The School of OddsDurham v Nottinghamshire
Head to Head
Option 1: Durham (Local)
Odds
1.8354.64%Min
2.0648.43%Mean
2.1047.62%Median
2.1047.62%Max
Consensus probabilities
44.74%2.235Min
51.07%1.958Max
46.60%2.146Mean
45.97%2.175Median
45.87%2.180IQM
46.52%2.150Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 2.10 under the IQM model: 45.87%
EV -3.67%Edge -1.75%Kelly -3.34%Growth +0.000%
Option 2: Nottinghamshire (Visit)
Odds
1.7058.82%Min
1.7457.35%Mean
1.7357.80%Median
1.9152.36%Max
Consensus probabilities
48.93%2.044Min
55.26%1.810Max
53.40%1.873Mean
54.03%1.851Median
54.13%1.847IQM
53.48%1.870Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 1.91 under the IQM model: 54.13%
EV +3.39%Edge +1.77%Kelly +3.72%Growth +0.126%
Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Durham (Local) | Nottinghamshire (Visit) ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.83I 54.64% NM 51.07%EV -16.06% E -8.77% K -19.34% G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36% NM 48.93%EV +3.39% E +1.77% K +3.72% G +0.126% | 7.0% | 2026-07-03 22:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.10I 47.62% NM 46.15%EV -3.67% E -1.75% K -3.34% G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56% NM 53.85%EV -2.57% E -1.43% K -3.21% G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-03 21:29 |
| Coral | 2.10I 47.62% NM 46.15%EV -3.67% E -1.75% K -3.34% G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56% NM 53.85%EV -2.57% E -1.43% K -3.21% G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-03 21:30 |
| SportsBet | 2.08I 48.08% NM 45.69%EV -4.59% E -2.21% K -4.25% G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14% NM 54.31%EV -5.27% E -3.01% K -7.03% G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-03 21:29 |
| Neds | 2.05I 48.78% NM 46.05%EV -5.96% E -2.91% K -5.68% G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14% NM 53.95%EV -5.27% E -3.01% K -7.03% G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-03 21:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.05I 48.78% NM 46.05%EV -5.96% E -2.91% K -5.68% G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14% NM 53.95%EV -5.27% E -3.01% K -7.03% G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-03 21:30 |
| Sky Bet | 2.10I 47.62% NM 45.17%EV -3.67% E -1.75% K -3.34% G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV -6.36% E -3.67% K -8.71% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-03 21:29 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62% NM 45.17%EV -3.67% E -1.75% K -3.34% G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV -6.36% E -3.67% K -8.71% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-03 21:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62% NM 45.17%EV -3.67% E -1.75% K -3.34% G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV -6.36% E -3.67% K -8.71% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-03 21:55 |
| 888sport | 2.10I 47.62% NM 45.17%EV -3.67% E -1.75% K -3.34% G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV -6.36% E -3.67% K -8.71% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 02:25 |
| betfred_uk | 2.10I 47.62% NM 45.17%EV -3.67% E -1.75% K -3.34% G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV -6.36% E -3.67% K -8.71% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-03 22:00 |
| William Hill | 2.10I 47.62% NM 45.17%EV -3.67% E -1.75% K -3.34% G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV -6.36% E -3.67% K -8.71% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 02:45 |
| Bet Victor | 2.00I 50.00% NM 46.38%EV -8.26% E -4.13% K -8.26% G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80% NM 53.62%EV -6.36% E -3.67% K -8.71% G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-03 21:29 |
| Betsson | 2.10I 47.62% NM 45.03%EV -3.67% E -1.75% K -3.34% G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14% NM 54.97%EV -6.90% E -4.01% K -9.58% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-03 22:05 |
| NordicBet | 2.10I 47.62% NM 45.03%EV -3.67% E -1.75% K -3.34% G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14% NM 54.97%EV -6.90% E -4.01% K -9.58% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-03 22:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.02I 49.50% NM 45.99%EV -7.34% E -3.63% K -7.20% G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14% NM 54.01%EV -6.90% E -4.01% K -9.58% G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-03 21:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.10I 47.62% NM 44.74%EV -3.67% E -1.75% K -3.34% G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82% NM 55.26%EV -7.98% E -4.69% K -11.40% G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-03 22:05 |
| TAB | 2.10I 47.62% NM 44.74%EV -3.67% E -1.75% K -3.34% G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82% NM 55.26%EV -7.98% E -4.69% K -11.40% G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-03 22:10 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00% NM 45.95%EV -8.26% E -4.13% K -8.26% G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82% NM 54.05%EV -7.98% E -4.69% K -11.40% G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-03 23:00 |
Margin = book's overround · I = implied probability · NM = no-margin (de-vigged) probability · EV = expected value · E = edge · K = Kelly fraction · G = bankroll growth.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Durham (Local) | Nottinghamshire (Visit) | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 2.04I 49.02% | 1.75I 57.14% | 6.2% | 2026-07-03 21:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.55I 64.52% | 1.60I 62.50% | 27.0% | 2026-07-03 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.55I 64.52% | 1.60I 62.50% | 27.0% | 2026-07-03 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.40I 71.43% | 1.45I 68.97% | 40.4% | 2026-07-03 22:10 |
Arbitrage (12 combinations)+0.02%Ladbrokes (UK) 2.10 (47.6%) / Pinnacle 1.91 (52.4%)Show all 12 combinations
| Durham (Local) | Nottinghamshire (Visit) | Margin |
|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) 2.10 (47.6%) | Pinnacle 1.91 (52.4%) | +0.025% |
| Coral 2.10 (47.6%) | Pinnacle 1.91 (52.4%) | +0.025% |
| Sky Bet 2.10 (47.6%) | Pinnacle 1.91 (52.4%) | +0.025% |
| Paddy Power 2.10 (47.6%) | Pinnacle 1.91 (52.4%) | +0.025% |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) 2.10 (47.6%) | Pinnacle 1.91 (52.4%) | +0.025% |
| 888sport 2.10 (47.6%) | Pinnacle 1.91 (52.4%) | +0.025% |
| betfred_uk 2.10 (47.6%) | Pinnacle 1.91 (52.4%) | +0.025% |
| William Hill 2.10 (47.6%) | Pinnacle 1.91 (52.4%) | +0.025% |
| Betsson 2.10 (47.6%) | Pinnacle 1.91 (52.4%) | +0.025% |
| NordicBet 2.10 (47.6%) | Pinnacle 1.91 (52.4%) | +0.025% |
| Betr (AU) 2.10 (47.6%) | Pinnacle 1.91 (52.4%) | +0.025% |
| TAB 2.10 (47.6%) | Pinnacle 1.91 (52.4%) | +0.025% |