The School of Odds

Syracuse Mets v Worcester Red Sox

2026-07-04 22:35 — MiLB

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (5 in analysis)

Option 1: Syracuse Mets (Local)

1.7756.50%Min
1.7856.09%Mean
1.7756.50%Median
1.8254.95%Max
50.94%1.963Min
53.05%1.885Max
52.39%1.909Mean
52.91%1.890Median
52.65%1.899IQM
52.44%1.907Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.82 under the IQM model: 52.65%

EV -4.17%Edge -2.29%Kelly -5.09%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Worcester Red Sox (Visit)

1.8952.91%Min
1.9750.72%Mean
2.0050.00%Median
2.0050.00%Max
46.95%2.130Min
49.06%2.038Max
47.61%2.100Mean
47.09%2.124Median
47.35%2.112IQM
47.56%2.103Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.00 under the IQM model: 47.35%

EV -5.31%Edge -2.65%Kelly -5.31%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

BookmakerSyracuse Mets (Local) ▼Worcester Red Sox (Visit)MarginUpdated
BetRivers1.82I 54.95% NM 50.94%EV -4.17% E -2.29% K -5.09% G +0.000%1.89I 52.91% NM 49.06%EV -10.52% E -5.56% K -11.81% G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-04 15:10
Caesars1.80I 55.56% NM 52.00%EV -5.22% E -2.90% K -6.53% G +0.000%1.95I 51.28% NM 48.00%EV -7.67% E -3.94% K -8.08% G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-04 15:05
FanDuel1.78I 56.18% NM 52.91%EV -6.28% E -3.53% K -8.05% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 47.09%EV -5.31% E -2.65% K -5.31% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 12:25
BetOnline.ag1.77I 56.50% NM 53.05%EV -6.80% E -3.84% K -8.84% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 46.95%EV -5.31% E -2.65% K -5.31% G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-04 12:25
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50% NM 53.05%EV -6.80% E -3.84% K -8.84% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 46.95%EV -5.31% E -2.65% K -5.31% G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-04 12:25
Bovada1.77I 56.50% NM 53.05%EV -6.80% E -3.84% K -8.84% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 46.95%EV -5.31% E -2.65% K -5.31% G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-04 13:43
1xBet1.77I 56.50% NM 52.55%EV -6.80% E -3.84% K -8.84% G +0.000%1.96I 51.02% NM 47.45%EV -7.20% E -3.67% K -7.50% G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 12:39
Margin = book's overround · I = implied probability · NM = no-margin (de-vigged) probability · EV = expected value · E = edge · K = Kelly fraction · G = bankroll growth.