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Manchester City v Paris Saint Germain
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Manchester City (Local)
Predicción 64.90%1.54momio equitativo
EV -4.60%
Ventaja -3.13%
Kelly -9.78%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.47
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.95%64.82%64.95%67.84%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.331.401.401.4775.19%71.52%71.68%68.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Paris Saint Germain (Visitante)
Predicción 15.18%6.59momio equitativo
EV +6.25%
Ventaja +0.893%
Kelly +1.04%
Crecimiento +0.065%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.39%15.30%15.13%17.70%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.756.026.007.0021.05%16.62%16.67%14.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 19.92%5.02momio equitativo
EV -0.395%
Ventaja -0.079%
Kelly -0.099%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.54%19.89%19.92%21.18%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.104.544.505.0024.39%22.02%22.22%20.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Manchester City (Local): 64.90%; Paris Saint Germain (Visitante): 15.18%; Empate: 19.92%. Para Paris Saint Germain (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 6.59. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 7.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +6.25%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (34 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -9.14%E -6.53%K -22.85%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV +6.25%E +0.893%K +1.04%G +0.065% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -0.395%E -0.079%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-29 19:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.84%EV -10.44%E -7.56%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 6.99I 14.31%NM 13.39%EV +6.10%E +0.873%K +1.02%G +0.062% | 4.99I 20.04%NM 18.76%EV -0.594%E -0.119%K -0.149%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-29 19:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.43%EV -5.90%E -4.07%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -1.34%E -0.205%K -0.243%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.97%EV -5.37%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-29 19:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.16%EV -6.54%E -4.54%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.34%E -0.205%K -0.243%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -8.36%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-29 19:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.16%EV -6.54%E -4.54%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.34%E -0.205%K -0.243%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -8.36%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-29 19:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.16%EV -6.54%E -4.54%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.34%E -0.205%K -0.243%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -8.36%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-29 19:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.16%EV -6.54%E -4.54%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.34%E -0.205%K -0.243%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -8.36%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-29 19:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.16%EV -6.54%E -4.54%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.34%E -0.205%K -0.243%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -8.36%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-29 19:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.16%EV -6.54%E -4.54%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -1.34%E -0.205%K -0.243%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -8.36%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-29 19:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.19%EV -10.44%E -7.56%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.27%EV -1.34%E -0.205%K -0.243%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -0.395%E -0.079%K -0.099%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-29 19:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -11.74%E -8.63%K -32.60%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -1.34%E -0.205%K -0.243%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -5.37%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-29 19:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.92%EV -10.44%E -7.56%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.44%EV -4.37%E -0.694%K -0.825%G +0.000% | 4.63I 21.60%NM 19.65%EV -7.77%E -1.68%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-29 19:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.42%EV -4.60%E -3.13%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 6.24I 16.03%NM 15.18%EV -5.28%E -0.846%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.64I 21.55%NM 20.41%EV -7.57%E -1.63%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-29 19:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 65.36%EV -9.79%E -7.04%K -25.10%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.89%EV -7.41%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -8.36%E -1.82%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-29 19:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.12%EV -7.84%E -5.52%K -18.67%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -8.92%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.47%EV -5.37%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-29 19:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -11.74%E -8.63%K -32.60%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -8.92%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -10.36%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-29 19:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -11.74%E -8.63%K -32.60%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -8.92%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -10.36%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-29 19:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -11.74%E -8.63%K -32.60%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -8.92%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -10.36%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-29 19:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.32%EV -10.44%E -7.56%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.79%EV -8.92%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.89%EV -15.34%E -3.61%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-10-29 19:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.32%EV -10.44%E -7.56%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.79%EV -8.92%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.89%EV -15.34%E -3.61%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-10-29 19:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.59%EV -13.68%E -10.29%K -41.46%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -8.92%E -1.49%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.65%EV -5.37%E -1.13%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-10-29 19:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 65.12%EV -12.39%E -9.17%K -35.39%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 14.90%EV -10.44%E -1.77%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.98%EV -12.35%E -2.81%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-10-29 19:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 65.58%EV -13.03%E -9.73%K -38.34%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 14.89%EV -10.44%E -1.77%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.53%EV -10.36%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-10-29 19:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.78%EV -11.74%E -8.63%K -32.60%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.19%EV -11.96%E -2.06%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.02%EV -12.35%E -2.81%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-10-29 19:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.38%EV -6.54%E -4.54%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.87%EV -12.72%E -2.21%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.74%EV -12.35%E -2.81%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-29 19:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.99%EV -11.74%E -8.63%K -32.60%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.37%EV -12.72%E -2.21%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.64%EV -10.36%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-10-29 19:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 64.11%EV -13.03%E -9.73%K -38.34%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 14.94%EV -12.72%E -2.21%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 20.95%EV -18.32%E -4.47%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-10-29 19:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.31%EV -5.25%E -3.59%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -16.51%E -3.00%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.15%EV -14.34%E -3.33%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-29 19:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.38%EV -7.19%E -5.03%K -16.73%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -16.51%E -3.00%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -10.36%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-29 19:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.95%EV -4.60%E -3.13%K -9.78%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.87%EV -18.03%E -3.34%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -14.34%E -3.33%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-29 19:43 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -9.14%E -6.53%K -22.85%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.90%EV -20.31%E -3.87%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -10.36%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-10-29 19:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -9.14%E -6.53%K -22.85%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.90%EV -20.31%E -3.87%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -10.36%E -2.30%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-10-29 19:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.37%EV -9.14%E -6.53%K -22.85%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.46%EV -24.10%E -4.82%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.17%EV -13.74%E -3.17%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-10-29 19:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 62.28%EV -12.39%E -9.17%K -35.39%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 17.70%EV -27.90%E -5.87%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.02%EV -16.33%E -3.89%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 18.9% | 2026-10-29 19:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.50% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.78% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72% | 0.8% | 2026-10-29 19:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.50% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.78% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72% | 0.8% | 2026-10-29 19:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.43% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.32% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.25% | 1.5% | 2026-10-29 19:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.10% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.53% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.37% | 2.7% | 2026-10-29 19:55 |