The School of OddsIF Gnistan v IFK Mariehamn
Head to Head
Option 1: IF Gnistan (Local)
Odds
1.3474.63%Min
1.4668.63%Mean
1.4668.73%Median
1.5564.52%Max
Consensus probabilities
60.22%1.661Min
67.97%1.471Max
64.50%1.550Mean
64.94%1.540Median
64.88%1.541IQM
64.63%1.547Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 1.55 under the IQM model: 64.88%
EV +0.563%Edge +0.363%Kelly +1.02%Growth +0.006%
Option 2: IFK Mariehamn (Visit)
Odds
5.0020.00%Min
5.8317.15%Mean
5.5018.18%Median
7.2613.77%Max
Consensus probabilities
13.01%7.684Min
17.38%5.754Max
14.89%6.717Mean
14.56%6.866Median
14.74%6.786IQM
14.81%6.751Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 7.26 under the IQM model: 14.74%
EV +6.99%Edge +0.963%Kelly +1.12%Growth +0.078%
Option 3: Draw
Odds
3.8525.97%Min
4.2523.51%Mean
4.1524.10%Median
4.9720.12%Max
Consensus probabilities
19.01%5.260Min
22.94%4.359Max
20.61%4.852Mean
20.49%4.880Median
20.38%4.906IQM
20.55%4.866Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 4.97 under the IQM model: 20.38%
EV +1.31%Edge +0.263%Kelly +0.329%Growth +0.004%
Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | IF Gnistan (Local) | IFK Mariehamn (Visit) ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.39I 71.94% NM 67.97%EV -9.82% E -7.06% K -25.17% G +0.000% | 7.26I 13.77% NM 13.01%EV +6.99% E +0.963% K +1.12% G +0.078% | 4.97I 20.12% NM 19.01%EV +1.31% E +0.263% K +0.329% G +0.004% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.39I 71.94% NM 67.06%EV -9.82% E -7.06% K -25.17% G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29% NM 13.32%EV +3.16% E +0.451% K +0.526% G +0.017% | 4.75I 21.05% NM 19.62%EV -3.18% E -0.669% K -0.847% G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 16:55 |
| 1xBet | 1.40I 71.43% NM 66.89%EV -9.17% E -6.55% K -22.92% G +0.000% | 6.99I 14.31% NM 13.40%EV +3.01% E +0.431% K +0.503% G +0.015% | 4.75I 21.05% NM 19.71%EV -3.18% E -0.669% K -0.847% G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-04 17:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.42I 70.42% NM 65.19%EV -7.87% E -5.54% K -18.74% G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38% NM 14.24%EV -4.21% E -0.648% K -0.766% G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22% NM 20.57%EV -8.27% E -1.84% K -2.36% G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-04 16:55 |
| 888sport | 1.40I 71.43% NM 65.80%EV -9.17% E -6.55% K -22.92% G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38% NM 14.17%EV -4.21% E -0.648% K -0.766% G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74% NM 20.03%EV -6.23% E -1.36% K -1.73% G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-04 17:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.40I 71.43% NM 65.80%EV -9.17% E -6.55% K -22.92% G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38% NM 14.17%EV -4.21% E -0.648% K -0.766% G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74% NM 20.03%EV -6.23% E -1.36% K -1.73% G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-04 17:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.40I 71.43% NM 65.80%EV -9.17% E -6.55% K -22.92% G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38% NM 14.17%EV -4.21% E -0.648% K -0.766% G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74% NM 20.03%EV -6.23% E -1.36% K -1.73% G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-04 17:15 |
| William Hill | 1.40I 71.43% NM 65.80%EV -9.17% E -6.55% K -22.92% G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38% NM 14.17%EV -4.21% E -0.648% K -0.766% G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74% NM 20.03%EV -6.23% E -1.36% K -1.73% G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-04 17:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.40I 71.43% NM 64.91%EV -9.17% E -6.55% K -22.92% G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39% NM 14.90%EV -10.11% E -1.66% K -1.98% G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22% NM 20.19%EV -8.27% E -1.84% K -2.36% G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-04 16:55 |
| Betway | 1.38I 72.46% NM 65.77%EV -10.47% E -7.58% K -27.54% G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67% NM 15.13%EV -11.58% E -1.93% K -2.32% G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05% NM 19.11%EV -3.18% E -0.669% K -0.847% G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-04 16:55 |
| BoyleSports | 1.36I 73.53% NM 64.50%EV -11.76% E -8.65% K -32.68% G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67% NM 14.62%EV -11.58% E -1.93% K -2.32% G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81% NM 20.88%EV -14.39% E -3.43% K -4.50% G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-04 16:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.46I 68.49% NM 63.32%EV -5.28% E -3.61% K -11.47% G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95% NM 15.67%EV -13.05% E -2.21% K -2.66% G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73% NM 21.01%EV -10.31% E -2.34% K -3.03% G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-04 16:55 |
| FanDuel | 1.45I 68.97% NM 63.48%EV -5.92% E -4.09% K -13.17% G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95% NM 15.60%EV -13.05% E -2.21% K -2.66% G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73% NM 20.92%EV -10.31% E -2.34% K -3.03% G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-04 17:00 |
| Bet Right | 1.46I 68.49% NM 63.06%EV -5.28% E -3.61% K -11.47% G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39% NM 16.01%EV -15.26% E -2.65% K -3.21% G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73% NM 20.93%EV -10.31% E -2.34% K -3.03% G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-04 16:55 |
| Unibet | 1.52I 65.79% NM 60.37%EV -1.38% E -0.910% K -2.66% G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18% NM 16.68%EV -18.95% E -3.45% K -4.21% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 22.94%EV -18.46% E -4.62% K -6.15% G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-04 14:50 |
| BetRivers | 1.51I 66.23% NM 60.53%EV -2.03% E -1.35% K -3.98% G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18% NM 16.62%EV -18.95% E -3.45% K -4.21% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 22.85%EV -18.46% E -4.62% K -6.15% G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-04 14:50 |
| Casumo | 1.51I 66.23% NM 60.53%EV -2.03% E -1.35% K -3.98% G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18% NM 16.62%EV -18.95% E -3.45% K -4.21% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 22.85%EV -18.46% E -4.62% K -6.15% G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-04 14:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.51I 66.23% NM 60.53%EV -2.03% E -1.35% K -3.98% G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18% NM 16.62%EV -18.95% E -3.45% K -4.21% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 22.85%EV -18.46% E -4.62% K -6.15% G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-04 14:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.51I 66.23% NM 60.53%EV -2.03% E -1.35% K -3.98% G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18% NM 16.62%EV -18.95% E -3.45% K -4.21% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 22.85%EV -18.46% E -4.62% K -6.15% G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-04 14:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.51I 66.23% NM 60.53%EV -2.03% E -1.35% K -3.98% G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18% NM 16.62%EV -18.95% E -3.45% K -4.21% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 22.85%EV -18.46% E -4.62% K -6.15% G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-04 14:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.51I 66.23% NM 60.53%EV -2.03% E -1.35% K -3.98% G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18% NM 16.62%EV -18.95% E -3.45% K -4.21% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 22.85%EV -18.46% E -4.62% K -6.15% G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-04 14:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.51I 66.23% NM 60.53%EV -2.03% E -1.35% K -3.98% G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18% NM 16.62%EV -18.95% E -3.45% K -4.21% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 22.85%EV -18.46% E -4.62% K -6.15% G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-04 14:50 |
| betPARX | 1.51I 66.23% NM 60.53%EV -2.03% E -1.35% K -3.98% G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18% NM 16.62%EV -18.95% E -3.45% K -4.21% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 22.85%EV -18.46% E -4.62% K -6.15% G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-04 14:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.51I 66.23% NM 60.53%EV -2.03% E -1.35% K -3.98% G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18% NM 16.62%EV -18.95% E -3.45% K -4.21% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 22.85%EV -18.46% E -4.62% K -6.15% G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-04 14:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.51I 66.23% NM 60.53%EV -2.03% E -1.35% K -3.98% G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18% NM 16.62%EV -18.95% E -3.45% K -4.21% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 22.85%EV -18.46% E -4.62% K -6.15% G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-04 14:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.44I 69.44% NM 62.72%EV -6.57% E -4.57% K -14.94% G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18% NM 16.42%EV -18.95% E -3.45% K -4.21% G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09% NM 20.86%EV -11.74% E -2.71% K -3.52% G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-04 16:55 |
| betfred_uk | 1.44I 69.44% NM 62.32%EV -6.57% E -4.57% K -14.94% G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18% NM 16.32%EV -18.95% E -3.45% K -4.21% G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81% NM 21.37%EV -14.39% E -3.43% K -4.50% G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-04 16:25 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.34I 74.63% NM 63.35%EV -13.06% E -9.75% K -38.42% G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18% NM 15.43%EV -18.95% E -3.45% K -4.21% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 21.22%EV -18.46% E -4.62% K -6.15% G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-07-04 16:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.55I 64.52% NM 60.22%EV +0.563% E +0.363% K +1.02% G +0.006% | 5.40I 18.52% NM 17.29%EV -20.42% E -3.78% K -4.64% G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10% NM 22.49%EV -15.41% E -3.71% K -4.89% G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-04 17:50 |
| Betsson | 1.55I 64.52% NM 60.22%EV +0.563% E +0.363% K +1.02% G +0.006% | 5.40I 18.52% NM 17.29%EV -20.42% E -3.78% K -4.64% G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10% NM 22.49%EV -15.41% E -3.71% K -4.89% G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-04 17:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.50I 66.67% NM 60.50%EV -2.68% E -1.79% K -5.36% G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52% NM 16.81%EV -20.42% E -3.78% K -4.64% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 22.69%EV -18.46% E -4.62% K -6.15% G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-04 14:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.50I 66.67% NM 60.50%EV -2.68% E -1.79% K -5.36% G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52% NM 16.81%EV -20.42% E -3.78% K -4.64% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 22.69%EV -18.46% E -4.62% K -6.15% G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-04 14:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.45I 68.97% NM 60.50%EV -5.92% E -4.09% K -13.17% G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05% NM 16.71%EV -22.63% E -4.31% K -5.33% G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97% NM 22.79%EV -21.52% E -5.59% K -7.55% G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-04 14:50 |
| Sky Bet | 1.44I 69.44% NM 60.34%EV -6.57% E -4.57% K -14.94% G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00% NM 17.38%EV -26.32% E -5.26% K -6.58% G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64% NM 22.28%EV -20.50% E -5.26% K -7.07% G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-07-04 16:55 |
Margin = book's overround · I = implied probability · NM = no-margin (de-vigged) probability · EV = expected value · E = edge · K = Kelly fraction · G = bankroll growth.
Arbitrage (25 combinations)+1.61%NordicBet 1.55 (65.6%) / Pinnacle 7.26 (14.0%) / Pinnacle 4.97 (20.4%)Show all 25 combinations
| IF Gnistan (Local) | IFK Mariehamn (Visit) | Draw | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet 1.55 (65.6%) | Pinnacle 7.26 (14.0%) | Pinnacle 4.97 (20.4%) | +1.61% |
| Betsson 1.55 (65.6%) | Pinnacle 7.26 (14.0%) | Pinnacle 4.97 (20.4%) | +1.61% |
| NordicBet 1.55 (65.2%) | Marathon Bet 7.00 (14.4%) | Pinnacle 4.97 (20.3%) | +1.09% |
| Betsson 1.55 (65.2%) | Marathon Bet 7.00 (14.4%) | Pinnacle 4.97 (20.3%) | +1.09% |
| NordicBet 1.55 (65.2%) | 1xBet 6.99 (14.5%) | Pinnacle 4.97 (20.3%) | +1.07% |
| Betsson 1.55 (65.2%) | 1xBet 6.99 (14.5%) | Pinnacle 4.97 (20.3%) | +1.07% |
| NordicBet 1.55 (64.9%) | Pinnacle 7.26 (13.9%) | 1xBet 4.75 (21.2%) | +0.661% |
| NordicBet 1.55 (64.9%) | Pinnacle 7.26 (13.9%) | Marathon Bet 4.75 (21.2%) | +0.661% |
| NordicBet 1.55 (64.9%) | Pinnacle 7.26 (13.9%) | Betway 4.75 (21.2%) | +0.661% |
| Betsson 1.55 (64.9%) | Pinnacle 7.26 (13.9%) | 1xBet 4.75 (21.2%) | +0.661% |
| Betsson 1.55 (64.9%) | Pinnacle 7.26 (13.9%) | Marathon Bet 4.75 (21.2%) | +0.661% |
| Betsson 1.55 (64.9%) | Pinnacle 7.26 (13.9%) | Betway 4.75 (21.2%) | +0.661% |
| Unibet 1.52 (66.0%) | Pinnacle 7.26 (13.8%) | Pinnacle 4.97 (20.2%) | +0.317% |
| NordicBet 1.55 (64.6%) | Marathon Bet 7.00 (14.3%) | 1xBet 4.75 (21.1%) | +0.146% |
| NordicBet 1.55 (64.6%) | Marathon Bet 7.00 (14.3%) | Marathon Bet 4.75 (21.1%) | +0.146% |
| NordicBet 1.55 (64.6%) | Marathon Bet 7.00 (14.3%) | Betway 4.75 (21.1%) | +0.146% |
| Betsson 1.55 (64.6%) | Marathon Bet 7.00 (14.3%) | 1xBet 4.75 (21.1%) | +0.146% |
| Betsson 1.55 (64.6%) | Marathon Bet 7.00 (14.3%) | Marathon Bet 4.75 (21.1%) | +0.146% |
| Betsson 1.55 (64.6%) | Marathon Bet 7.00 (14.3%) | Betway 4.75 (21.1%) | +0.146% |
| NordicBet 1.55 (64.6%) | 1xBet 6.99 (14.3%) | 1xBet 4.75 (21.1%) | +0.125% |
| NordicBet 1.55 (64.6%) | 1xBet 6.99 (14.3%) | Marathon Bet 4.75 (21.1%) | +0.125% |
| NordicBet 1.55 (64.6%) | 1xBet 6.99 (14.3%) | Betway 4.75 (21.1%) | +0.125% |
| Betsson 1.55 (64.6%) | 1xBet 6.99 (14.3%) | 1xBet 4.75 (21.1%) | +0.125% |
| Betsson 1.55 (64.6%) | 1xBet 6.99 (14.3%) | Marathon Bet 4.75 (21.1%) | +0.125% |
| Betsson 1.55 (64.6%) | 1xBet 6.99 (14.3%) | Betway 4.75 (21.1%) | +0.125% |