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Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks v Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Local)
Prediction 73.61%1.36fair odd
EV -4.31%
Edge -3.32%
Kelly -14.37%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.45%73.62%73.68%75.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.281.291.3081.97%77.97%77.52%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visit)
Prediction 26.39%3.79fair odd
EV +2.15%
Edge +0.554%
Kelly +0.748%
Growth +0.016%
assuming max odds 3.87
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.80%26.38%26.32%29.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.533.503.8732.79%28.29%28.57%25.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Local): 73.61%; Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visit): 26.39%. For Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.79. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.87, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.15%.
Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.00%EV -5.05%E -3.91%K -17.41%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 25.00%EV +2.15%E +0.554%K +0.748%G +0.016% | 3.4% | 2026-10-14 08:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -6.52%E -5.13%K -24.15%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV +1.62%E +0.420%K +0.568%G +0.009% | 4.7% | 2026-10-14 07:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.76%EV -5.05%E -3.91%K -17.41%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.24%EV +0.826%E +0.216%K +0.293%G +0.002% | 3.7% | 2026-10-14 08:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.78%E -4.52%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV +0.298%E +0.078%K +0.106%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-14 08:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.05%E -3.91%K -17.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.02%E -0.272%K -0.372%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-14 07:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.84%EV -4.31%E -3.32%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV -3.13%E -0.854%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-14 07:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.84%EV -4.31%E -3.32%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV -3.13%E -0.854%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-14 07:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.05%E -3.91%K -17.41%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.66%E -1.00%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-14 07:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -7.26%E -5.76%K -27.91%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -3.66%E -1.00%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-14 08:48 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.31%E -3.32%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.98%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-14 04:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.31%E -3.32%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.98%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-14 04:19 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.78%E -4.52%K -20.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -4.98%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-14 08:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.52%E -5.13%K -24.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -4.98%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-14 07:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.57%EV -5.05%E -3.91%K -17.41%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.43%EV -5.24%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-14 08:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -6.52%E -5.13%K -24.15%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -6.30%E -1.77%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-14 08:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.05%E -3.91%K -17.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-13 11:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.05%E -3.91%K -17.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-13 11:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.05%E -3.91%K -17.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-13 11:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.99%E -6.39%K -31.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-14 08:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.99%E -6.39%K -31.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-14 04:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.31%E -3.32%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -8.94%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-13 21:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.31%E -3.32%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -8.94%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-13 21:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.31%E -3.32%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -8.94%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-13 21:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.31%E -3.32%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -8.94%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-13 21:24 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.31%E -3.32%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -8.94%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-13 21:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.31%E -3.32%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -8.94%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-13 21:29 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.05%E -3.91%K -17.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -10.26%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-13 11:53 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -6.52%E -5.13%K -24.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -10.26%E -3.02%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-14 08:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 71.92%EV -9.46%E -7.70%K -41.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.08%EV -16.86%E -5.35%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-10-14 08:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -4.31%E -3.32%K -14.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -18.18%E -5.86%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-14 08:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 71.43%EV -10.20%E -8.36%K -46.37%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.57%EV -19.50%E -6.39%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-10-14 08:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.