The School of OddsWashington Nationals v Pittsburgh Pirates
Head to Head
Option 1: Washington Nationals (Local)
Odds
1.6859.52%Min
1.7457.44%Mean
1.7357.80%Median
1.8354.64%Max
Consensus probabilities
53.32%1.876Min
55.27%1.809Max
54.75%1.827Mean
54.85%1.823Median
54.85%1.823IQM
54.70%1.828Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 1.83 under the IQM model: 54.85%
EV +0.369%Edge +0.202%Kelly +0.445%Growth +0.002%
Option 2: Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit)
Odds
2.0050.00%Min
2.1147.42%Mean
2.1047.62%Median
2.1746.08%Max
Consensus probabilities
44.73%2.236Min
46.68%2.142Max
45.25%2.210Mean
45.15%2.215Median
45.15%2.215IQM
45.30%2.207Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 2.17 under the IQM model: 45.15%
EV -2.02%Edge -0.930%Kelly -1.72%Growth +0.000%
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Washington Nationals (Local) ▼ | Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit) | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets | 1.83I 54.64% NM 53.44%EV +0.369% E +0.202% K +0.445% G +0.002% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 46.56%EV -5.18% E -2.47% K -4.71% G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-05 02:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.83I 54.64% NM 53.32%EV +0.369% E +0.202% K +0.445% G +0.002% | 2.09I 47.85% NM 46.68%EV -5.63% E -2.69% K -5.16% G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-05 02:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.83I 54.64% NM 53.32%EV +0.369% E +0.202% K +0.445% G +0.002% | 2.09I 47.85% NM 46.68%EV -5.63% E -2.69% K -5.16% G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-05 02:10 |
| 1xBet | 1.78I 56.18% NM 54.94%EV -2.37% E -1.33% K -3.04% G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08% NM 45.06%EV -2.02% E -0.930% K -1.72% G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-05 00:30 |
| Betway | 1.77I 56.50% NM 54.85%EV -2.92% E -1.65% K -3.79% G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51% NM 45.15%EV -2.92% E -1.36% K -2.54% G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-04 23:54 |
| Fanatics | 1.77I 56.50% NM 54.26%EV -2.92% E -1.65% K -3.79% G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 45.74%EV -5.18% E -2.47% K -4.71% G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-04 23:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.77I 56.50% NM 54.26%EV -2.92% E -1.65% K -3.79% G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 45.74%EV -5.18% E -2.47% K -4.71% G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-04 23:20 |
| Fliff | 1.77I 56.50% NM 53.66%EV -2.92% E -1.65% K -3.79% G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78% NM 46.34%EV -7.44% E -3.63% K -7.08% G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 02:45 |
| FanDuel | 1.75I 57.14% NM 55.24%EV -4.02% E -2.30% K -5.36% G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30% NM 44.76%EV -2.47% E -1.14% K -2.13% G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-04 23:50 |
| TAB | 1.75I 57.14% NM 55.13%EV -4.02% E -2.30% K -5.36% G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51% NM 44.87%EV -2.92% E -1.36% K -2.54% G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-04 23:55 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.75I 57.14% NM 54.90%EV -4.02% E -2.30% K -5.36% G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95% NM 45.10%EV -3.82% E -1.79% K -3.38% G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-04 23:59 |
| PlayUp | 1.75I 57.14% NM 54.55%EV -4.02% E -2.30% K -5.36% G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 45.45%EV -5.18% E -2.47% K -4.71% G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-05 02:15 |
| theScore Bet | 1.74I 57.47% NM 55.27%EV -4.57% E -2.62% K -6.17% G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51% NM 44.73%EV -2.92% E -1.36% K -2.54% G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-04 23:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.74I 57.47% NM 55.15%EV -4.57% E -2.62% K -6.17% G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73% NM 44.85%EV -3.37% E -1.58% K -2.96% G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-05 00:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.74I 57.47% NM 55.15%EV -4.57% E -2.62% K -6.17% G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73% NM 44.85%EV -3.37% E -1.58% K -2.96% G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-05 00:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.74I 57.47% NM 55.15%EV -4.57% E -2.62% K -6.17% G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73% NM 44.85%EV -3.37% E -1.58% K -2.96% G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-05 00:35 |
| Unibet | 1.74I 57.47% NM 54.92%EV -4.57% E -2.62% K -6.17% G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17% NM 45.08%EV -4.27% E -2.02% K -3.82% G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-05 00:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.74I 57.47% NM 54.92%EV -4.57% E -2.62% K -6.17% G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17% NM 45.08%EV -4.27% E -2.02% K -3.82% G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-05 00:35 |
| Casumo | 1.74I 57.47% NM 54.92%EV -4.57% E -2.62% K -6.17% G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17% NM 45.08%EV -4.27% E -2.02% K -3.82% G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-05 00:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.74I 57.47% NM 54.92%EV -4.57% E -2.62% K -6.17% G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17% NM 45.08%EV -4.27% E -2.02% K -3.82% G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-05 00:35 |
| betPARX | 1.74I 57.47% NM 54.92%EV -4.57% E -2.62% K -6.17% G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17% NM 45.08%EV -4.27% E -2.02% K -3.82% G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-05 00:35 |
| Bally Bet | 1.74I 57.47% NM 54.92%EV -4.57% E -2.62% K -6.17% G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17% NM 45.08%EV -4.27% E -2.02% K -3.82% G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-05 00:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.74I 57.47% NM 54.69%EV -4.57% E -2.62% K -6.17% G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 45.31%EV -5.18% E -2.47% K -4.71% G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 23:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.73I 57.80% NM 55.06%EV -5.12% E -2.96% K -7.01% G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17% NM 44.94%EV -4.27% E -2.02% K -3.82% G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-04 23:55 |
| Bet Right | 1.73I 57.80% NM 55.06%EV -5.12% E -2.96% K -7.01% G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17% NM 44.94%EV -4.27% E -2.02% K -3.82% G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-04 23:50 |
| Coolbet | 1.73I 57.80% NM 55.06%EV -5.12% E -2.96% K -7.01% G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17% NM 44.94%EV -4.27% E -2.02% K -3.82% G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 02:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.73I 57.80% NM 54.95%EV -5.12% E -2.96% K -7.01% G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39% NM 45.05%EV -4.73% E -2.24% K -4.26% G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-05 00:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV -5.12% E -2.96% K -7.01% G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 45.17%EV -5.18% E -2.47% K -4.71% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 23:50 |
| BoyleSports | 1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV -5.12% E -2.96% K -7.01% G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 45.17%EV -5.18% E -2.47% K -4.71% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 23:50 |
| 888sport | 1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV -5.12% E -2.96% K -7.01% G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 45.17%EV -5.18% E -2.47% K -4.71% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 23:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV -5.12% E -2.96% K -7.01% G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 45.17%EV -5.18% E -2.47% K -4.71% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 23:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV -5.12% E -2.96% K -7.01% G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 45.17%EV -5.18% E -2.47% K -4.71% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 23:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV -5.12% E -2.96% K -7.01% G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 45.17%EV -5.18% E -2.47% K -4.71% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 23:30 |
| William Hill | 1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV -5.12% E -2.96% K -7.01% G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 45.17%EV -5.18% E -2.47% K -4.71% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 23:59 |
| TABtouch | 1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV -5.12% E -2.96% K -7.01% G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 45.17%EV -5.18% E -2.47% K -4.71% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 00:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV -5.12% E -2.96% K -7.01% G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 45.17%EV -5.18% E -2.47% K -4.71% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 00:35 |
| BetRivers | 1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV -5.12% E -2.96% K -7.01% G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 45.17%EV -5.18% E -2.47% K -4.71% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 00:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV -5.12% E -2.96% K -7.01% G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 45.17%EV -5.18% E -2.47% K -4.71% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 00:35 |
| Bet Victor | 1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV -5.12% E -2.96% K -7.01% G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 45.17%EV -5.18% E -2.47% K -4.71% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 01:03 |
| Betsson | 1.72I 58.14% NM 55.21%EV -5.66% E -3.29% K -7.87% G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17% NM 44.79%EV -4.27% E -2.02% K -3.82% G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 02:15 |
| NordicBet | 1.72I 58.14% NM 55.21%EV -5.66% E -3.29% K -7.87% G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17% NM 44.79%EV -4.27% E -2.02% K -3.82% G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 02:15 |
| SportsBet | 1.72I 58.14% NM 54.97%EV -5.66% E -3.29% K -7.87% G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 45.03%EV -5.18% E -2.47% K -4.71% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 23:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.72I 58.14% NM 54.97%EV -5.66% E -3.29% K -7.87% G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 45.03%EV -5.18% E -2.47% K -4.71% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-05 00:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.72I 58.14% NM 54.86%EV -5.66% E -3.29% K -7.87% G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85% NM 45.14%EV -5.63% E -2.69% K -5.16% G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-04 23:54 |
| ReBet | 1.71I 58.48% NM 55.12%EV -6.21% E -3.63% K -8.75% G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 44.88%EV -5.18% E -2.47% K -4.71% G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-04 23:55 |
| Grosvenor | 1.70I 58.82% NM 55.03%EV -6.76% E -3.98% K -9.66% G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08% NM 44.97%EV -6.08% E -2.92% K -5.63% G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-05 00:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.69I 59.17% NM 54.81%EV -7.31% E -4.33% K -10.59% G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78% NM 45.19%EV -7.44% E -3.63% K -7.08% G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-04 23:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.68I 59.52% NM 54.35%EV -7.86% E -4.68% K -11.56% G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00% NM 45.65%EV -9.69% E -4.85% K -9.69% G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-05 00:15 |
Margin = book's overround · I = implied probability · NM = no-margin (de-vigged) probability · EV = expected value · E = edge · K = Kelly fraction · G = bankroll growth.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Washington Nationals (Local) | Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit) | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 1.85I 54.05% | 2.17I 46.08% | 0.1% | 2026-07-05 02:45 |
| Polymarket | 1.85I 54.05% | 2.13I 46.95% | 1.0% | 2026-07-04 23:35 |
| Novig | 1.85I 54.05% | 2.08I 48.08% | 2.1% | 2026-07-05 02:50 |
| ProphetX | 1.81I 55.25% | 2.10I 47.62% | 2.9% | 2026-07-05 02:45 |
| Matchbook | 1.76I 56.82% | 2.08I 48.08% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 02:35 |
| Smarkets | 1.66I 60.24% | 2.00I 50.00% | 10.2% | 2026-07-04 23:55 |