The School of Odds

Galway United v Sligo Rovers

2026-07-11 16:00 — League of Ireland

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (3 in analysis)

Option 1: Galway United (Local)

1.5464.94%Min
1.6162.21%Mean
1.6261.73%Median
1.6560.61%Max
54.79%1.825Min
58.03%1.723Max
57.22%1.748Mean
57.55%1.738Median
57.22%1.748IQM
57.29%1.746Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.65 under the IQM model: 57.22%

EV -5.59%Edge -3.39%Kelly -8.60%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Sligo Rovers (Visit)

4.0025.00%Min
4.5322.07%Mean
4.6521.51%Median
4.9120.37%Max
19.15%5.223Min
21.10%4.740Max
19.49%5.131Mean
19.42%5.148Median
19.49%5.131IQM
19.46%5.138Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 4.91 under the IQM model: 19.49%

EV -4.31%Edge -0.877%Kelly -1.10%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

3.5028.57%Min
3.8226.17%Mean
3.8525.97%Median
4.1224.27%Max
22.82%4.382Min
24.65%4.058Max
23.29%4.294Mean
23.02%4.344Median
23.29%4.294IQM
23.25%4.301Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 4.12 under the IQM model: 23.29%

EV -4.04%Edge -0.981%Kelly -1.30%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

BookmakerGalway United (Local) ▼Sligo Rovers (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
NordicBet1.65I 60.61% NM 56.07%EV -5.59% E -3.39% K -8.60% G +0.000%4.65I 21.51% NM 19.90%EV -9.37% E -2.02% K -2.57% G +0.000%3.85I 25.97% NM 24.03%EV -10.33% E -2.68% K -3.63% G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-04 06:05
Betsson1.65I 60.61% NM 56.07%EV -5.59% E -3.39% K -8.60% G +0.000%4.65I 21.51% NM 19.90%EV -9.37% E -2.02% K -2.57% G +0.000%3.85I 25.97% NM 24.03%EV -10.33% E -2.68% K -3.63% G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-04 06:05
1xBet1.64I 60.98% NM 57.11%EV -6.16% E -3.76% K -9.62% G +0.000%4.74I 21.10% NM 19.76%EV -7.62% E -1.61% K -2.04% G +0.000%4.05I 24.69% NM 23.13%EV -5.67% E -1.40% K -1.86% G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-04 06:10
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73% NM 58.03%EV -7.30% E -4.51% K -11.78% G +0.000%4.91I 20.37% NM 19.15%EV -4.31% E -0.877% K -1.10% G +0.000%4.12I 24.27% NM 22.82%EV -4.04% E -0.981% K -1.30% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-04 06:00
Marathon Bet1.62I 61.73% NM 57.55%EV -7.30% E -4.51% K -11.78% G +0.000%4.80I 20.83% NM 19.42%EV -6.45% E -1.34% K -1.70% G +0.000%4.05I 24.69% NM 23.02%EV -5.67% E -1.40% K -1.86% G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 06:04
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29% NM 55.28%EV -9.59% E -6.07% K -16.54% G +0.000%4.20I 23.81% NM 20.79%EV -18.14% E -4.32% K -5.67% G +0.000%3.65I 27.40% NM 23.93%EV -14.99% E -4.11% K -5.66% G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-04 06:04
Unibet (FR)1.56I 64.10% NM 55.29%EV -10.74% E -6.88% K -19.17% G +0.000%4.30I 23.26% NM 20.06%EV -16.19% E -3.77% K -4.91% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 24.65%EV -18.48% E -5.28% K -7.39% G +0.000%15.9%2026-07-04 06:05
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94% NM 54.79%EV -11.88% E -7.72% K -22.00% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 21.10%EV -22.04% E -5.51% K -7.35% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 24.11%EV -18.48% E -5.28% K -7.39% G +0.000%18.5%2026-07-04 06:04
Margin = book's overround · I = implied probability · NM = no-margin (de-vigged) probability · EV = expected value · E = edge · K = Kelly fraction · G = bankroll growth.