The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Namibia v Zimbabwe

Kickoff: 2026-09-03 11:58 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Namibia (Local)

Prediction 37.12%2.69fair odd
EV -2.74%
Edge -1.05%
Kelly -1.69%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.94%37.67%37.35%41.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.522.552.6243.48%39.62%39.22%38.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Zimbabwe (Visit)

Prediction 62.88%1.59fair odd
EV +1.24%
Edge +0.768%
Kelly +2.03%
Growth +0.025%

assuming max odds 1.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.82%62.33%62.65%64.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.511.511.6168.97%66.06%66.23%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Namibia (Local): 37.12%; Zimbabwe (Visit): 62.88%. For Zimbabwe (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.59. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.61, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.24%.

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -14.62%E -6.36%K -11.25%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV +1.24%E +0.768%K +2.03%G +0.025%5.6%2026-09-03 11:25
Pinnacle🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -9.80%E -4.03%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -0.021%E -0.013%K -0.036%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-03 11:45
Bet Right🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -10.91%E -4.55%K -7.79%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -2.54%E -1.64%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 11:55
GTbets🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 39.85%EV -13.14%E -5.61%K -9.80%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.15%EV -2.54%E -1.64%K -4.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-03 11:55
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.34%E -2.10%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.42%E -2.91%K -8.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 11:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.34%E -2.10%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.42%E -2.91%K -8.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 11:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.34%E -2.10%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.42%E -2.91%K -8.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 11:55
Betsson🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.34%E -2.10%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.42%E -2.91%K -8.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 11:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.34%E -2.10%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.42%E -2.91%K -8.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 11:55
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.42%E -2.91%K -8.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 11:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.42%E -2.91%K -8.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 11:35
TAB🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.42%E -2.91%K -8.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 11:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.34%E -2.10%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.05%E -3.35%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 11:55
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.34%E -2.10%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.05%E -3.35%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 11:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.34%E -2.10%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.05%E -3.35%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 11:54
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.34%E -2.10%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.05%E -3.35%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 11:55
Grosvenor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.05%E -3.35%K -9.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 11:55
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -2.74%E -1.05%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.68%E -3.79%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 11:44
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -2.74%E -1.05%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.68%E -3.79%K -11.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 11:40
NordicBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.49%E -1.34%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.68%E -3.79%K -11.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 11:45
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.49%E -1.34%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.68%E -3.79%K -11.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 11:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.34%E -2.10%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.68%E -3.79%K -11.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 11:49
TABtouch🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.68%E -3.79%K -11.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 11:55
betano_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.68%E -3.79%K -11.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 11:49
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.68%E -3.79%K -11.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 11:48
BetOnline.ag🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 36.70%EV -4.60%E -1.79%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.30%EV -6.31%E -4.23%K -12.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 11:40
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.49%E -1.34%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.94%E -4.69%K -14.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 11:45
SportsBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.94%EV -2.74%E -1.05%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.06%EV -7.57%E -5.15%K -16.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 11:45
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -7.20%E -2.88%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.82%E -6.09%K -19.61%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-03 11:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%0.5%2026-09-03 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%0.5%2026-09-03 11:55
Matchbook◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%0.5%2026-09-03 11:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%0.6%2026-09-03 11:55