Language:English
América v Portland Timbers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
América (Local)
Prediction 38.36%2.61fair odd
EV -2.17%
Edge -0.852%
Kelly -1.40%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.92%38.56%38.26%40.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.432.462.5545.45%41.23%40.73%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Portland Timbers (Visit)
Prediction 36.51%2.74fair odd
EV +2.23%
Edge +0.796%
Kelly +1.24%
Growth +0.028%
assuming max odds 2.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.77%36.29%36.44%37.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.542.502.8040.82%39.37%40.00%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.13%3.98fair odd
EV +0.502%
Edge +0.125%
Kelly +0.167%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.00%25.14%25.30%27.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.653.654.0029.41%27.43%27.40%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: América (Local): 38.36%; Portland Timbers (Visit): 36.51%; Draw: 25.13%. For Portland Timbers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.74. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.23%.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.59%EV -5.62%E -2.29%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.90%EV +2.23%E +0.796%K +1.24%G +0.028% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.51%EV -13.32%E -3.86%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-10 02:05 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -7.93%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -3.25%E -1.23%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -9.55%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-10 02:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -13.68%E -6.08%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -3.25%E -1.23%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -4.52%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-10 01:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.21%EV -15.60%E -7.09%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.77%EV -4.34%E -1.66%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -14.57%E -4.29%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-10 02:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.21%EV -15.60%E -7.09%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.77%EV -4.34%E -1.66%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -14.57%E -4.29%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-10 02:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.21%EV -15.60%E -7.09%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.77%EV -4.34%E -1.66%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -14.57%E -4.29%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-10 02:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.21%EV -15.60%E -7.09%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.77%EV -4.34%E -1.66%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -14.57%E -4.29%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-10 02:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.00%EV -5.24%E -2.12%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.91%EV -4.71%E -1.80%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.08%EV +0.502%E +0.125%K +0.167%G +0.001% | 3.8% | 2026-08-10 02:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.36%EV -7.16%E -2.96%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.64%EV -5.07%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 24.00%EV -0.252%E -0.063%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-10 02:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.36%EV -7.16%E -2.96%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.64%EV -5.07%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 24.00%EV -0.252%E -0.063%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-10 02:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.78%EV -6.01%E -2.45%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.54%EV -5.07%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.68%EV -3.27%E -0.849%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-10 01:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.92%EV -4.09%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -5.07%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -7.04%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-10 01:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -7.93%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.89%EV -5.07%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -7.04%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-10 02:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -9.84%E -4.19%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -5.07%E -1.95%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.55%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-10 02:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.73%EV -4.86%E -1.96%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.27%EV -5.80%E -2.25%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -9.55%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-10 01:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.73%EV -4.86%E -1.96%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.27%EV -5.80%E -2.25%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -9.55%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-10 01:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -2.17%E -0.852%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -6.90%E -2.70%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -9.55%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-10 01:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.38%EV -6.01%E -2.45%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.90%E -2.70%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.52%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-10 01:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -4.09%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.29%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-10 01:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -4.09%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.29%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-10 01:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -4.09%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.29%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-10 01:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -4.09%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.29%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-10 01:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -4.09%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.29%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-10 01:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -4.09%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.29%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-10 01:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -4.09%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.29%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-10 01:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -4.09%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.29%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-10 01:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -4.09%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.29%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-10 01:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -4.09%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.29%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-10 01:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -4.09%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.29%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-10 01:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -4.09%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.29%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-10 01:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -4.09%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.29%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-10 01:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -4.09%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.29%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-10 01:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -4.09%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.29%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-10 02:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -4.09%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.55%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-10 01:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -7.93%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.04%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -4.52%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-10 02:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -7.93%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.80%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -7.04%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-10 01:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -7.93%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -9.55%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-10 01:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -8.69%E -3.65%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -8.72%E -3.49%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -9.55%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-10 02:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.92%EV -7.93%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -10.55%E -4.31%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -8.29%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-10 01:49 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.79%EV -7.93%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -10.55%E -4.31%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -9.55%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-10 02:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.99%EV -8.69%E -3.65%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.90%EV -10.55%E -4.31%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -9.55%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-10 01:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.99%EV -8.69%E -3.65%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.90%EV -10.55%E -4.31%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -9.55%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-10 02:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.15%EV -9.84%E -4.19%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -10.55%E -4.31%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.25%EV -10.80%E -3.04%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-10 01:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.01%EV -9.84%E -4.19%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -10.55%E -4.31%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.52%EV -12.06%E -3.45%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-10 02:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.96% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.44% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.60% | 0.9% | 2026-08-10 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.16% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.32% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.52% | 1.2% | 2026-08-10 02:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.46% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.03% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51% | 1.3% | 2026-08-10 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.74% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.23% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04% | 1.5% | 2026-08-10 02:10 |