The School of Odds

Orix Buffaloes v Saitama Seibu Lions

2026-07-05 05:00 — NPB

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (14 in analysis)

Option 1: Orix Buffaloes (Local)

1.8055.56%Min
1.8853.26%Mean
1.8753.48%Median
1.9651.02%Max
49.46%2.022Min
50.79%1.969Max
49.93%2.003Mean
50.00%2.000Median
50.00%2.000IQM
49.91%2.003Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.96 under the IQM model: 50.00%

EV -2.00%Edge -1.02%Kelly -2.08%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Saitama Seibu Lions (Visit)

1.8055.56%Min
1.8753.33%Mean
1.8753.48%Median
1.9351.81%Max
49.21%2.032Min
50.54%1.979Max
50.07%1.997Mean
50.00%2.000Median
50.00%2.000IQM
50.09%1.997Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.93 under the IQM model: 50.00%

EV -3.50%Edge -1.81%Kelly -3.76%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)

BookmakerOrix Buffaloes (Local) ▼Saitama Seibu Lions (Visit)MarginUpdated
Pinnacle1.96I 51.02% NM 49.61%EV -2.00% E -1.02% K -2.08% G +0.000%1.93I 51.81% NM 50.39%EV -3.50% E -1.81% K -3.76% G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-04 14:50
1xBet1.94I 51.55% NM 49.74%EV -3.00% E -1.55% K -3.19% G +0.000%1.92I 52.08% NM 50.26%EV -4.00% E -2.08% K -4.35% G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-04 14:48
Fanatics1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -4.50% E -2.36% K -4.95% G +0.000%1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -4.50% E -2.36% K -4.95% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 14:50
FanDuel1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -4.50% E -2.36% K -4.95% G +0.000%1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -4.50% E -2.36% K -4.95% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 14:50
BetOnline.ag1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -4.50% E -2.36% K -4.95% G +0.000%1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -4.50% E -2.36% K -4.95% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 14:49
William Hill1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -4.50% E -2.36% K -4.95% G +0.000%1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -4.50% E -2.36% K -4.95% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 14:49
LowVig.ag1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -4.50% E -2.36% K -4.95% G +0.000%1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -4.50% E -2.36% K -4.95% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 14:50
Coolbet1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -4.50% E -2.36% K -4.95% G +0.000%1.91I 52.36% NM 50.00%EV -4.50% E -2.36% K -4.95% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 15:00
DraftKings1.91I 52.36% NM 49.47%EV -4.50% E -2.36% K -4.95% G +0.000%1.87I 53.48% NM 50.53%EV -6.50% E -3.48% K -7.47% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 17:05
Betsson1.90I 52.63% NM 50.00%EV -5.00% E -2.63% K -5.56% G +0.000%1.90I 52.63% NM 50.00%EV -5.00% E -2.63% K -5.56% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 14:50
NordicBet1.90I 52.63% NM 50.00%EV -5.00% E -2.63% K -5.56% G +0.000%1.90I 52.63% NM 50.00%EV -5.00% E -2.63% K -5.56% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 14:50
MyBookie.ag1.88I 53.19% NM 50.00%EV -6.00% E -3.19% K -6.82% G +0.000%1.88I 53.19% NM 50.00%EV -6.00% E -3.19% K -6.82% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-04 14:49
BetUS1.87I 53.48% NM 50.79%EV -6.50% E -3.48% K -7.47% G +0.000%1.93I 51.81% NM 49.21%EV -3.50% E -1.81% K -3.76% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 18:15
Caesars1.87I 53.48% NM 50.00%EV -6.50% E -3.48% K -7.47% G +0.000%1.87I 53.48% NM 50.00%EV -6.50% E -3.48% K -7.47% G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 14:50
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48% NM 50.00%EV -6.50% E -3.48% K -7.47% G +0.000%1.87I 53.48% NM 50.00%EV -6.50% E -3.48% K -7.47% G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 14:50
Bovada1.87I 53.48% NM 50.00%EV -6.50% E -3.48% K -7.47% G +0.000%1.87I 53.48% NM 50.00%EV -6.50% E -3.48% K -7.47% G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 14:54
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48% NM 50.00%EV -6.50% E -3.48% K -7.47% G +0.000%1.87I 53.48% NM 50.00%EV -6.50% E -3.48% K -7.47% G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 15:24
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48% NM 50.00%EV -6.50% E -3.48% K -7.47% G +0.000%1.87I 53.48% NM 50.00%EV -6.50% E -3.48% K -7.47% G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 19:05
Fliff1.87I 53.48% NM 49.46%EV -6.50% E -3.48% K -7.47% G +0.000%1.83I 54.64% NM 50.54%EV -8.50% E -4.64% K -10.24% G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-04 17:50
888sport1.85I 54.05% NM 50.00%EV -7.50% E -4.05% K -8.82% G +0.000%1.85I 54.05% NM 50.00%EV -7.50% E -4.05% K -8.82% G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-04 14:50
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05% NM 50.00%EV -7.50% E -4.05% K -8.82% G +0.000%1.85I 54.05% NM 50.00%EV -7.50% E -4.05% K -8.82% G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-04 14:50
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05% NM 50.00%EV -7.50% E -4.05% K -8.82% G +0.000%1.85I 54.05% NM 50.00%EV -7.50% E -4.05% K -8.82% G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-04 14:50
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05% NM 50.00%EV -7.50% E -4.05% K -8.82% G +0.000%1.85I 54.05% NM 50.00%EV -7.50% E -4.05% K -8.82% G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-04 15:55
Everygame1.85I 54.05% NM 50.00%EV -7.50% E -4.05% K -8.82% G +0.000%1.85I 54.05% NM 50.00%EV -7.50% E -4.05% K -8.82% G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-04 16:19
Betway1.83I 54.64% NM 50.00%EV -8.50% E -4.64% K -10.24% G +0.000%1.83I 54.64% NM 50.00%EV -8.50% E -4.64% K -10.24% G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-04 14:49
ReBet1.83I 54.64% NM 50.00%EV -8.50% E -4.64% K -10.24% G +0.000%1.83I 54.64% NM 50.00%EV -8.50% E -4.64% K -10.24% G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-04 17:05
Betclic (FR)1.82I 54.95% NM 50.00%EV -9.00% E -4.95% K -10.98% G +0.000%1.82I 54.95% NM 50.00%EV -9.00% E -4.95% K -10.98% G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-04 14:50
Unibet (FR)1.80I 55.56% NM 50.00%EV -10.00% E -5.56% K -12.50% G +0.000%1.80I 55.56% NM 50.00%EV -10.00% E -5.56% K -12.50% G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-04 17:04
Margin = book's overround · I = implied probability · NM = no-margin (de-vigged) probability · EV = expected value · E = edge · K = Kelly fraction · G = bankroll growth.