The School of Odds

Golden State Warriors Blue v Milwaukee Bucks

2026-07-04 19:00 — NBA Summer League

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (5 in analysis)

Option 1: Golden State Warriors Blue (Local)

2.0449.02%Min
2.1945.75%Mean
2.1047.62%Median
2.3842.02%Max
40.05%2.497Min
46.75%2.139Max
43.73%2.287Mean
44.88%2.228Median
43.95%2.275IQM
44.03%2.271Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.38 under the IQM model: 43.95%

EV +4.59%Edge +1.93%Kelly +3.33%Growth +0.153%

Option 2: Milwaukee Bucks (Visit)

1.5664.10%Min
1.6959.17%Mean
1.7158.48%Median
1.8055.56%Max
53.25%1.878Min
59.95%1.668Max
56.27%1.777Mean
55.12%1.814Median
56.05%1.784IQM
55.97%1.787Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.80 under the IQM model: 56.05%

EV +0.895%Edge +0.497%Kelly +1.12%Growth +0.010%

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

BookmakerGolden State Warriors Blue (Local) ▼Milwaukee Bucks (Visit)MarginUpdated
SportsBet2.38I 42.02% NM 40.05%EV +4.59% E +1.93% K +3.33% G +0.153%1.59I 62.89% NM 59.95%EV -10.88% E -6.84% K -18.43% G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-04 12:19
FanDuel2.38I 42.02% NM 40.05%EV +4.59% E +1.93% K +3.33% G +0.153%1.59I 62.89% NM 59.95%EV -10.88% E -6.84% K -18.43% G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-04 12:20
Marathon Bet2.32I 43.10% NM 40.21%EV +1.96% E +0.844% K +1.48% G +0.029%1.56I 64.10% NM 59.79%EV -12.56% E -8.05% K -22.42% G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-04 14:20
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48% NM 40.57%EV +1.08% E +0.469% K +0.829% G +0.009%1.57I 63.69% NM 59.43%EV -12.00% E -7.64% K -21.05% G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-04 14:25
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62% NM 44.88%EV -7.71% E -3.67% K -7.01% G +0.000%1.71I 58.48% NM 55.12%EV -4.15% E -2.43% K -5.84% G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 14:40
DraftKings2.05I 48.78% NM 46.75%EV -9.91% E -4.83% K -9.44% G +0.000%1.80I 55.56% NM 53.25%EV +0.895% E +0.497% K +1.12% G +0.010%4.3%2026-07-04 09:50
Fanatics2.05I 48.78% NM 46.75%EV -9.91% E -4.83% K -9.44% G +0.000%1.80I 55.56% NM 53.25%EV +0.895% E +0.497% K +1.12% G +0.010%4.3%2026-07-04 09:50
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78% NM 46.75%EV -9.91% E -4.83% K -9.44% G +0.000%1.80I 55.56% NM 53.25%EV +0.895% E +0.497% K +1.12% G +0.010%4.3%2026-07-04 09:50
ReBet2.04I 49.02% NM 46.74%EV -10.35% E -5.07% K -9.95% G +0.000%1.79I 55.87% NM 53.26%EV +0.335% E +0.187% K +0.424% G +0.001%4.9%2026-07-04 14:19
Margin = book's overround · I = implied probability · NM = no-margin (de-vigged) probability · EV = expected value · E = edge · K = Kelly fraction · G = bankroll growth.
Arbitrage (16 combinations)+2.49%SportsBet 2.38 (43.1%) / DraftKings 1.80 (56.9%)Show all 16 combinations
Golden State Warriors Blue (Local)Milwaukee Bucks (Visit)Margin
SportsBet 2.38 (43.1%)DraftKings 1.80 (56.9%)+2.49%
SportsBet 2.38 (43.1%)Fanatics 1.80 (56.9%)+2.49%
SportsBet 2.38 (43.1%)Hard Rock Bet 1.80 (56.9%)+2.49%
FanDuel 2.38 (43.1%)DraftKings 1.80 (56.9%)+2.49%
FanDuel 2.38 (43.1%)Fanatics 1.80 (56.9%)+2.49%
FanDuel 2.38 (43.1%)Hard Rock Bet 1.80 (56.9%)+2.49%
SportsBet 2.38 (42.9%)ReBet 1.79 (57.1%)+2.16%
FanDuel 2.38 (42.9%)ReBet 1.79 (57.1%)+2.16%
Marathon Bet 2.32 (43.7%)DraftKings 1.80 (56.3%)+1.36%
Marathon Bet 2.32 (43.7%)Fanatics 1.80 (56.3%)+1.36%
Marathon Bet 2.32 (43.7%)Hard Rock Bet 1.80 (56.3%)+1.36%
Marathon Bet 2.32 (43.6%)ReBet 1.79 (56.4%)+1.04%
Betr (AU) 2.30 (43.9%)DraftKings 1.80 (56.1%)+0.976%
Betr (AU) 2.30 (43.9%)Fanatics 1.80 (56.1%)+0.976%
Betr (AU) 2.30 (43.9%)Hard Rock Bet 1.80 (56.1%)+0.976%
Betr (AU) 2.30 (43.8%)ReBet 1.79 (56.2%)+0.660%