The School of OddsAmanda Anisimova v Madison Keys
Head to Head
Option 1: Amanda Anisimova (Local)
Odds
2.2544.44%Min
2.3342.88%Mean
2.3342.92%Median
2.5040.00%Max
Consensus probabilities
38.88%2.572Min
41.94%2.384Max
40.61%2.463Mean
40.71%2.456Median
40.72%2.456IQM
40.52%2.468Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 2.50 under the IQM model: 40.72%
EV +1.80%Edge +0.722%Kelly +1.20%Growth +0.022%
Option 2: Madison Keys (Visit)
Odds
1.5564.52%Min
1.6062.63%Mean
1.6062.50%Median
1.6560.61%Max
Consensus probabilities
58.06%1.722Min
61.12%1.636Max
59.39%1.684Mean
59.29%1.687Median
59.28%1.687IQM
59.48%1.681Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 1.65 under the IQM model: 59.28%
EV -2.19%Edge -1.33%Kelly -3.37%Growth +0.000%
Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Amanda Anisimova (Local) ▼ | Madison Keys (Visit) | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 2.50I 40.00% NM 38.88%EV +1.80% E +0.722% K +1.20% G +0.022% | 1.59I 62.89% NM 61.12%EV -5.75% E -3.61% K -9.74% G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-03 16:10 |
| BetAnything | 2.45I 40.82% NM 39.36%EV -0.232% E -0.095% K -0.160% G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89% NM 60.64%EV -5.75% E -3.61% K -9.74% G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-03 17:40 |
| Pinnacle | 2.43I 41.15% NM 40.00%EV -1.05% E -0.431% K -0.732% G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73% NM 60.00%EV -3.97% E -2.45% K -6.40% G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-03 13:50 |
| 1xBet | 2.41I 41.49% NM 40.64%EV -1.86% E -0.772% K -1.32% G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61% NM 59.36%EV -2.19% E -1.33% K -3.37% G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-03 10:45 |
| Coolbet | 2.40I 41.67% NM 40.45%EV -2.27% E -0.945% K -1.62% G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35% NM 59.55%EV -3.38% E -2.07% K -5.36% G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-03 10:50 |
| Betway | 2.40I 41.67% NM 40.00%EV -2.27% E -0.945% K -1.62% G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50% NM 60.00%EV -5.15% E -3.22% K -8.59% G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-03 13:15 |
| Bovada | 2.40I 41.67% NM 39.85%EV -2.27% E -0.945% K -1.62% G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89% NM 60.15%EV -5.75% E -3.61% K -9.74% G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-03 17:10 |
| BetUS | 2.40I 41.67% NM 39.85%EV -2.27% E -0.945% K -1.62% G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89% NM 60.15%EV -5.75% E -3.61% K -9.74% G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-03 17:10 |
| DraftKings | 2.40I 41.67% NM 39.39%EV -2.27% E -0.945% K -1.62% G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10% NM 60.61%EV -7.53% E -4.82% K -13.44% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-03 17:09 |
| BoyleSports | 2.38I 42.02% NM 40.50%EV -3.08% E -1.30% K -2.23% G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73% NM 59.50%EV -3.97% E -2.45% K -6.40% G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-03 15:23 |
| Sky Bet | 2.38I 42.02% NM 39.75%EV -3.08% E -1.30% K -2.23% G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69% NM 60.25%EV -6.93% E -4.42% K -12.16% G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-03 10:30 |
| betfred_uk | 2.38I 42.02% NM 39.75%EV -3.08% E -1.30% K -2.23% G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69% NM 60.25%EV -6.93% E -4.42% K -12.16% G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-03 17:30 |
| FanDuel | 2.36I 42.37% NM 40.55%EV -3.90% E -1.65% K -2.87% G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11% NM 59.45%EV -4.56% E -2.83% K -7.48% G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-03 10:30 |
| Fanatics | 2.35I 42.55% NM 40.81%EV -4.30% E -1.83% K -3.19% G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73% NM 59.19%EV -3.97% E -2.45% K -6.40% G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-03 10:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.35I 42.55% NM 40.81%EV -4.30% E -1.83% K -3.19% G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73% NM 59.19%EV -3.97% E -2.45% K -6.40% G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-03 13:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.35I 42.55% NM 40.66%EV -4.30% E -1.83% K -3.19% G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11% NM 59.34%EV -4.56% E -2.83% K -7.48% G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-03 15:20 |
| SportsBet | 2.35I 42.55% NM 40.51%EV -4.30% E -1.83% K -3.19% G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50% NM 59.49%EV -5.15% E -3.22% K -8.59% G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-03 10:30 |
| Dabble (AU) | 2.35I 42.55% NM 40.51%EV -4.30% E -1.83% K -3.19% G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50% NM 59.49%EV -5.15% E -3.22% K -8.59% G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-03 15:25 |
| TAB | 2.35I 42.55% NM 40.51%EV -4.30% E -1.83% K -3.19% G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50% NM 59.49%EV -5.15% E -3.22% K -8.59% G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-03 15:25 |
| PlayUp | 2.35I 42.55% NM 40.20%EV -4.30% E -1.83% K -3.19% G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29% NM 59.80%EV -6.34% E -4.01% K -10.93% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-03 15:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.35I 42.55% NM 40.05%EV -4.30% E -1.83% K -3.19% G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69% NM 59.95%EV -6.93% E -4.42% K -12.16% G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-03 10:25 |
| Everygame | 2.35I 42.55% NM 40.05%EV -4.30% E -1.83% K -3.19% G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69% NM 59.95%EV -6.93% E -4.42% K -12.16% G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-03 13:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.35I 42.55% NM 39.74%EV -4.30% E -1.83% K -3.19% G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52% NM 60.26%EV -8.12% E -5.24% K -14.76% G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-03 15:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.33I 42.92% NM 40.71%EV -5.12% E -2.20% K -3.85% G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50% NM 59.29%EV -5.15% E -3.22% K -8.59% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-03 10:45 |
| Casumo | 2.33I 42.92% NM 40.71%EV -5.12% E -2.20% K -3.85% G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50% NM 59.29%EV -5.15% E -3.22% K -8.59% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-03 15:20 |
| Grosvenor | 2.33I 42.92% NM 40.71%EV -5.12% E -2.20% K -3.85% G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50% NM 59.29%EV -5.15% E -3.22% K -8.59% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-03 15:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.33I 42.92% NM 40.71%EV -5.12% E -2.20% K -3.85% G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50% NM 59.29%EV -5.15% E -3.22% K -8.59% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-03 15:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.33I 42.92% NM 40.71%EV -5.12% E -2.20% K -3.85% G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50% NM 59.29%EV -5.15% E -3.22% K -8.59% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-03 15:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.33I 42.92% NM 40.71%EV -5.12% E -2.20% K -3.85% G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50% NM 59.29%EV -5.15% E -3.22% K -8.59% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-03 15:20 |
| BetRivers | 2.33I 42.92% NM 40.71%EV -5.12% E -2.20% K -3.85% G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50% NM 59.29%EV -5.15% E -3.22% K -8.59% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-03 15:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.33I 42.92% NM 40.71%EV -5.12% E -2.20% K -3.85% G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50% NM 59.29%EV -5.15% E -3.22% K -8.59% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-03 15:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.33I 42.92% NM 40.71%EV -5.12% E -2.20% K -3.85% G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50% NM 59.29%EV -5.15% E -3.22% K -8.59% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-03 15:20 |
| Unibet | 2.33I 42.92% NM 40.71%EV -5.12% E -2.20% K -3.85% G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50% NM 59.29%EV -5.15% E -3.22% K -8.59% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-03 15:20 |
| TABtouch | 2.33I 42.92% NM 40.71%EV -5.12% E -2.20% K -3.85% G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50% NM 59.29%EV -5.15% E -3.22% K -8.59% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-03 15:20 |
| Bally Bet | 2.33I 42.92% NM 40.71%EV -5.12% E -2.20% K -3.85% G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50% NM 59.29%EV -5.15% E -3.22% K -8.59% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-03 15:20 |
| betPARX | 2.33I 42.92% NM 40.71%EV -5.12% E -2.20% K -3.85% G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50% NM 59.29%EV -5.15% E -3.22% K -8.59% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-03 15:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.33I 42.92% NM 40.71%EV -5.12% E -2.20% K -3.85% G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50% NM 59.29%EV -5.15% E -3.22% K -8.59% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-03 15:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.33I 42.92% NM 40.71%EV -5.12% E -2.20% K -3.85% G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50% NM 59.29%EV -5.15% E -3.22% K -8.59% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-03 15:20 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.32I 43.10% NM 40.51%EV -5.53% E -2.38% K -4.19% G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29% NM 59.49%EV -6.34% E -4.01% K -10.93% G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-03 10:45 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.31I 43.29% NM 40.92%EV -5.93% E -2.57% K -4.53% G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50% NM 59.08%EV -5.15% E -3.22% K -8.59% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-03 13:59 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.31I 43.29% NM 40.92%EV -5.93% E -2.57% K -4.53% G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50% NM 59.08%EV -5.15% E -3.22% K -8.59% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-03 10:30 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48% NM 41.33%EV -6.34% E -2.76% K -4.88% G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73% NM 58.67%EV -3.97% E -2.45% K -6.40% G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-03 11:05 |
| Neds | 2.30I 43.48% NM 41.33%EV -6.34% E -2.76% K -4.88% G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73% NM 58.67%EV -3.97% E -2.45% K -6.40% G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-03 10:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.30I 43.48% NM 41.33%EV -6.34% E -2.76% K -4.88% G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73% NM 58.67%EV -3.97% E -2.45% K -6.40% G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-03 10:25 |
| 888sport | 2.30I 43.48% NM 41.18%EV -6.34% E -2.76% K -4.88% G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11% NM 58.82%EV -4.56% E -2.83% K -7.48% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-03 10:25 |
| BetMGM | 2.30I 43.48% NM 41.18%EV -6.34% E -2.76% K -4.88% G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11% NM 58.82%EV -4.56% E -2.83% K -7.48% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-03 10:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.30I 43.48% NM 41.18%EV -6.34% E -2.76% K -4.88% G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11% NM 58.82%EV -4.56% E -2.83% K -7.48% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-03 10:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.30I 43.48% NM 41.18%EV -6.34% E -2.76% K -4.88% G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11% NM 58.82%EV -4.56% E -2.83% K -7.48% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-03 10:25 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.30I 43.48% NM 41.03%EV -6.34% E -2.76% K -4.88% G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50% NM 58.97%EV -5.15% E -3.22% K -8.59% G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-03 10:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.30I 43.48% NM 41.03%EV -6.34% E -2.76% K -4.88% G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50% NM 58.97%EV -5.15% E -3.22% K -8.59% G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-03 10:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.30I 43.48% NM 41.03%EV -6.34% E -2.76% K -4.88% G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50% NM 58.97%EV -5.15% E -3.22% K -8.59% G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-03 15:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.30I 43.48% NM 41.03%EV -6.34% E -2.76% K -4.88% G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50% NM 58.97%EV -5.15% E -3.22% K -8.59% G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-03 13:15 |
| NordicBet | 2.30I 43.48% NM 40.87%EV -6.34% E -2.76% K -4.88% G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89% NM 59.13%EV -5.75% E -3.61% K -9.74% G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-03 10:30 |
| Betsson | 2.30I 43.48% NM 40.87%EV -6.34% E -2.76% K -4.88% G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89% NM 59.13%EV -5.75% E -3.61% K -9.74% G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-03 10:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.30I 43.48% NM 40.72%EV -6.34% E -2.76% K -4.88% G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29% NM 59.28%EV -6.34% E -4.01% K -10.93% G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-03 15:20 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48% NM 40.57%EV -6.34% E -2.76% K -4.88% G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69% NM 59.43%EV -6.93% E -4.42% K -12.16% G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-03 10:30 |
| theScore Bet | 2.30I 43.48% NM 40.57%EV -6.34% E -2.76% K -4.88% G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69% NM 59.43%EV -6.93% E -4.42% K -12.16% G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-03 10:30 |
| Fliff | 2.30I 43.48% NM 40.57%EV -6.34% E -2.76% K -4.88% G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69% NM 59.43%EV -6.93% E -4.42% K -12.16% G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-03 10:30 |
| ReBet | 2.28I 43.86% NM 40.93%EV -7.15% E -3.14% K -5.59% G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29% NM 59.07%EV -6.34% E -4.01% K -10.93% G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-03 10:30 |
| GTbets | 2.27I 44.05% NM 41.94%EV -7.56% E -3.33% K -5.95% G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98% NM 58.06%EV -2.78% E -1.70% K -4.35% G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-03 10:25 |
| Caesars | 2.25I 44.44% NM 41.86%EV -8.38% E -3.72% K -6.70% G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73% NM 58.14%EV -3.97% E -2.45% K -6.40% G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-03 13:35 |
| LeoVegas | 2.25I 44.44% NM 41.10%EV -8.38% E -3.72% K -6.70% G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69% NM 58.90%EV -6.93% E -4.42% K -12.16% G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-03 10:30 |
| Bet Victor | 2.25I 44.44% NM 41.10%EV -8.38% E -3.72% K -6.70% G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69% NM 58.90%EV -6.93% E -4.42% K -12.16% G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-03 10:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.25I 44.44% NM 41.10%EV -8.38% E -3.72% K -6.70% G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69% NM 58.90%EV -6.93% E -4.42% K -12.16% G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-03 10:30 |
| Coral | 2.25I 44.44% NM 41.10%EV -8.38% E -3.72% K -6.70% G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69% NM 58.90%EV -6.93% E -4.42% K -12.16% G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-03 10:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62% NM 45.17%EV -14.48% E -6.90% K -13.17% G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV +2.55% E +1.47% K +3.50% G +0.089% | 5.4% | 2026-07-02 18:20 |
Margin = book's overround · I = implied probability · NM = no-margin (de-vigged) probability · EV = expected value · E = edge · K = Kelly fraction · G = bankroll growth.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Amanda Anisimova (Local) | Madison Keys (Visit) | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 2.56I 39.06% | 1.63I 61.35% | 0.4% | 2026-07-03 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.48I 40.32% | 1.66I 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-07-03 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.48I 40.32% | 1.66I 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-07-03 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.48I 40.32% | 1.66I 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-07-03 17:15 |
| Matchbook | 2.48I 40.32% | 1.66I 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-07-03 17:15 |
| ProphetX | 2.50I 40.00% | 1.64I 60.98% | 1.0% | 2026-07-03 17:50 |
| Smarkets | 2.44I 40.98% | 1.63I 61.35% | 2.3% | 2026-07-03 17:15 |