The School of Odds

Tacoma Rainiers v Reno Aces

2026-07-04 02:05 — MiLB

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis)

Option 1: Tacoma Rainiers (Local)

1.7158.48%Min
1.7357.68%Mean
1.7457.47%Median
1.7557.14%Max
53.87%1.856Min
54.09%1.849Max
54.07%1.849Mean
54.09%1.849Median
54.08%1.849IQM
54.07%1.849Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.75 under the IQM model: 54.08%

EV -5.36%Edge -3.06%Kelly -7.14%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Reno Aces (Visit)

2.0050.00%Min
2.0449.08%Mean
2.0548.78%Median
2.0648.54%Max
45.91%2.178Min
46.13%2.168Max
45.93%2.177Mean
45.91%2.178Median
45.92%2.178IQM
45.93%2.177Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.06 under the IQM model: 45.92%

EV -5.41%Edge -2.63%Kelly -5.10%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

BookmakerTacoma Rainiers (Local) ▼Reno Aces (Visit)MarginUpdated
FanDuel1.75I 57.14% NM 54.07%EV -5.36% E -3.06% K -7.14% G +0.000%2.06I 48.54% NM 45.93%EV -5.41% E -2.63% K -5.10% G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-03 13:20
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47% NM 54.09%EV -5.90% E -3.39% K -7.97% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 45.91%EV -5.87% E -2.86% K -5.59% G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-03 13:25
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47% NM 54.09%EV -5.90% E -3.39% K -7.97% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 45.91%EV -5.87% E -2.86% K -5.59% G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-03 13:44
Caesars1.74I 57.47% NM 54.09%EV -5.90% E -3.39% K -7.97% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 45.91%EV -5.87% E -2.86% K -5.59% G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-03 13:51
Bovada1.74I 57.47% NM 54.09%EV -5.90% E -3.39% K -7.97% G +0.000%2.05I 48.78% NM 45.91%EV -5.87% E -2.86% K -5.59% G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-03 14:23
1xBet1.73I 57.80% NM 53.87%EV -6.44% E -3.72% K -8.82% G +0.000%2.02I 49.50% NM 46.13%EV -7.25% E -3.59% K -7.10% G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-03 14:25
BetRivers1.72I 58.14% NM 54.01%EV -6.98% E -4.06% K -9.69% G +0.000%2.02I 49.50% NM 45.99%EV -7.25% E -3.59% K -7.10% G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-03 18:55
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48% NM 53.91%EV -7.52% E -4.40% K -10.59% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 46.09%EV -8.17% E -4.08% K -8.17% G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-03 13:29
Margin = book's overround · I = implied probability · NM = no-margin (de-vigged) probability · EV = expected value · E = edge · K = Kelly fraction · G = bankroll growth.