Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

América v Portland Timbers

Início: 2026-08-10 02:15 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

44 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

América (Local)

Previsão 38.36%2.61odd justa
EV -2.17%
Vantagem -0.852%
Kelly -1.40%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.55

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.92%38.56%38.26%40.96%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.202.432.462.5545.45%41.23%40.73%39.22%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Portland Timbers (Visitante)

Previsão 36.51%2.74odd justa
EV +2.23%
Vantagem +0.796%
Kelly +1.24%
Crescimento +0.028%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
33.77%36.29%36.44%37.24%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.452.542.502.8040.82%39.37%40.00%35.71%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 25.13%3.98odd justa
EV +0.502%
Vantagem +0.125%
Kelly +0.167%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.00%25.14%25.30%27.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.403.653.654.0029.41%27.43%27.40%25.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: América (Local): 38.36%; Portland Timbers (Visitante): 36.51%; Empate: 25.13%. Para Portland Timbers (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.74. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.80, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.23%.

Odds das casas de apostas (44 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.59%EV -5.62%E -2.29%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.90%EV +2.23%E +0.796%K +1.24%G +0.028%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.51%EV -13.32%E -3.86%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-10 02:05
Dabble (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -7.93%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -3.25%E -1.23%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -9.55%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-10 02:10
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -13.68%E -6.08%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -3.25%E -1.23%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -4.52%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-10 01:45
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.21%EV -15.60%E -7.09%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.77%EV -4.34%E -1.66%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -14.57%E -4.29%K -6.07%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-10 02:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.21%EV -15.60%E -7.09%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.77%EV -4.34%E -1.66%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -14.57%E -4.29%K -6.07%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-10 02:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.21%EV -15.60%E -7.09%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.77%EV -4.34%E -1.66%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -14.57%E -4.29%K -6.07%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-10 02:10
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.21%EV -15.60%E -7.09%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.77%EV -4.34%E -1.66%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -14.57%E -4.29%K -6.07%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-10 02:10
Pinnacle🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 39.00%EV -5.24%E -2.12%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.91%EV -4.71%E -1.80%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.08%EV +0.502%E +0.125%K +0.167%G +0.001%3.8%2026-08-10 02:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.36%EV -7.16%E -2.96%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.64%EV -5.07%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.00%EV -0.252%E -0.063%K -0.085%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-10 02:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.36%EV -7.16%E -2.96%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.64%EV -5.07%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.00%EV -0.252%E -0.063%K -0.085%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-10 02:10
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.78%EV -6.01%E -2.45%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.54%EV -5.07%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.68%EV -3.27%E -0.849%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 01:54
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.92%EV -4.09%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -5.07%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -7.04%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-10 01:50
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -7.93%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.89%EV -5.07%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -7.04%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-10 02:05
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -9.84%E -4.19%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -5.07%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.55%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-10 02:10
NordicBet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.73%EV -4.86%E -1.96%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.27%EV -5.80%E -2.25%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -9.55%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-10 01:50
Betsson🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.73%EV -4.86%E -1.96%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.27%EV -5.80%E -2.25%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -9.55%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-10 01:50
Caesars🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -2.17%E -0.852%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -6.90%E -2.70%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -9.55%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-10 01:54
FanDuel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.38%EV -6.01%E -2.45%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.90%E -2.70%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.52%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-10 01:45
Grosvenor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -4.09%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.29%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-10 01:55
BetRivers🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -4.09%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.29%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-10 01:54
Unibet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -4.09%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.29%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-10 01:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -4.09%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.29%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-10 01:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -4.09%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.29%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-10 01:55
TABtouch🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -4.09%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.29%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-10 01:54
Unibet (NL)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -4.09%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.29%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-10 01:55
Casumo🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -4.09%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.29%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-10 01:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -4.09%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.29%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-10 01:54
PMU (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -4.09%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.29%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-10 01:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -4.09%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.29%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-10 01:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -4.09%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.29%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-10 01:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -4.09%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.29%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-10 01:55
Bally Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -4.09%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.29%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-10 01:55
betPARX🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -4.09%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.29%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-10 02:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -4.09%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.55%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-10 01:55
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -7.93%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.04%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -4.52%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-10 02:10
SportsBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -7.93%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.80%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -7.04%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-10 01:49
Bet Victor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -7.93%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -9.55%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-10 01:45
betano_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -8.69%E -3.65%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -9.55%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-10 02:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.92%EV -7.93%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -10.55%E -4.31%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -8.29%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-10 01:49
Fliff🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.79%EV -7.93%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -10.55%E -4.31%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -9.55%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-10 02:10
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.99%EV -8.69%E -3.65%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.90%EV -10.55%E -4.31%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -9.55%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-10 01:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.99%EV -8.69%E -3.65%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.90%EV -10.55%E -4.31%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -9.55%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-10 02:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.15%EV -9.84%E -4.19%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -10.55%E -4.31%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.25%EV -10.80%E -3.04%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-10 01:49
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.01%EV -9.84%E -4.19%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -10.55%E -4.31%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.52%EV -12.06%E -3.45%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-10 02:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.96%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.44%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.60%0.9%2026-08-10 02:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.16%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.32%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.52%1.2%2026-08-10 02:10
Smarkets2.44I 40.98%NM 40.46%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.03%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51%1.3%2026-08-10 02:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.74%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.23%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04%1.5%2026-08-10 02:10