L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
+ Nouveau modèleTous les modèles

América v Portland Timbers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-10 02:15 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

44 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

América (Local)

Prévision 38.36%2.61cote équitable
EV -2.17%
Avantage -0.852%
Kelly -1.40%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.92%38.56%38.26%40.96%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.202.432.462.5545.45%41.23%40.73%39.22%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Portland Timbers (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.51%2.74cote équitable
EV +2.23%
Avantage +0.796%
Kelly +1.24%
Croissance +0.028%

avec la cote maximale 2.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.77%36.29%36.44%37.24%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.452.542.502.8040.82%39.37%40.00%35.71%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.13%3.98cote équitable
EV +0.502%
Avantage +0.125%
Kelly +0.167%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.00%25.14%25.30%27.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.403.653.654.0029.41%27.43%27.40%25.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : América (Local) : 38.36% ; Portland Timbers (Visiteur) : 36.51% ; Match nul : 25.13%. Pour Portland Timbers (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.74. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.80, soit une espérance positive de +2.23%.

Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.59%EV -5.62%E -2.29%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.90%EV +2.23%E +0.796%K +1.24%G +0.028%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.51%EV -13.32%E -3.86%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-10 02:05
Dabble (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -7.93%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -3.25%E -1.23%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -9.55%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-10 02:10
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -13.68%E -6.08%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -3.25%E -1.23%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -4.52%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-10 01:45
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.21%EV -15.60%E -7.09%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.77%EV -4.34%E -1.66%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -14.57%E -4.29%K -6.07%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-10 02:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.21%EV -15.60%E -7.09%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.77%EV -4.34%E -1.66%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -14.57%E -4.29%K -6.07%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-10 02:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.21%EV -15.60%E -7.09%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.77%EV -4.34%E -1.66%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -14.57%E -4.29%K -6.07%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-10 02:10
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.21%EV -15.60%E -7.09%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.77%EV -4.34%E -1.66%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -14.57%E -4.29%K -6.07%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-10 02:10
Pinnacle🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 39.00%EV -5.24%E -2.12%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.91%EV -4.71%E -1.80%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.08%EV +0.502%E +0.125%K +0.167%G +0.001%3.8%2026-08-10 02:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.36%EV -7.16%E -2.96%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.64%EV -5.07%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.00%EV -0.252%E -0.063%K -0.085%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-10 02:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.36%EV -7.16%E -2.96%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.64%EV -5.07%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.00%EV -0.252%E -0.063%K -0.085%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-10 02:10
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.78%EV -6.01%E -2.45%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.54%EV -5.07%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.68%EV -3.27%E -0.849%K -1.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 01:54
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.92%EV -4.09%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -5.07%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -7.04%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-10 01:50
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -7.93%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.89%EV -5.07%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -7.04%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-10 02:05
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -9.84%E -4.19%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -5.07%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.55%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-10 02:10
NordicBet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.73%EV -4.86%E -1.96%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.27%EV -5.80%E -2.25%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -9.55%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-10 01:50
Betsson🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.73%EV -4.86%E -1.96%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.27%EV -5.80%E -2.25%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -9.55%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-10 01:50
Caesars🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -2.17%E -0.852%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -6.90%E -2.70%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -9.55%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-10 01:54
FanDuel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.38%EV -6.01%E -2.45%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.90%E -2.70%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.52%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-10 01:45
Grosvenor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -4.09%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.29%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-10 01:55
BetRivers🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -4.09%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.29%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-10 01:54
Unibet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -4.09%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.29%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-10 01:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -4.09%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.29%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-10 01:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -4.09%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.29%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-10 01:55
TABtouch🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -4.09%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.29%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-10 01:54
Unibet (NL)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -4.09%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.29%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-10 01:55
Casumo🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -4.09%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.29%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-10 01:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -4.09%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.29%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-10 01:54
PMU (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -4.09%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.29%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-10 01:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -4.09%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.29%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-10 01:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -4.09%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.29%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-10 01:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -4.09%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.29%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-10 01:55
Bally Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -4.09%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.29%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-10 01:55
betPARX🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -4.09%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.29%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-10 02:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -4.09%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.55%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-10 01:55
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -7.93%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.04%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -4.52%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-10 02:10
SportsBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -7.93%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.80%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -7.04%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-10 01:49
Bet Victor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -7.93%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -9.55%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-10 01:45
betano_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -8.69%E -3.65%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -9.55%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-10 02:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.92%EV -7.93%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -10.55%E -4.31%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -8.29%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-10 01:49
Fliff🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.79%EV -7.93%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -10.55%E -4.31%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -9.55%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-10 02:10
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.99%EV -8.69%E -3.65%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.90%EV -10.55%E -4.31%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -9.55%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-10 01:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.99%EV -8.69%E -3.65%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.90%EV -10.55%E -4.31%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -9.55%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-10 02:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.15%EV -9.84%E -4.19%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -10.55%E -4.31%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.25%EV -10.80%E -3.04%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-10 01:49
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.01%EV -9.84%E -4.19%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -10.55%E -4.31%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.52%EV -12.06%E -3.45%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-10 02:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.96%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.44%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.60%0.9%2026-08-10 02:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.16%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.32%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.52%1.2%2026-08-10 02:10
Smarkets◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.46%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.03%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51%1.3%2026-08-10 02:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.74%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.23%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04%1.5%2026-08-10 02:10