The School of Odds

Shenzhen Peng City FC v Qingdao West Coast FC

2026-07-11 11:35 — Super League - China

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (6 in analysis)

Option 1: Shenzhen Peng City FC (Local)

2.2045.45%Min
2.3642.39%Mean
2.3742.28%Median
2.4940.16%Max
37.78%2.647Min
39.59%2.526Max
38.58%2.592Mean
38.28%2.612Median
38.53%2.595IQM
38.63%2.589Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.49 under the IQM model: 38.53%

EV -4.06%Edge -1.63%Kelly -2.72%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Qingdao West Coast FC (Visit)

2.5040.00%Min
2.7036.99%Mean
2.7536.36%Median
2.8535.09%Max
32.97%3.033Min
34.83%2.871Max
33.44%2.990Mean
33.43%2.991Median
33.47%2.988IQM
33.47%2.988Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.85 under the IQM model: 33.47%

EV -4.62%Edge -1.62%Kelly -2.50%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

3.0033.33%Min
3.2830.45%Mean
3.2630.63%Median
3.5028.57%Max
26.48%3.776Min
29.25%3.419Max
27.97%3.575Mean
28.29%3.535Median
28.00%3.571IQM
27.90%3.584Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.50 under the IQM model: 28.00%

EV -1.98%Edge -0.567%Kelly -0.794%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

BookmakerShenzhen Peng City FC (Local) ▼Qingdao West Coast FC (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet2.49I 40.16% NM 38.31%EV -4.06% E -1.63% K -2.72% G +0.000%2.85I 35.09% NM 33.47%EV -4.62% E -1.62% K -2.50% G +0.000%3.38I 29.59% NM 28.22%EV -5.34% E -1.58% K -2.25% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 13:20
Pinnacle2.48I 40.32% NM 38.26%EV -4.45% E -1.79% K -3.00% G +0.000%2.84I 35.21% NM 33.41%EV -4.96% E -1.75% K -2.69% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 28.33%EV -6.18% E -1.85% K -2.63% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 13:30
Marathon Bet2.42I 41.32% NM 38.29%EV -6.76% E -2.79% K -4.76% G +0.000%2.77I 36.10% NM 33.45%EV -7.30% E -2.64% K -4.12% G +0.000%3.28I 30.49% NM 28.25%EV -8.15% E -2.48% K -3.57% G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-04 13:15
Betsson2.42I 41.32% NM 38.24%EV -6.76% E -2.79% K -4.76% G +0.000%2.78I 35.97% NM 33.29%EV -6.97% E -2.51% K -3.91% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 28.47%EV -8.99% E -2.76% K -3.99% G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-04 12:30
NordicBet2.42I 41.32% NM 38.24%EV -6.76% E -2.79% K -4.76% G +0.000%2.78I 35.97% NM 33.29%EV -6.97% E -2.51% K -3.91% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 28.47%EV -8.99% E -2.76% K -3.99% G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-04 12:30
Coolbet2.40I 41.67% NM 39.33%EV -7.53% E -3.14% K -5.38% G +0.000%2.80I 35.71% NM 33.71%EV -6.30% E -2.25% K -3.50% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.97%EV -1.98% E -0.567% K -0.794% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 12:52
888sport2.40I 41.67% NM 37.78%EV -7.53% E -3.14% K -5.38% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 32.97%EV -7.97% E -2.90% K -4.55% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 29.25%EV -13.19% E -4.25% K -6.28% G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-04 13:15
William Hill2.40I 41.67% NM 37.78%EV -7.53% E -3.14% K -5.38% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 32.97%EV -7.97% E -2.90% K -4.55% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 29.25%EV -13.19% E -4.25% K -6.28% G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-04 13:15
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02% NM 38.34%EV -8.30% E -3.49% K -6.01% G +0.000%2.62I 38.17% NM 34.83%EV -12.32% E -4.70% K -7.61% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 26.84%EV -4.78% E -1.41% K -1.99% G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-04 12:55
SportsBet2.35I 42.55% NM 39.59%EV -9.45% E -4.02% K -7.00% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 33.83%EV -7.97% E -2.90% K -4.55% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.58%EV -1.98% E -0.567% K -0.794% G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 12:55
FanDuel2.35I 42.55% NM 39.59%EV -9.45% E -4.02% K -7.00% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 33.83%EV -7.97% E -2.90% K -4.55% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.58%EV -1.98% E -0.567% K -0.794% G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 12:55
Bet Right2.35I 42.55% NM 39.04%EV -9.45% E -4.02% K -7.00% G +0.000%2.70I 37.04% NM 33.98%EV -9.64% E -3.57% K -5.67% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 26.98%EV -4.78% E -1.41% K -1.99% G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-04 12:55
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55% NM 38.56%EV -9.45% E -4.02% K -7.00% G +0.000%2.70I 37.04% NM 33.56%EV -9.64% E -3.57% K -5.67% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 27.88%EV -8.99% E -2.76% K -3.99% G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-04 12:30
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48% NM 39.15%EV -11.38% E -4.95% K -8.75% G +0.000%2.62I 38.17% NM 34.37%EV -12.32% E -4.70% K -7.61% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 26.48%EV -4.78% E -1.41% K -1.99% G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-04 12:55
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44% NM 38.84%EV -13.31% E -5.91% K -10.65% G +0.000%2.65I 37.74% NM 32.97%EV -11.32% E -4.27% K -6.86% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 28.19%EV -13.19% E -4.25% K -6.28% G +0.000%14.4%2026-07-04 12:30
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44% NM 38.51%EV -13.31% E -5.91% K -10.65% G +0.000%2.55I 39.22% NM 33.98%EV -14.66% E -5.75% K -9.46% G +0.000%3.15I 31.75% NM 27.51%EV -11.79% E -3.74% K -5.48% G +0.000%15.4%2026-07-04 13:10
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44% NM 38.42%EV -13.31% E -5.91% K -10.65% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 34.57%EV -16.34% E -6.53% K -10.89% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 27.01%EV -10.39% E -3.25% K -4.72% G +0.000%15.7%2026-07-04 12:45
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45% NM 38.27%EV -15.23% E -6.92% K -12.69% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 33.67%EV -16.34% E -6.53% K -10.89% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 28.06%EV -15.99% E -5.33% K -7.99% G +0.000%18.8%2026-07-04 13:10
Margin = book's overround · I = implied probability · NM = no-margin (de-vigged) probability · EV = expected value · E = edge · K = Kelly fraction · G = bankroll growth.