The School of Odds

SC Preußen Münster v Karlsruher SC

2026-08-21 16:00 — DFB-Pokal

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (3 in analysis)

Option 1: SC Preußen Münster (Local)

2.5539.22%Min
2.7436.55%Mean
2.8035.71%Median
2.9034.48%Max
31.92%3.133Min
33.54%2.982Max
32.34%3.092Mean
32.53%3.074Median
32.34%3.092IQM
32.36%3.090Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.90 under the IQM model: 32.34%

EV -6.22%Edge -2.15%Kelly -3.27%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Karlsruher SC (Visit)

2.1047.62%Min
2.2444.70%Mean
2.2045.45%Median
2.3842.02%Max
38.87%2.572Min
43.06%2.322Max
40.84%2.449Mean
39.79%2.513Median
40.84%2.449IQM
40.73%2.455Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.38 under the IQM model: 40.84%

EV -2.80%Edge -1.18%Kelly -2.03%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

3.1032.26%Min
3.3230.11%Mean
3.3529.85%Median
3.7027.03%Max
25.02%3.997Min
27.77%3.601Max
26.82%3.728Mean
27.68%3.613Median
26.82%3.728IQM
26.91%3.716Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.70 under the IQM model: 26.82%

EV -0.758%Edge -0.205%Kelly -0.281%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

BookmakerSC Preußen Münster (Local) ▼Karlsruher SC (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
BetMGM2.90I 34.48% NM 32.56%EV -6.22% E -2.15% K -3.27% G +0.000%2.38I 42.02% NM 39.67%EV -2.80% E -1.18% K -2.03% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.77%EV -8.80% E -2.59% K -3.67% G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-11 10:09
Tipico (DE)2.90I 34.48% NM 31.92%EV -6.22% E -2.15% K -3.27% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 43.06%EV -12.19% E -5.67% K -10.60% G +0.000%3.70I 27.03% NM 25.02%EV -0.758% E -0.205% K -0.281% G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-17 23:20
Codere (IT)2.85I 35.09% NM 32.53%EV -7.84% E -2.75% K -4.24% G +0.000%2.33I 42.92% NM 39.79%EV -4.84% E -2.08% K -3.64% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 27.68%EV -10.15% E -3.03% K -4.32% G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-03 01:20
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71% NM 32.75%EV -9.46% E -3.38% K -5.25% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 39.87%EV -6.07% E -2.64% K -4.67% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 27.38%EV -10.15% E -3.03% K -4.32% G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-02 10:19
Betclic (FR)2.62I 38.17% NM 32.40%EV -15.28% E -5.83% K -9.43% G +0.000%2.12I 47.17% NM 40.04%EV -13.42% E -6.33% K -11.98% G +0.000%3.08I 32.47% NM 27.56%EV -17.39% E -5.65% K -8.36% G +0.000%17.8%2026-06-15 13:59
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46% NM 33.54%EV -15.92% E -6.12% K -9.95% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 39.63%EV -10.15% E -4.61% K -8.46% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 26.83%EV -12.83% E -3.95% K -5.70% G +0.000%14.7%2026-06-15 16:30
Unibet (FR)2.55I 39.22% NM 33.54%EV -17.54% E -6.88% K -11.32% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 38.87%EV -10.15% E -4.61% K -8.46% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 27.59%EV -16.85% E -5.44% K -8.02% G +0.000%16.9%2026-06-15 14:10
Winamax (FR)2.55I 39.22% NM 32.93%EV -17.54% E -6.88% K -11.32% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 39.98%EV -14.23% E -6.78% K -12.94% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 27.09%EV -16.85% E -5.44% K -8.02% G +0.000%19.1%2026-06-15 16:30
Margin = book's overround · I = implied probability · NM = no-margin (de-vigged) probability · EV = expected value · E = edge · K = Kelly fraction · G = bankroll growth.