The School of Odds

Wuhan Three Towns v Henan FC

2026-07-11 11:00 — Super League - China

Head to Head

21 sportsbooks (7 in analysis)

Option 1: Wuhan Three Towns (Local)

2.7037.04%Min
2.9733.71%Mean
3.0033.33%Median
3.1531.75%Max
30.11%3.321Min
31.93%3.132Max
30.58%3.270Mean
30.32%3.298Median
30.46%3.283IQM
30.63%3.265Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.15 under the IQM model: 30.46%

EV -4.04%Edge -1.28%Kelly -1.88%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Henan FC (Visit)

2.0050.00%Min
2.1746.18%Mean
2.2045.45%Median
2.2544.44%Max
41.49%2.410Min
42.60%2.348Max
42.20%2.370Mean
42.35%2.362Median
42.30%2.364IQM
42.22%2.369Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.25 under the IQM model: 42.30%

EV -4.83%Edge -2.15%Kelly -3.87%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

3.1032.26%Min
3.3629.80%Mean
3.3529.85%Median
3.6027.78%Max
26.27%3.806Min
28.09%3.561Max
27.22%3.673Mean
27.33%3.658Median
27.24%3.671IQM
27.15%3.683Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.60 under the IQM model: 27.24%

EV -1.93%Edge -0.536%Kelly -0.742%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)

BookmakerWuhan Three Towns (Local) ▼Henan FC (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet3.15I 31.75% NM 30.30%EV -4.04% E -1.28% K -1.88% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.42%EV -4.83% E -2.15% K -3.87% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 27.27%EV -4.65% E -1.33% K -1.86% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 14:05
Pinnacle3.13I 31.95% NM 30.25%EV -4.65% E -1.49% K -2.18% G +0.000%2.23I 44.84% NM 42.46%EV -5.68% E -2.55% K -4.62% G +0.000%3.47I 28.82% NM 27.29%EV -5.47% E -1.58% K -2.21% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 14:15
Marathon Bet3.06I 32.68% NM 30.27%EV -6.79% E -2.22% K -3.29% G +0.000%2.18I 45.87% NM 42.49%EV -7.80% E -3.58% K -6.61% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.24%EV -7.38% E -2.17% K -3.07% G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-04 14:00
NordicBet3.05I 32.79% NM 30.22%EV -7.09% E -2.32% K -3.46% G +0.000%2.18I 45.87% NM 42.27%EV -7.80% E -3.58% K -6.61% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 27.51%EV -8.74% E -2.61% K -3.72% G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-04 11:55
Betsson3.05I 32.79% NM 30.22%EV -7.09% E -2.32% K -3.46% G +0.000%2.18I 45.87% NM 42.27%EV -7.80% E -3.58% K -6.61% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 27.51%EV -8.74% E -2.61% K -3.72% G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-04 11:55
Coolbet3.00I 33.33% NM 31.58%EV -8.61% E -2.87% K -4.31% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.11%EV -4.83% E -2.15% K -3.87% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 26.32%EV -1.93% E -0.536% K -0.742% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 12:50
SportsBet3.00I 33.33% NM 31.05%EV -8.61% E -2.87% K -4.31% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 42.34%EV -6.95% E -3.16% K -5.79% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.61%EV -4.65% E -1.33% K -1.86% G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-04 12:50
FanDuel3.00I 33.33% NM 31.05%EV -8.61% E -2.87% K -4.31% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 42.34%EV -6.95% E -3.16% K -5.79% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.61%EV -4.65% E -1.33% K -1.86% G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-04 12:50
888sport3.00I 33.33% NM 30.43%EV -8.61% E -2.87% K -4.31% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 41.49%EV -6.95% E -3.16% K -5.79% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 28.09%EV -11.46% E -3.53% K -5.09% G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-04 12:45
William Hill3.00I 33.33% NM 30.43%EV -8.61% E -2.87% K -4.31% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 41.49%EV -6.95% E -3.16% K -5.79% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 28.09%EV -11.46% E -3.53% K -5.09% G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-04 12:45
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33% NM 30.43%EV -8.61% E -2.87% K -4.31% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 41.49%EV -6.95% E -3.16% K -5.79% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 28.09%EV -11.46% E -3.53% K -5.09% G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-04 12:45
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33% NM 30.43%EV -8.61% E -2.87% K -4.31% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 41.49%EV -6.95% E -3.16% K -5.79% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 28.09%EV -11.46% E -3.53% K -5.09% G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-04 12:45
Unibet (UK)3.00I 33.33% NM 30.26%EV -8.61% E -2.87% K -4.31% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 42.23%EV -9.06% E -4.22% K -7.88% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 27.51%EV -10.10% E -3.06% K -4.39% G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-04 12:00
LeoVegas2.95I 33.90% NM 30.74%EV -10.14% E -3.44% K -5.20% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 42.18%EV -9.06% E -4.22% K -7.88% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 27.07%EV -8.74% E -2.61% K -3.72% G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-04 12:55
Bet Right2.90I 34.48% NM 31.66%EV -11.66% E -4.02% K -6.14% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 41.73%EV -6.95% E -3.16% K -5.79% G +0.000%3.45I 28.99% NM 26.61%EV -6.01% E -1.74% K -2.45% G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-04 12:50
Unibet (FR)2.90I 34.48% NM 30.11%EV -11.66% E -4.02% K -6.14% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 42.60%EV -13.29% E -6.48% K -12.66% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 27.29%EV -12.82% E -4.01% K -5.83% G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-04 11:55
betfred_uk2.88I 34.72% NM 31.93%EV -12.27% E -4.26% K -6.53% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 41.80%EV -6.95% E -3.16% K -5.79% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.27%EV -4.65% E -1.33% K -1.86% G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-04 12:50
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72% NM 31.38%EV -12.27% E -4.26% K -6.53% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 42.04%EV -9.06% E -4.22% K -7.88% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 26.58%EV -7.38% E -2.17% K -3.07% G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-04 12:50
Winamax (DE)2.85I 35.09% NM 30.61%EV -13.18% E -4.63% K -7.13% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 42.55%EV -13.29% E -6.48% K -12.66% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 26.84%EV -11.46% E -3.53% K -5.09% G +0.000%14.6%2026-07-04 12:10
BoyleSports2.80I 35.71% NM 30.98%EV -14.71% E -5.25% K -8.17% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 42.32%EV -13.29% E -6.48% K -12.66% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 26.69%EV -11.46% E -3.53% K -5.09% G +0.000%15.3%2026-07-04 12:45
Winamax (FR)2.70I 37.04% NM 31.05%EV -17.75% E -6.58% K -10.44% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 41.91%EV -15.41% E -7.70% K -15.41% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 27.04%EV -15.55% E -5.02% K -7.40% G +0.000%19.3%2026-07-04 12:10
Margin = book's overround · I = implied probability · NM = no-margin (de-vigged) probability · EV = expected value · E = edge · K = Kelly fraction · G = bankroll growth.