預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Manchester City v Paris Saint Germain

開賽時間: 2026-10-29 20:00 UTC

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

34 家博彩公司 (13 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Manchester City (主隊)

預測 64.90%1.54公平賠率
EV -4.60%
優勢 -3.13%
Kelly -9.78%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.47

博彩公司預測分布
61.95%64.82%64.95%67.84%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.331.401.401.4775.19%71.52%71.68%68.03%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Paris Saint Germain (客隊)

預測 15.18%6.59公平賠率
EV +6.25%
優勢 +0.893%
Kelly +1.04%
成長率 +0.065%

假設最高賠率為 7.00

博彩公司預測分布
13.39%15.30%15.13%17.70%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
4.756.026.007.0021.05%16.62%16.67%14.29%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 19.92%5.02公平賠率
EV -0.395%
優勢 -0.079%
Kelly -0.099%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 5.00

博彩公司預測分布
18.54%19.89%19.92%21.18%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
4.104.544.505.0024.39%22.02%22.22%20.00%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Manchester City (主隊):64.90%;Paris Saint Germain (客隊):15.18%;和局:19.92%。 對於「Paris Saint Germain (客隊)」,該估計相當於6.59的公平十進位賠率。 當時有2家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為7.00,對應+6.25%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (34 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼和局利潤率更新時間
DraftKings🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -9.14%E -6.53%K -22.85%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV +6.25%E +0.893%K +1.04%G +0.065%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -0.395%E -0.079%K -0.099%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-29 19:55
1xBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.84%EV -10.44%E -7.56%K -27.47%G +0.000%6.99I 14.31%NM 13.39%EV +6.10%E +0.873%K +1.02%G +0.062%4.99I 20.04%NM 18.76%EV -0.594%E -0.119%K -0.149%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-29 19:55
Coolbet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.43%EV -5.90%E -4.07%K -13.10%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -1.34%E -0.205%K -0.243%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.97%EV -5.37%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-29 19:40
Casumo🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.16%EV -6.54%E -4.54%K -14.87%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.34%E -0.205%K -0.243%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -8.36%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-29 19:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.16%EV -6.54%E -4.54%K -14.87%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.34%E -0.205%K -0.243%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -8.36%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-29 19:55
Grosvenor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.16%EV -6.54%E -4.54%K -14.87%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.34%E -0.205%K -0.243%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -8.36%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-29 19:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.16%EV -6.54%E -4.54%K -14.87%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.34%E -0.205%K -0.243%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -8.36%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-29 19:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.16%EV -6.54%E -4.54%K -14.87%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.34%E -0.205%K -0.243%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -8.36%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-29 19:55
betPARX🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.16%EV -6.54%E -4.54%K -14.87%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.34%E -0.205%K -0.243%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -8.36%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-29 19:55
Betway🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.19%EV -10.44%E -7.56%K -27.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -1.34%E -0.205%K -0.243%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -0.395%E -0.079%K -0.099%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-29 19:55
betano_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -11.74%E -8.63%K -32.60%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -1.34%E -0.205%K -0.243%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -5.37%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-29 19:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.92%EV -10.44%E -7.56%K -27.47%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.44%EV -4.37%E -0.694%K -0.825%G +0.000%4.63I 21.60%NM 19.65%EV -7.77%E -1.68%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-29 19:55
Pinnacle🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.42%EV -4.60%E -3.13%K -9.78%G +0.000%6.24I 16.03%NM 15.18%EV -5.28%E -0.846%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.41%EV -7.57%E -1.63%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-29 19:50
NordicBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 65.36%EV -9.79%E -7.04%K -25.10%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.89%EV -7.41%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -8.36%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-29 19:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.12%EV -7.84%E -5.52%K -18.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -8.92%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.47%EV -5.37%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-29 19:54
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -11.74%E -8.63%K -32.60%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -8.92%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -10.36%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-29 19:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -11.74%E -8.63%K -32.60%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -8.92%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -10.36%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-29 19:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -11.74%E -8.63%K -32.60%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -8.92%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -10.36%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-29 19:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 64.32%EV -10.44%E -7.56%K -27.47%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.79%EV -8.92%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.89%EV -15.34%E -3.61%K -4.72%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-29 19:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 64.32%EV -10.44%E -7.56%K -27.47%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.79%EV -8.92%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.89%EV -15.34%E -3.61%K -4.72%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-29 19:55
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.59%EV -13.68%E -10.29%K -41.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -8.92%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.65%EV -5.37%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-29 19:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 65.12%EV -12.39%E -9.17%K -35.39%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.90%EV -10.44%E -1.77%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.98%EV -12.35%E -2.81%K -3.63%G +0.000%13.8%2026-10-29 19:55
SportsBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 65.58%EV -13.03%E -9.73%K -38.34%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.89%EV -10.44%E -1.77%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.53%EV -10.36%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%13.8%2026-10-29 19:55
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.78%EV -11.74%E -8.63%K -32.60%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.19%EV -11.96%E -2.06%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.02%EV -12.35%E -2.81%K -3.63%G +0.000%13.5%2026-10-29 19:55
Bet Victor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.38%EV -6.54%E -4.54%K -14.87%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.87%EV -12.72%E -2.21%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -12.35%E -2.81%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-29 19:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.99%EV -11.74%E -8.63%K -32.60%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.37%EV -12.72%E -2.21%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.64%EV -10.36%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%13.1%2026-10-29 19:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 64.11%EV -13.03%E -9.73%K -38.34%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 14.94%EV -12.72%E -2.21%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.95%EV -18.32%E -4.47%K -5.91%G +0.000%16.4%2026-10-29 19:55
Betsson🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.31%EV -5.25%E -3.59%K -11.41%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -16.51%E -3.00%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.15%EV -14.34%E -3.33%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-29 19:40
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.38%EV -7.19%E -5.03%K -16.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -16.51%E -3.00%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -10.36%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-29 19:55
Bovada🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.95%EV -4.60%E -3.13%K -9.78%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.87%EV -18.03%E -3.34%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -14.34%E -3.33%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-29 19:43
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -9.14%E -6.53%K -22.85%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.90%EV -20.31%E -3.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -10.36%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-29 19:55
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -9.14%E -6.53%K -22.85%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.90%EV -20.31%E -3.87%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -10.36%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-29 19:55
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 62.37%EV -9.14%E -6.53%K -22.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.46%EV -24.10%E -4.82%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.17%EV -13.74%E -3.17%K -4.13%G +0.000%14.5%2026-10-29 19:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 62.28%EV -12.39%E -9.17%K -35.39%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 17.70%EV -27.90%E -5.87%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.02%EV -16.33%E -3.89%K -5.10%G +0.000%18.9%2026-10-29 19:55
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.50%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.78%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72%0.8%2026-10-29 19:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.50%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.78%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72%0.8%2026-10-29 19:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.44I 69.44%NM 68.43%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.32%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.25%1.5%2026-10-29 19:55
Smarkets◎1.43I 69.93%NM 68.10%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.53%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.37%2.7%2026-10-29 19:55