The School of Odds

Hanshin Tigers v Hiroshima Toyo Carp

2026-07-04 09:00 — NPB

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (16 in analysis)

Option 1: Hanshin Tigers (Local)

Odds
1.4568.97%Min
1.5265.79%Mean
1.5265.79%Median
1.5962.89%Max
Consensus probabilities
60.10%1.664Min
62.97%1.588Max
61.90%1.616Mean
61.95%1.614Median
61.97%1.614IQM
61.93%1.615Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.59 under the IQM model: 61.97%

EV -1.47%Edge -0.922%Kelly -2.49%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visit)

Odds
2.3043.48%Min
2.4840.40%Mean
2.5040.00%Median
2.6138.31%Max
Consensus probabilities
37.03%2.701Min
39.90%2.506Max
38.10%2.625Mean
38.05%2.628Median
38.03%2.630IQM
38.07%2.627Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.61 under the IQM model: 38.03%

EV -0.743%Edge -0.285%Kelly -0.462%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

BookmakerHanshin Tigers (Local) ▼Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visit)MarginUpdated
LowVig.ag1.59I 62.89% NM 61.03%EV -1.47% E -0.922% K -2.49% G +0.000%2.49I 40.16% NM 38.97%EV -5.31% E -2.13% K -3.56% G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-03 16:35
BetOnline.ag1.59I 62.89% NM 61.03%EV -1.47% E -0.922% K -2.49% G +0.000%2.49I 40.16% NM 38.97%EV -5.31% E -2.13% K -3.56% G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-03 16:35
William Hill1.57I 63.69% NM 61.23%EV -2.71% E -1.72% K -4.75% G +0.000%2.48I 40.32% NM 38.77%EV -5.69% E -2.29% K -3.84% G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-03 17:10
Fanatics1.56I 64.10% NM 62.04%EV -3.33% E -2.13% K -5.94% G +0.000%2.55I 39.22% NM 37.96%EV -3.03% E -1.19% K -1.95% G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-03 16:39
Caesars1.56I 64.10% NM 60.10%EV -3.33% E -2.13% K -5.94% G +0.000%2.35I 42.55% NM 39.90%EV -10.63% E -4.52% K -7.87% G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-03 15:58
1xBet1.55I 64.52% NM 62.10%EV -3.95% E -2.55% K -7.17% G +0.000%2.54I 39.37% NM 37.90%EV -3.41% E -1.34% K -2.21% G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-03 16:35
NordicBet1.55I 64.52% NM 61.25%EV -3.95% E -2.55% K -7.17% G +0.000%2.45I 40.82% NM 38.75%EV -6.83% E -2.79% K -4.71% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-03 17:59
Betsson1.55I 64.52% NM 61.25%EV -3.95% E -2.55% K -7.17% G +0.000%2.45I 40.82% NM 38.75%EV -6.83% E -2.79% K -4.71% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-03 18:00
Pinnacle1.54I 64.94% NM 62.89%EV -4.57% E -2.96% K -8.45% G +0.000%2.61I 38.31% NM 37.11%EV -0.743% E -0.285% K -0.462% G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-03 16:50
BetUS1.54I 64.94% NM 62.25%EV -4.57% E -2.96% K -8.45% G +0.000%2.54I 39.37% NM 37.75%EV -3.41% E -1.34% K -2.21% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-03 16:50
Coolbet1.54I 64.94% NM 61.88%EV -4.57% E -2.96% K -8.45% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 38.12%EV -4.93% E -1.97% K -3.28% G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-03 16:50
DraftKings1.53I 65.36% NM 62.50%EV -5.18% E -3.39% K -9.78% G +0.000%2.55I 39.22% NM 37.50%EV -3.03% E -1.19% K -1.95% G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-03 16:35
BetMGM1.53I 65.36% NM 61.56%EV -5.18% E -3.39% K -9.78% G +0.000%2.45I 40.82% NM 38.44%EV -6.83% E -2.79% K -4.71% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-03 19:40
888sport1.53I 65.36% NM 60.87%EV -5.18% E -3.39% K -9.78% G +0.000%2.38I 42.02% NM 39.13%EV -9.49% E -3.99% K -6.88% G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-03 15:55
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36% NM 60.87%EV -5.18% E -3.39% K -9.78% G +0.000%2.38I 42.02% NM 39.13%EV -9.49% E -3.99% K -6.88% G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-03 15:55
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36% NM 60.87%EV -5.18% E -3.39% K -9.78% G +0.000%2.38I 42.02% NM 39.13%EV -9.49% E -3.99% K -6.88% G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-03 15:55
FanDuel1.52I 65.79% NM 62.56%EV -5.80% E -3.82% K -11.16% G +0.000%2.54I 39.37% NM 37.44%EV -3.41% E -1.34% K -2.21% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-03 16:35
MyBookie.ag1.52I 65.79% NM 62.19%EV -5.80% E -3.82% K -11.16% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 37.81%EV -4.93% E -1.97% K -3.28% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-03 16:39
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67% NM 62.96%EV -7.04% E -4.70% K -14.09% G +0.000%2.55I 39.22% NM 37.04%EV -3.03% E -1.19% K -1.95% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-03 17:10
BetRivers1.50I 66.67% NM 62.96%EV -7.04% E -4.70% K -14.09% G +0.000%2.55I 39.22% NM 37.04%EV -3.03% E -1.19% K -1.95% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-03 17:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67% NM 62.96%EV -7.04% E -4.70% K -14.09% G +0.000%2.55I 39.22% NM 37.04%EV -3.03% E -1.19% K -1.95% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-03 17:09
Unibet1.50I 66.67% NM 62.96%EV -7.04% E -4.70% K -14.09% G +0.000%2.55I 39.22% NM 37.04%EV -3.03% E -1.19% K -1.95% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-03 17:10
PMU (FR)1.50I 66.67% NM 62.96%EV -7.04% E -4.70% K -14.09% G +0.000%2.55I 39.22% NM 37.04%EV -3.03% E -1.19% K -1.95% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-03 17:10
Bally Bet1.50I 66.67% NM 62.96%EV -7.04% E -4.70% K -14.09% G +0.000%2.55I 39.22% NM 37.04%EV -3.03% E -1.19% K -1.95% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-03 17:10
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67% NM 62.50%EV -7.04% E -4.70% K -14.09% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 37.50%EV -4.93% E -1.97% K -3.28% G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-03 16:35
Bovada1.50I 66.67% NM 62.50%EV -7.04% E -4.70% K -14.09% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 37.50%EV -4.93% E -1.97% K -3.28% G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-03 16:45
Hard Rock Bet1.50I 66.67% NM 62.50%EV -7.04% E -4.70% K -14.09% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 37.50%EV -4.93% E -1.97% K -3.28% G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-03 16:35
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67% NM 62.03%EV -7.04% E -4.70% K -14.09% G +0.000%2.45I 40.82% NM 37.97%EV -6.83% E -2.79% K -4.71% G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-03 16:35
Betway1.50I 66.67% NM 61.54%EV -7.04% E -4.70% K -14.09% G +0.000%2.40I 41.67% NM 38.46%EV -8.73% E -3.64% K -6.24% G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-03 18:05
Coral1.50I 66.67% NM 61.54%EV -7.04% E -4.70% K -14.09% G +0.000%2.40I 41.67% NM 38.46%EV -8.73% E -3.64% K -6.24% G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-03 19:40
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03% NM 62.97%EV -8.90% E -6.06% K -18.94% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 37.03%EV -4.93% E -1.97% K -3.28% G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-03 18:54
Betclic (FR)1.47I 68.03% NM 61.72%EV -8.90% E -6.06% K -18.94% G +0.000%2.37I 42.19% NM 38.28%EV -9.87% E -4.16% K -7.20% G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-03 16:35
ReBet1.46I 68.49% NM 61.17%EV -9.52% E -6.52% K -20.70% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 38.83%EV -12.53% E -5.45% K -9.64% G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-03 16:35
Unibet (FR)1.45I 68.97% NM 61.33%EV -10.14% E -6.99% K -22.54% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 38.67%EV -12.53% E -5.45% K -9.64% G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-03 16:35
Margin = book's overround · I = implied probability · NM = no-margin (de-vigged) probability · EV = expected value · E = edge · K = Kelly fraction · G = bankroll growth.