0.683% K -1.37% G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05% NM 51.95%EV -6.24% E -3.37% K -7.34% G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-07-03 17:25
Dabble (AU)	2.00I 50.00% NM 47.64%EV -1.37% E -0.683% K -1.37% G +0.000%	1.82I 54.95% NM 52.36%EV -7.76% E -4.26% K -9.46% G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-07-03 19:35
BetOnline.ag	1.97I 50.76% NM 49.49%EV -2.85% E -1.44% K -2.93% G +0.000%	1.93I 51.81% NM 50.51%EV -2.18% E -1.13% K -2.35% G +0.000%	2.6%	2026-07-03 18:04
LowVig.ag	1.97I 50.76% NM 49.49%EV -2.85% E -1.44% K -2.93% G +0.000%	1.93I 51.81% NM 50.51%EV -2.18% E -1.13% K -2.35% G +0.000%	2.6%	2026-07-03 18:05
GTbets	1.97I 50.76% NM 49.49%EV -2.85% E -1.44% K -2.93% G +0.000%	1.93I 51.81% NM 50.51%EV -2.18% E -1.13% K -2.35% G +0.000%	2.6%	2026-07-03 18:20
1xBet	1.96I 51.02% NM 50.00%EV -3.34% E -1.70% K -3.48% G +0.000%	1.96I 51.02% NM 50.00%EV -0.661% E -0.337% K -0.689% G +0.000%	2.0%	2026-07-03 19:15
SportsBet	1.96I 51.02% NM 48.42%EV -3.34% E -1.70% K -3.48% G +0.000%	1.84I 54.35% NM 51.58%EV -6.74% E -3.66% K -8.03% G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-03 17:30
Fanatics	1.95I 51.28% NM 48.95%EV -3.83% E -1.97% K -4.03% G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48% NM 51.05%EV -5.22% E -2.79% K -6.00% G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-07-03 19:10
Bet Right	1.94I 51.55% NM 49.21%EV -4.32% E -2.23% K -4.60% G +0.000%	1.88I 53.19% NM 50.79%EV -4.72% E -2.51% K -5.36% G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-07-03 19:15
Unibet (UK)	1.94I 51.55% NM 49.08%EV -4.32% E -2.23% K -4.60% G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48% NM 50.92%EV -5.22% E -2.79% K -6.00% G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-03 19:05
DraftKings	1.93I 51.81% NM 49.48%EV -4.82% E -2.50% K -5.18% G +0.000%	1.89I 52.91% NM 50.52%EV -4.21% E -2.23% K -4.73% G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-07-03 19:05
PlayUp	1.93I 51.81% NM 49.34%EV -4.82% E -2.50% K -5.18% G +0.000%	1.88I 53.19% NM 50.66%EV -4.72% E -2.51% K -5.36% G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-03 19:10
Betr (AU)	1.93I 51.81% NM 49.34%EV -4.82% E -2.50% K -5.18% G +0.000%	1.88I 53.19% NM 50.66%EV -4.72% E -2.51% K -5.36% G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-03 19:10
Coolbet	1.92I 52.08% NM 49.61%EV -5.31% E -2.77% K -5.77% G +0.000%	1.89I 52.91% NM 50.39%EV -4.21% E -2.23% K -4.73% G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-03 19:10
NordicBet	1.92I 52.08% NM 49.47%EV -5.31% E -2.77% K -5.77% G +0.000%	1.88I 53.19% NM 50.53%EV -4.72% E -2.51% K -5.36% G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-03 19:10
Betsson	1.92I 52.08% NM 49.47%EV -5.31% E -2.77% K -5.77% G +0.000%	1.88I 53.19% NM 50.53%EV -4.72% E -2.51% K -5.36% G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-03 19:10
Betclic (FR)	1.92I 52.08% NM 49.21%EV -5.31% E -2.77% K -5.77% G +0.000%	1.86I 53.76% NM 50.79%EV -5.73% E -3.08% K -6.66% G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-07-03 19:05
Winamax (DE)	1.92I 52.08% NM 49.21%EV -5.31% E -2.77% K -5.77% G +0.000%	1.86I 53.76% NM 50.79%EV -5.73% E -3.08% K -6.66% G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-07-03 19:10
Fliff	1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -5.80% E -3.04% K -6.38% G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -3.20% E -1.67% K -3.51% G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-07-03 17:34
William Hill	1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -5.80% E -3.04% K -6.38% G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -3.20% E -1.67% K -3.51% G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-07-03 19:40
Caesars	1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -5.80% E -3.04% K -6.38% G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -3.20% E -1.67% K -3.51% G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-07-03 18:55
Bet Victor	1.91I 52.36% NM 49.20%EV -5.80% E -3.04% K -6.38% G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05% NM 50.80%EV -6.24% E -3.37% K -7.34% G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-07-03 19:09
888sport	1.91I 52.36% NM 49.20%EV -5.80% E -3.04% K -6.38% G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05% NM 50.80%EV -6.24% E -3.37% K -7.34% G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-07-03 18:50
888sport (SE)	1.91I 52.36% NM 49.20%EV -5.80% E -3.04% K -6.38% G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05% NM 50.80%EV -6.24% E -3.37% K -7.34% G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-07-03 18:55
Mr Green (SE)	1.91I 52.36% NM 49.20%EV -5.80% E -3.04% K -6.38% G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05% NM 50.80%EV -6.24% E -3.37% K -7.34% G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-07-03 18:55
Paddy Power	1.90I 52.63% NM 50.00%EV -6.30% E -3.31% K -7.00% G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63% NM 50.00%EV -3.70% E -1.95% K -4.11% G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-03 17:30
PointsBet (AU)	1.90I 52.63% NM 50.00%EV -6.30% E -3.31% K -7.00% G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63% NM 50.00%EV -3.70% E -1.95% K -4.11% G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-03 18:05
ReBet	1.87I 53.48% NM 49.46%EV -7.78% E -4.16% K -8.94% G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64% NM 50.54%EV -7.25% E -3.96% K -8.74% G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-07-03 19:05
Unibet (FR)	1.85I 54.05% NM 49.18%EV -8.76% E -4.74% K -10.31% G +0.000%	1.79I 55.87% NM 50.82%EV -9.28% E -5.18% K -11.74% G +0.000%	9.9%	2026-07-03 19:10
Winamax (FR)	1.84I 54.35% NM 49.17%EV -9.26% E -5.03% K -11.02% G +0.000%	1.78I 56.18% NM 50.83%EV -9.78% E -5.50% K -12.54% G +0.000%	10.5%	2026-07-03 19:05

Margin = book's overround · I = implied probability · NM = no-margin (de-vigged) probability · EV = expected value · E = edge · K = Kelly fraction · G = bankroll growth.

Exchanges (4)

Bookmaker	Texas Rangers (Local)	Detroit Tigers (Visit)	Margin ▲	Updated
Polymarket	2.00I 50.00%	1.96I 51.02%	1.0%	2026-07-03 19:35
Kalshi	1.96I 51.02%	1.96I 51.02%	2.0%	2026-07-03 19:45
Novig	2.00I 50.00%	1.92I 52.08%	2.1%	2026-07-03 19:55
Smarkets	1.85I 54.05%	1.79I 55.87%	9.9%	2026-07-03 19:05