Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.60
assuming max odds 1.62
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Local): 38.80%; Yomiuri Giants (Visit): 61.20%. For Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.58. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.871%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV +0.871%E +0.335%K +0.544%G +0.005% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -5.13%E -3.31%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-25 08:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -1.07%E -0.419%K -0.690%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.19%E -5.46%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-25 08:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -1.07%E -0.419%K -0.690%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.19%E -5.46%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-25 08:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -1.07%E -0.419%K -0.690%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.19%E -5.46%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-25 08:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -1.07%E -0.419%K -0.690%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.19%E -5.46%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-25 08:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -1.07%E -0.419%K -0.690%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.19%E -5.46%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-25 08:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -1.07%E -0.419%K -0.690%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -8.19%E -5.46%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-25 08:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.39%EV -2.23%E -0.886%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.61%EV -3.91%E -2.49%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-25 08:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.01%E -1.20%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.13%E -3.31%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-25 08:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -3.01%E -1.20%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.75%E -3.73%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-25 08:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -3.01%E -1.20%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -10.03%E -6.82%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-25 07:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.22%EV -3.78%E -1.53%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.78%EV -2.07%E -1.30%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-25 08:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -3.78%E -1.53%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-25 08:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.25%EV -4.17%E -1.69%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.75%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-25 08:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.95%E -2.02%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-25 08:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -6.11%E -2.53%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -0.850%E -0.525%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-25 08:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-25 08:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-25 08:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-25 07:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -6.89%E -2.87%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -8.81%E -5.91%K -17.97%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-25 08:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.66%E -3.22%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-25 07:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.66%E -3.22%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-25 06:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.66%E -3.22%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-25 07:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -8.83%E -3.76%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -1.46%E -0.908%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-25 08:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -8.83%E -3.76%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.07%E -1.30%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-25 08:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.83%E -3.76%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.91%E -2.49%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-25 08:53 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -8.83%E -3.76%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.52%E -2.90%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-25 08:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -8.83%E -3.76%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.36%E -4.16%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-25 08:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -10.38%E -4.49%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -0.850%E -0.525%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-25 08:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -10.77%E -4.68%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -1.46%E -0.908%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-25 05:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -12.71%E -5.65%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -3.91%E -2.49%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-25 05:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.73%EV -13.48%E -6.05%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.27%EV -10.03%E -6.82%K -21.34%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-25 08:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.73%EV -14.65%E -6.66%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 60.27%EV -11.25%E -7.76%K -25.01%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-09-25 08:55 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.