The School of Odds

France v Morocco

2026-07-09 20:00 — FIFA World Cup

Head to Head

60 sportsbooks (19 in analysis)

Option 1: France (Local)

1.5066.67%Min
1.5763.53%Mean
1.5763.69%Median
1.6361.35%Max
58.35%1.714Min
62.28%1.606Max
60.19%1.661Mean
60.16%1.662Median
60.22%1.661IQM
60.29%1.659Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.63 under the IQM model: 60.22%

EV -1.84%Edge -1.13%Kelly -2.92%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Morocco (Visit)

5.3018.87%Min
6.0316.58%Mean
6.0016.67%Median
6.7514.81%Max
14.14%7.071Min
17.37%5.756Max
15.62%6.401Mean
15.61%6.404Median
15.62%6.402IQM
15.50%6.450Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 6.75 under the IQM model: 15.62%

EV +5.44%Edge +0.806%Kelly +0.946%Growth +0.051%

Option 3: Draw

3.6027.78%Min
3.9225.52%Mean
3.9325.45%Median
4.1024.39%Max
23.22%4.306Min
25.61%3.905Max
24.19%4.134Mean
24.22%4.128Median
24.16%4.139IQM
24.21%4.131Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 4.10 under the IQM model: 24.16%

EV -0.954%Edge -0.233%Kelly -0.308%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)

BookmakerFrance (Local)Morocco (Visit) ▼DrawMarginUpdated
SportsBet1.54I 64.94% NM 61.99%EV -7.26% E -4.71% K -13.44% G +0.000%6.75I 14.81% NM 14.14%EV +5.44% E +0.806% K +0.946% G +0.051%4.00I 25.00% NM 23.87%EV -3.37% E -0.842% K -1.12% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 01:39
BetOnline.ag1.59I 62.89% NM 60.82%EV -4.25% E -2.67% K -7.20% G +0.000%6.61I 15.13% NM 14.63%EV +3.25% E +0.492% K +0.580% G +0.019%3.94I 25.38% NM 24.55%EV -4.82% E -1.22% K -1.64% G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-05 00:30
Coolbet1.60I 62.50% NM 60.89%EV -3.65% E -2.28% K -6.08% G +0.000%6.60I 15.15% NM 14.76%EV +3.10% E +0.469% K +0.553% G +0.017%4.00I 25.00% NM 24.35%EV -3.37% E -0.842% K -1.12% G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-05 00:20
Pinnacle1.59I 62.89% NM 60.64%EV -4.25% E -2.67% K -7.20% G +0.000%6.53I 15.31% NM 14.77%EV +2.00% E +0.307% K +0.362% G +0.007%3.92I 25.51% NM 24.60%EV -5.30% E -1.35% K -1.82% G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-05 00:45
1xBet1.63I 61.35% NM 60.41%EV -1.84% E -1.13% K -2.92% G +0.000%6.50I 15.38% NM 15.15%EV +1.53% E +0.236% K +0.279% G +0.004%4.03I 24.81% NM 24.44%EV -2.64% E -0.656% K -0.873% G +0.000%1.5%2026-07-05 00:35
FanDuel1.54I 64.94% NM 61.66%EV -7.26% E -4.71% K -13.44% G +0.000%6.50I 15.38% NM 14.61%EV +1.53% E +0.236% K +0.279% G +0.004%4.00I 25.00% NM 23.74%EV -3.37% E -0.842% K -1.12% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 01:40
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67% NM 62.28%EV -9.67% E -6.44% K -19.33% G +0.000%6.50I 15.38% NM 14.37%EV +1.53% E +0.236% K +0.279% G +0.004%4.00I 25.00% NM 23.35%EV -3.37% E -0.842% K -1.12% G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-05 01:38
Unibet (NL)1.61I 62.11% NM 60.82%EV -3.04% E -1.89% K -4.99% G +0.000%6.40I 15.63% NM 15.30%EV -0.028% E -0.004% K -0.005% G +0.000%4.10I 24.39% NM 23.88%EV -0.954% E -0.233% K -0.308% G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-04 23:55
Unibet (SE)1.61I 62.11% NM 60.82%EV -3.04% E -1.89% K -4.99% G +0.000%6.40I 15.63% NM 15.30%EV -0.028% E -0.004% K -0.005% G +0.000%4.10I 24.39% NM 23.88%EV -0.954% E -0.233% K -0.308% G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-04 23:55
ATG (SE)1.61I 62.11% NM 60.82%EV -3.04% E -1.89% K -4.99% G +0.000%6.40I 15.63% NM 15.30%EV -0.028% E -0.004% K -0.005% G +0.000%4.10I 24.39% NM 23.88%EV -0.954% E -0.233% K -0.308% G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-04 23:55
Svenska Spel1.61I 62.11% NM 60.82%EV -3.04% E -1.89% K -4.99% G +0.000%6.40I 15.63% NM 15.30%EV -0.028% E -0.004% K -0.005% G +0.000%4.10I 24.39% NM 23.88%EV -0.954% E -0.233% K -0.308% G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-04 23:55
Marathon Bet1.58I 63.29% NM 60.39%EV -4.85% E -3.07% K -8.36% G +0.000%6.30I 15.87% NM 15.15%EV -1.59% E -0.252% K -0.300% G +0.000%3.90I 25.64% NM 24.47%EV -5.79% E -1.48% K -1.99% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 00:29
theScore Bet1.61I 62.11% NM 59.48%EV -3.04% E -1.89% K -4.99% G +0.000%6.25I 16.00% NM 15.32%EV -2.37% E -0.379% K -0.452% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 25.20%EV -8.20% E -2.16% K -2.93% G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-04 23:39
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36% NM 61.08%EV -7.86% E -5.14% K -14.83% G +0.000%6.25I 16.00% NM 14.95%EV -2.37% E -0.379% K -0.452% G +0.000%3.90I 25.64% NM 23.96%EV -5.79% E -1.48% K -1.99% G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-05 01:35
NordicBet1.62I 61.73% NM 59.83%EV -2.44% E -1.51% K -3.94% G +0.000%6.20I 16.13% NM 15.63%EV -3.15% E -0.508% K -0.606% G +0.000%3.95I 25.32% NM 24.54%EV -4.58% E -1.16% K -1.55% G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-05 02:40
Betsson1.62I 61.73% NM 59.83%EV -2.44% E -1.51% K -3.94% G +0.000%6.20I 16.13% NM 15.63%EV -3.15% E -0.508% K -0.606% G +0.000%3.95I 25.32% NM 24.54%EV -4.58% E -1.16% K -1.55% G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-05 02:39
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52% NM 61.42%EV -6.66% E -4.29% K -12.10% G +0.000%6.20I 16.13% NM 15.36%EV -3.15% E -0.508% K -0.606% G +0.000%4.10I 24.39% NM 23.22%EV -0.954% E -0.233% K -0.308% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 01:15
GTbets1.60I 62.50% NM 60.08%EV -3.65% E -2.28% K -6.08% G +0.000%6.19I 16.16% NM 15.53%EV -3.31% E -0.535% K -0.637% G +0.000%3.94I 25.38% NM 24.40%EV -4.82% E -1.22% K -1.64% G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-05 00:15
Hard Rock Bet1.59I 62.89% NM 60.15%EV -4.25% E -2.67% K -7.20% G +0.000%6.00I 16.67% NM 15.94%EV -6.28% E -1.05% K -1.26% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 23.91%EV -3.37% E -0.842% K -1.12% G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 23:55
Bovada1.60I 62.50% NM 59.63%EV -3.65% E -2.28% K -6.08% G +0.000%6.00I 16.67% NM 15.90%EV -6.28% E -1.05% K -1.26% G +0.000%3.90I 25.64% NM 24.46%EV -5.79% E -1.48% K -1.99% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 00:35
BetAnything1.60I 62.50% NM 59.63%EV -3.65% E -2.28% K -6.08% G +0.000%6.00I 16.67% NM 15.90%EV -6.28% E -1.05% K -1.26% G +0.000%3.90I 25.64% NM 24.46%EV -5.79% E -1.48% K -1.99% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 00:35
BetUS1.60I 62.50% NM 59.63%EV -3.65% E -2.28% K -6.08% G +0.000%6.00I 16.67% NM 15.90%EV -6.28% E -1.05% K -1.26% G +0.000%3.90I 25.64% NM 24.46%EV -5.79% E -1.48% K -1.99% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 00:35
Casumo1.57I 63.69% NM 60.45%EV -5.45% E -3.47% K -9.56% G +0.000%6.00I 16.67% NM 15.82%EV -6.28% E -1.05% K -1.26% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 23.73%EV -3.37% E -0.842% K -1.12% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 23:55
BetRivers1.57I 63.69% NM 60.45%EV -5.45% E -3.47% K -9.56% G +0.000%6.00I 16.67% NM 15.82%EV -6.28% E -1.05% K -1.26% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 23.73%EV -3.37% E -0.842% K -1.12% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 23:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69% NM 60.45%EV -5.45% E -3.47% K -9.56% G +0.000%6.00I 16.67% NM 15.82%EV -6.28% E -1.05% K -1.26% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 23.73%EV -3.37% E -0.842% K -1.12% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 23:55
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69% NM 60.45%EV -5.45% E -3.47% K -9.56% G +0.000%6.00I 16.67% NM 15.82%EV -6.28% E -1.05% K -1.26% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 23.73%EV -3.37% E -0.842% K -1.12% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 23:55
Bally Bet1.57I 63.69% NM 60.45%EV -5.45% E -3.47% K -9.56% G +0.000%6.00I 16.67% NM 15.82%EV -6.28% E -1.05% K -1.26% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 23.73%EV -3.37% E -0.842% K -1.12% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 23:54
betPARX1.57I 63.69% NM 60.45%EV -5.45% E -3.47% K -9.56% G +0.000%6.00I 16.67% NM 15.82%EV -6.28% E -1.05% K -1.26% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 23.73%EV -3.37% E -0.842% K -1.12% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 23:54
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69% NM 60.45%EV -5.45% E -3.47% K -9.56% G +0.000%6.00I 16.67% NM 15.82%EV -6.28% E -1.05% K -1.26% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 23.73%EV -3.37% E -0.842% K -1.12% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 23:55
Fanatics1.57I 63.69% NM 60.45%EV -5.45% E -3.47% K -9.56% G +0.000%6.00I 16.67% NM 15.82%EV -6.28% E -1.05% K -1.26% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 23.73%EV -3.37% E -0.842% K -1.12% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 00:14
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69% NM 60.45%EV -5.45% E -3.47% K -9.56% G +0.000%6.00I 16.67% NM 15.82%EV -6.28% E -1.05% K -1.26% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 23.73%EV -3.37% E -0.842% K -1.12% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 00:15
Unibet1.57I 63.69% NM 60.27%EV -5.45% E -3.47% K -9.56% G +0.000%6.00I 16.67% NM 15.77%EV -6.28% E -1.05% K -1.26% G +0.000%3.95I 25.32% NM 23.96%EV -4.58% E -1.16% K -1.55% G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 23:54
Coral1.57I 63.69% NM 60.09%EV -5.45% E -3.47% K -9.56% G +0.000%6.00I 16.67% NM 15.72%EV -6.28% E -1.05% K -1.26% G +0.000%3.90I 25.64% NM 24.19%EV -5.79% E -1.48% K -1.99% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 00:25
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52% NM 60.76%EV -6.66% E -4.29% K -12.10% G +0.000%6.00I 16.67% NM 15.70%EV -6.28% E -1.05% K -1.26% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 23.54%EV -3.37% E -0.842% K -1.12% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 23:59
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52% NM 60.76%EV -6.66% E -4.29% K -12.10% G +0.000%6.00I 16.67% NM 15.70%EV -6.28% E -1.05% K -1.26% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 23.54%EV -3.37% E -0.842% K -1.12% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 00:14
TAB1.58I 63.29% NM 59.55%EV -4.85% E -3.07% K -8.36% G +0.000%6.00I 16.67% NM 15.68%EV -6.28% E -1.05% K -1.26% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 24.76%EV -8.20% E -2.16% K -2.93% G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-05 01:33
DraftKings1.57I 63.69% NM 59.90%EV -5.45% E -3.47% K -9.56% G +0.000%6.00I 16.67% NM 15.67%EV -6.28% E -1.05% K -1.26% G +0.000%3.85I 25.97% NM 24.43%EV -6.99% E -1.82% K -2.45% G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-05 01:15
Bet Right1.54I 64.94% NM 60.55%EV -7.26% E -4.71% K -13.44% G +0.000%6.00I 16.67% NM 15.54%EV -6.28% E -1.05% K -1.26% G +0.000%3.90I 25.64% NM 23.91%EV -5.79% E -1.48% K -1.99% G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-04 23:59
William Hill1.57I 63.69% NM 59.31%EV -5.45% E -3.47% K -9.56% G +0.000%6.00I 16.67% NM 15.52%EV -6.28% E -1.05% K -1.26% G +0.000%3.70I 27.03% NM 25.17%EV -10.62% E -2.87% K -3.93% G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-05 00:29
NetBet (FR)1.55I 64.52% NM 60.02%EV -6.66% E -4.29% K -12.10% G +0.000%6.00I 16.67% NM 15.50%EV -6.28% E -1.05% K -1.26% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 24.48%EV -8.20% E -2.16% K -2.93% G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-05 02:30
Unibet (FR)1.56I 64.10% NM 60.44%EV -6.05% E -3.88% K -10.81% G +0.000%5.90I 16.95% NM 15.98%EV -7.84% E -1.33% K -1.60% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 23.57%EV -3.37% E -0.842% K -1.12% G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-05 01:25
Fliff1.51I 66.23% NM 60.41%EV -9.07% E -6.00% K -17.77% G +0.000%5.85I 17.09% NM 15.59%EV -8.62% E -1.47% K -1.78% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 24.00%EV -8.20% E -2.16% K -2.93% G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-05 01:40
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69% NM 59.76%EV -5.45% E -3.47% K -9.56% G +0.000%5.80I 17.24% NM 16.18%EV -9.40% E -1.62% K -1.96% G +0.000%3.90I 25.64% NM 24.06%EV -5.79% E -1.48% K -1.99% G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-05 01:05
LiveScore Bet1.56I 64.10% NM 59.92%EV -6.05% E -3.88% K -10.81% G +0.000%5.80I 17.24% NM 16.12%EV -9.40% E -1.62% K -1.96% G +0.000%3.90I 25.64% NM 23.97%EV -5.79% E -1.48% K -1.99% G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 23:55
Virgin Bet1.56I 64.10% NM 59.92%EV -6.05% E -3.88% K -10.81% G +0.000%5.80I 17.24% NM 16.12%EV -9.40% E -1.62% K -1.96% G +0.000%3.90I 25.64% NM 23.97%EV -5.79% E -1.48% K -1.99% G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 23:55
PMU (FR)1.56I 64.10% NM 59.92%EV -6.05% E -3.88% K -10.81% G +0.000%5.80I 17.24% NM 16.12%EV -9.40% E -1.62% K -1.96% G +0.000%3.90I 25.64% NM 23.97%EV -5.79% E -1.48% K -1.99% G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 23:55
TABtouch1.56I 64.10% NM 59.92%EV -6.05% E -3.88% K -10.81% G +0.000%5.80I 17.24% NM 16.12%EV -9.40% E -1.62% K -1.96% G +0.000%3.90I 25.64% NM 23.97%EV -5.79% E -1.48% K -1.99% G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 23:55
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50% NM 59.59%EV -3.65% E -2.28% K -6.08% G +0.000%5.75I 17.39% NM 16.58%EV -10.18% E -1.77% K -2.14% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 23.83%EV -3.37% E -0.842% K -1.12% G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 01:05
BetMGM1.57I 63.69% NM 59.68%EV -5.45% E -3.47% K -9.56% G +0.000%5.75I 17.39% NM 16.30%EV -10.18% E -1.77% K -2.14% G +0.000%3.90I 25.64% NM 24.02%EV -5.79% E -1.48% K -1.99% G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-05 00:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69% NM 59.68%EV -5.45% E -3.47% K -9.56% G +0.000%5.75I 17.39% NM 16.30%EV -10.18% E -1.77% K -2.14% G +0.000%3.90I 25.64% NM 24.02%EV -5.79% E -1.48% K -1.99% G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-05 00:25
PlayUp1.58I 63.29% NM 58.76%EV -4.85% E -3.07% K -8.36% G +0.000%5.75I 17.39% NM 16.15%EV -10.18% E -1.77% K -2.14% G +0.000%3.70I 27.03% NM 25.09%EV -10.62% E -2.87% K -3.93% G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-05 02:40
Betway1.55I 64.52% NM 59.61%EV -6.66% E -4.29% K -12.10% G +0.000%5.75I 17.39% NM 16.07%EV -10.18% E -1.77% K -2.14% G +0.000%3.80I 26.32% NM 24.32%EV -8.20% E -2.16% K -2.93% G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-05 00:14
Dabble (AU)1.58I 63.29% NM 58.35%EV -4.85% E -3.07% K -8.36% G +0.000%5.75I 17.39% NM 16.03%EV -10.18% E -1.77% K -2.14% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.61%EV -13.03% E -3.62% K -5.01% G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-05 02:40
888sport1.57I 63.69% NM 58.51%EV -5.45% E -3.47% K -9.56% G +0.000%5.75I 17.39% NM 15.98%EV -10.18% E -1.77% K -2.14% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.52%EV -13.03% E -3.62% K -5.01% G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-05 00:25
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69% NM 58.51%EV -5.45% E -3.47% K -9.56% G +0.000%5.75I 17.39% NM 15.98%EV -10.18% E -1.77% K -2.14% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.52%EV -13.03% E -3.62% K -5.01% G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-05 00:25
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69% NM 58.51%EV -5.45% E -3.47% K -9.56% G +0.000%5.75I 17.39% NM 15.98%EV -10.18% E -1.77% K -2.14% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.52%EV -13.03% E -3.62% K -5.01% G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-05 00:25
MyBookie.ag1.58I 63.29% NM 59.44%EV -4.85% E -3.07% K -8.36% G +0.000%5.70I 17.54% NM 16.48%EV -10.96% E -1.92% K -2.33% G +0.000%3.90I 25.64% NM 24.08%EV -5.79% E -1.48% K -1.99% G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-05 01:10
ReBet1.57I 63.69% NM 59.41%EV -5.45% E -3.47% K -9.56% G +0.000%5.70I 17.54% NM 16.36%EV -10.96% E -1.92% K -2.33% G +0.000%3.85I 25.97% NM 24.23%EV -6.99% E -1.82% K -2.45% G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-05 01:05
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29% NM 59.44%EV -4.85% E -3.07% K -8.36% G +0.000%5.50I 18.18% NM 17.08%EV -14.09% E -2.56% K -3.13% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 23.48%EV -3.37% E -0.842% K -1.12% G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-05 01:04
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10% NM 59.02%EV -6.05% E -3.88% K -10.81% G +0.000%5.30I 18.87% NM 17.37%EV -17.21% E -3.25% K -4.00% G +0.000%3.90I 25.64% NM 23.61%EV -5.79% E -1.48% K -1.99% G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-05 01:05
Margin = book's overround · I = implied probability · NM = no-margin (de-vigged) probability · EV = expected value · E = edge · K = Kelly fraction · G = bankroll growth.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerFrance (Local)Morocco (Visit)DrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.59I 62.89%7.00I 14.29%4.10I 24.39%1.6%2026-07-05 02:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.59I 62.89%7.00I 14.29%4.10I 24.39%1.6%2026-07-05 02:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.59I 62.89%7.00I 14.29%4.10I 24.39%1.6%2026-07-05 02:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.59I 62.89%7.00I 14.29%4.10I 24.39%1.6%2026-07-05 02:40
Matchbook1.59I 62.89%6.80I 14.71%4.00I 25.00%2.6%2026-07-05 02:50