The School of Odds

Switzerland v Colombia

2026-07-07 20:00 — FIFA World Cup

Head to Head

60 sportsbooks (21 in analysis)

Option 1: Switzerland (Local)

3.2530.77%Min
3.4529.00%Mean
3.4029.41%Median
3.7027.03%Max
26.07%3.836Min
28.59%3.498Max
27.60%3.623Mean
27.63%3.619Median
27.64%3.618IQM
27.55%3.630Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.70 under the IQM model: 27.64%

EV +2.28%Edge +0.616%Kelly +0.844%Growth +0.019%

Option 2: Colombia (Visit)

2.1546.51%Min
2.2245.14%Mean
2.2045.45%Median
2.3143.29%Max
41.90%2.387Min
43.59%2.294Max
42.86%2.333Mean
42.88%2.332Median
42.85%2.334IQM
42.89%2.331Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.31 under the IQM model: 42.85%

EV -1.01%Edge -0.438%Kelly -0.773%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

2.9533.90%Min
3.1631.66%Mean
3.2031.25%Median
3.4029.41%Max
28.21%3.545Min
31.63%3.162Max
29.54%3.385Mean
29.48%3.392Median
29.51%3.389IQM
29.56%3.383Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.40 under the IQM model: 29.51%

EV +0.319%Edge +0.094%Kelly +0.133%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)

BookmakerSwitzerland (Local) ▼Colombia (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
ATG (SE)3.70I 27.03% NM 26.20%EV +2.28% E +0.616% K +0.844% G +0.019%2.28I 43.86% NM 42.52%EV -2.30% E -1.01% K -1.80% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 31.27%EV -8.53% E -2.75% K -4.06% G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-04 09:04
Svenska Spel3.70I 27.03% NM 26.20%EV +2.28% E +0.616% K +0.844% G +0.019%2.28I 43.86% NM 42.52%EV -2.30% E -1.01% K -1.80% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 31.27%EV -8.53% E -2.75% K -4.06% G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-04 09:05
Unibet (SE)3.70I 27.03% NM 26.07%EV +2.28% E +0.616% K +0.844% G +0.019%2.28I 43.86% NM 42.31%EV -2.30% E -1.01% K -1.80% G +0.000%3.05I 32.79% NM 31.63%EV -10.01% E -3.28% K -4.88% G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-04 07:50
Unibet (NL)3.70I 27.03% NM 26.07%EV +2.28% E +0.616% K +0.844% G +0.019%2.28I 43.86% NM 42.31%EV -2.30% E -1.01% K -1.80% G +0.000%3.05I 32.79% NM 31.63%EV -10.01% E -3.28% K -4.88% G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-04 07:50
Coolbet3.65I 27.40% NM 26.85%EV +0.896% E +0.245% K +0.338% G +0.003%2.28I 43.86% NM 42.99%EV -2.30% E -1.01% K -1.80% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 30.16%EV -4.11% E -1.26% K -1.83% G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-04 07:40
Casumo3.65I 27.40% NM 26.19%EV +0.896% E +0.245% K +0.338% G +0.003%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.48%EV -3.58% E -1.59% K -2.87% G +0.000%3.05I 32.79% NM 31.34%EV -10.01% E -3.28% K -4.88% G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 09:04
Bally Bet3.65I 27.40% NM 26.19%EV +0.896% E +0.245% K +0.338% G +0.003%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.48%EV -3.58% E -1.59% K -2.87% G +0.000%3.05I 32.79% NM 31.34%EV -10.01% E -3.28% K -4.88% G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 09:04
betPARX3.65I 27.40% NM 26.19%EV +0.896% E +0.245% K +0.338% G +0.003%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.48%EV -3.58% E -1.59% K -2.87% G +0.000%3.05I 32.79% NM 31.34%EV -10.01% E -3.28% K -4.88% G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 09:04
LeoVegas (SE)3.65I 27.40% NM 26.05%EV +0.896% E +0.245% K +0.338% G +0.003%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.26%EV -3.58% E -1.59% K -2.87% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 31.69%EV -11.48% E -3.83% K -5.74% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 07:50
BetRivers3.60I 27.78% NM 26.45%EV -0.486% E -0.135% K -0.187% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.32%EV -3.58% E -1.59% K -2.87% G +0.000%3.05I 32.79% NM 31.22%EV -10.01% E -3.28% K -4.88% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 09:05
Grosvenor3.60I 27.78% NM 26.45%EV -0.486% E -0.135% K -0.187% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.32%EV -3.58% E -1.59% K -2.87% G +0.000%3.05I 32.79% NM 31.22%EV -10.01% E -3.28% K -4.88% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 09:05
Hard Rock Bet3.60I 27.78% NM 26.32%EV -0.486% E -0.135% K -0.187% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.11%EV -3.58% E -1.59% K -2.87% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 31.58%EV -11.48% E -3.83% K -5.74% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 07:50
1xBet3.58I 27.93% NM 27.53%EV -1.04% E -0.290% K -0.403% G +0.000%2.29I 43.67% NM 43.04%EV -1.87% E -0.816% K -1.45% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 29.42%EV -1.16% E -0.345% K -0.492% G +0.000%1.5%2026-07-04 06:05
BetOnline.ag3.58I 27.93% NM 26.97%EV -1.04% E -0.290% K -0.403% G +0.000%2.22I 45.05% NM 43.50%EV -4.87% E -2.19% K -3.99% G +0.000%3.27I 30.58% NM 29.53%EV -3.52% E -1.08% K -1.55% G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-04 04:10
Unibet3.55I 28.17% NM 26.63%EV -1.87% E -0.526% K -0.733% G +0.000%2.23I 44.84% NM 42.39%EV -4.44% E -1.99% K -3.61% G +0.000%3.05I 32.79% NM 30.99%EV -10.01% E -3.28% K -4.88% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 09:04
TABtouch3.55I 28.17% NM 26.20%EV -1.87% E -0.526% K -0.733% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 42.27%EV -5.73% E -2.60% K -4.77% G +0.000%2.95I 33.90% NM 31.53%EV -12.96% E -4.39% K -6.65% G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 09:04
Pinnacle3.53I 28.33% NM 27.41%EV -2.42% E -0.686% K -0.957% G +0.000%2.26I 44.25% NM 42.82%EV -3.16% E -1.40% K -2.50% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 29.77%EV -4.11% E -1.26% K -1.83% G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-04 08:55
Everygame3.50I 28.57% NM 27.27%EV -3.25% E -0.929% K -1.30% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.42%EV -3.58% E -1.59% K -2.87% G +0.000%3.15I 31.75% NM 30.30%EV -7.06% E -2.24% K -3.28% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 08:59
Tipico (DE)3.50I 28.57% NM 27.14%EV -3.25% E -0.929% K -1.30% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.18%EV -5.73% E -2.60% K -4.77% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 29.68%EV -5.58% E -1.74% K -2.54% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 03:55
BoyleSports3.50I 28.57% NM 26.62%EV -3.25% E -0.929% K -1.30% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 43.33%EV -7.87% E -3.66% K -6.84% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 30.05%EV -8.53% E -2.75% K -4.06% G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 06:50
PMU (FR)3.50I 28.57% NM 26.61%EV -3.25% E -0.929% K -1.30% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 42.34%EV -5.73% E -2.60% K -4.77% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 31.05%EV -11.48% E -3.83% K -5.74% G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-04 09:05
Virgin Bet3.50I 28.57% NM 26.61%EV -3.25% E -0.929% K -1.30% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 42.34%EV -5.73% E -2.60% K -4.77% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 31.05%EV -11.48% E -3.83% K -5.74% G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-04 09:05
LiveScore Bet3.50I 28.57% NM 26.61%EV -3.25% E -0.929% K -1.30% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 42.34%EV -5.73% E -2.60% K -4.77% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 31.05%EV -11.48% E -3.83% K -5.74% G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-04 09:05
Marathon Bet3.46I 28.90% NM 27.52%EV -4.36% E -1.26% K -1.77% G +0.000%2.21I 45.25% NM 43.09%EV -5.30% E -2.40% K -4.38% G +0.000%3.24I 30.86% NM 29.39%EV -4.40% E -1.36% K -1.96% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 06:05
Unibet (FR)3.45I 28.99% NM 27.67%EV -4.63% E -1.34% K -1.89% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.40%EV -5.73% E -2.60% K -4.77% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 28.93%EV -2.63% E -0.797% K -1.14% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 04:45
Betclic (FR)3.45I 28.99% NM 27.60%EV -4.63% E -1.34% K -1.89% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.28%EV -5.73% E -2.60% K -4.77% G +0.000%3.27I 30.58% NM 29.12%EV -3.52% E -1.08% K -1.55% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 04:45
theScore Bet3.40I 29.41% NM 28.21%EV -6.01% E -1.77% K -2.51% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.59%EV -5.73% E -2.60% K -4.77% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 28.21%EV +0.319% E +0.094% K +0.133% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 03:55
LeoVegas3.40I 29.41% NM 27.98%EV -6.01% E -1.77% K -2.51% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.29%EV -3.58% E -1.59% K -2.87% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 29.73%EV -5.58% E -1.74% K -2.54% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 06:45
Unibet (UK)3.40I 29.41% NM 27.98%EV -6.01% E -1.77% K -2.51% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.29%EV -3.58% E -1.59% K -2.87% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 29.73%EV -5.58% E -1.74% K -2.54% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 04:40
Codere (IT)3.40I 29.41% NM 27.98%EV -6.01% E -1.77% K -2.51% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.29%EV -3.58% E -1.59% K -2.87% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 29.73%EV -5.58% E -1.74% K -2.54% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 06:55
Coral3.40I 29.41% NM 27.98%EV -6.01% E -1.77% K -2.51% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.29%EV -3.58% E -1.59% K -2.87% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 29.73%EV -5.58% E -1.74% K -2.54% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 05:20
SportsBet3.40I 29.41% NM 27.97%EV -6.01% E -1.77% K -2.51% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.22%EV -5.73% E -2.60% K -4.77% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 28.81%EV -2.63% E -0.797% K -1.14% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 05:19
FanDuel3.40I 29.41% NM 27.97%EV -6.01% E -1.77% K -2.51% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.22%EV -5.73% E -2.60% K -4.77% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 28.81%EV -2.63% E -0.797% K -1.14% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 05:20
Betr (AU)3.40I 29.41% NM 27.84%EV -6.01% E -1.77% K -2.51% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.03%EV -5.73% E -2.60% K -4.77% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 29.13%EV -4.11% E -1.26% K -1.83% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 08:20
betfred_uk3.40I 29.41% NM 27.84%EV -6.01% E -1.77% K -2.51% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.03%EV -5.73% E -2.60% K -4.77% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 29.13%EV -4.11% E -1.26% K -1.83% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 05:20
Bovada3.40I 29.41% NM 27.84%EV -6.01% E -1.77% K -2.51% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.03%EV -5.73% E -2.60% K -4.77% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 29.13%EV -4.11% E -1.26% K -1.83% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 06:13
Bet Victor3.40I 29.41% NM 27.72%EV -6.01% E -1.77% K -2.51% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 42.83%EV -5.73% E -2.60% K -4.77% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 29.45%EV -5.58% E -1.74% K -2.54% G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 06:45
Fanatics3.40I 29.41% NM 27.72%EV -6.01% E -1.77% K -2.51% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 42.83%EV -5.73% E -2.60% K -4.77% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 29.45%EV -5.58% E -1.74% K -2.54% G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 05:30
PointsBet (AU)3.40I 29.41% NM 27.72%EV -6.01% E -1.77% K -2.51% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 42.83%EV -5.73% E -2.60% K -4.77% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 29.45%EV -5.58% E -1.74% K -2.54% G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 04:39
Betway3.40I 29.41% NM 27.44%EV -6.01% E -1.77% K -2.51% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 43.40%EV -7.87% E -3.66% K -6.84% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 29.16%EV -5.58% E -1.74% K -2.54% G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-04 06:10
William Hill3.40I 29.41% NM 27.19%EV -6.01% E -1.77% K -2.51% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 42.99%EV -7.87% E -3.66% K -6.84% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 29.82%EV -8.53% E -2.75% K -4.06% G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-04 04:44
GTbets3.39I 29.50% NM 28.59%EV -6.29% E -1.86% K -2.63% G +0.000%2.31I 43.29% NM 41.95%EV -1.01% E -0.438% K -0.773% G +0.000%3.29I 30.40% NM 29.46%EV -2.93% E -0.889% K -1.28% G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-04 04:00
MyBookie.ag3.36I 29.76% NM 28.06%EV -7.12% E -2.12% K -3.02% G +0.000%2.23I 44.84% NM 42.28%EV -4.44% E -1.99% K -3.61% G +0.000%3.18I 31.45% NM 29.65%EV -6.17% E -1.94% K -2.83% G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 04:43
DraftKings3.35I 29.85% NM 28.41%EV -7.40% E -2.21% K -3.15% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.30%EV -3.58% E -1.59% K -2.87% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 29.29%EV -4.11% E -1.26% K -1.83% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 05:05
Fliff3.35I 29.85% NM 27.61%EV -7.40% E -2.21% K -3.15% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 43.02%EV -7.87% E -3.66% K -6.84% G +0.000%3.15I 31.75% NM 29.36%EV -7.06% E -2.24% K -3.28% G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-04 06:40
NetBet (FR)3.35I 29.85% NM 27.59%EV -7.40% E -2.21% K -3.15% G +0.000%2.17I 46.08% NM 42.59%EV -7.01% E -3.23% K -5.99% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 29.82%EV -8.53% E -2.75% K -4.06% G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-04 09:00
ReBet3.32I 30.12% NM 28.09%EV -8.23% E -2.48% K -3.55% G +0.000%2.21I 45.25% NM 42.20%EV -5.30% E -2.40% K -4.38% G +0.000%3.14I 31.85% NM 29.70%EV -7.35% E -2.34% K -3.44% G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-04 04:45
Winamax (DE)3.30I 30.30% NM 28.57%EV -8.78% E -2.66% K -3.82% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 42.86%EV -5.73% E -2.60% K -4.77% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 28.57%EV -2.63% E -0.797% K -1.14% G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 06:15
Winamax (FR)3.30I 30.30% NM 28.45%EV -8.78% E -2.66% K -3.82% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 42.67%EV -5.73% E -2.60% K -4.77% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 28.88%EV -4.11% E -1.26% K -1.83% G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-04 06:15
Bet Right3.30I 30.30% NM 28.32%EV -8.78% E -2.66% K -3.82% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 42.48%EV -5.73% E -2.60% K -4.77% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 29.20%EV -5.58% E -1.74% K -2.54% G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 08:20
Ladbrokes (UK)3.30I 30.30% NM 28.32%EV -8.78% E -2.66% K -3.82% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 42.48%EV -5.73% E -2.60% K -4.77% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 29.20%EV -5.58% E -1.74% K -2.54% G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 05:20
BetMGM3.30I 30.30% NM 28.32%EV -8.78% E -2.66% K -3.82% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 42.48%EV -5.73% E -2.60% K -4.77% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 29.20%EV -5.58% E -1.74% K -2.54% G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 05:20
Paddy Power3.30I 30.30% NM 28.29%EV -8.78% E -2.66% K -3.82% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 43.42%EV -7.87% E -3.66% K -6.84% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 28.29%EV -2.63% E -0.797% K -1.14% G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-04 05:20
Sky Bet3.30I 30.30% NM 28.17%EV -8.78% E -2.66% K -3.82% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 43.23%EV -7.87% E -3.66% K -6.84% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 28.60%EV -4.11% E -1.26% K -1.83% G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-04 05:20
PlayUp3.30I 30.30% NM 28.05%EV -8.78% E -2.66% K -3.82% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 42.08%EV -5.73% E -2.60% K -4.77% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 29.86%EV -8.53% E -2.75% K -4.06% G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-04 09:05
TAB3.30I 30.30% NM 28.05%EV -8.78% E -2.66% K -3.82% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 42.08%EV -5.73% E -2.60% K -4.77% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 29.86%EV -8.53% E -2.75% K -4.06% G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-04 09:05
888sport3.30I 30.30% NM 27.51%EV -8.78% E -2.66% K -3.82% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 42.23%EV -7.87% E -3.66% K -6.84% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 30.26%EV -11.48% E -3.83% K -5.74% G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-04 04:40
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30% NM 27.51%EV -8.78% E -2.66% K -3.82% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 42.23%EV -7.87% E -3.66% K -6.84% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 30.26%EV -11.48% E -3.83% K -5.74% G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-04 04:40
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30% NM 27.51%EV -8.78% E -2.66% K -3.82% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 42.23%EV -7.87% E -3.66% K -6.84% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 30.26%EV -11.48% E -3.83% K -5.74% G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-04 04:40
Dabble (AU)3.25I 30.77% NM 28.36%EV -10.16% E -3.13% K -4.52% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 41.90%EV -5.73% E -2.60% K -4.77% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 29.74%EV -8.53% E -2.75% K -4.06% G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-04 09:05
Margin = book's overround · I = implied probability · NM = no-margin (de-vigged) probability · EV = expected value · E = edge · K = Kelly fraction · G = bankroll growth.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerSwitzerland (Local)Colombia (Visit)DrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.65I 27.40%2.32I 43.10%3.30I 30.30%0.8%2026-07-04 09:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.65I 27.40%2.32I 43.10%3.30I 30.30%0.8%2026-07-04 09:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.65I 27.40%2.32I 43.10%3.30I 30.30%0.8%2026-07-04 09:05
Smarkets3.65I 27.40%2.32I 43.10%3.25I 30.77%1.3%2026-07-04 08:35
Matchbook3.65I 27.40%2.32I 43.10%3.25I 30.77%1.3%2026-07-04 09:00
Arbitrage (4 combinations)+0.27%Unibet (SE) 3.70 (27.1%) / GTbets 2.31 (43.4%) / theScore Bet 3.40 (29.5%)Show all 4 combinations
Switzerland (Local)Colombia (Visit)DrawMargin
ATG (SE) 3.70 (27.1%)GTbets 2.31 (43.4%)theScore Bet 3.40 (29.5%)+0.272%
Svenska Spel 3.70 (27.1%)GTbets 2.31 (43.4%)theScore Bet 3.40 (29.5%)+0.272%
Unibet (SE) 3.70 (27.1%)GTbets 2.31 (43.4%)theScore Bet 3.40 (29.5%)+0.272%
Unibet (NL) 3.70 (27.1%)GTbets 2.31 (43.4%)theScore Bet 3.40 (29.5%)+0.272%