The School of Odds

Omaha Storm Chasers v Indianapolis Indians

2026-07-04 22:05 — MiLB

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (2 in analysis)

Option 1: Omaha Storm Chasers (Local)

1.8354.64%Min
1.8454.45%Mean
1.8354.64%Median
1.8554.05%Max
50.81%1.968Min
51.07%1.958Max
51.06%1.958Mean
51.06%1.958Median
51.06%1.958IQM
51.06%1.958Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.85 under the IQM model: 51.06%

EV -5.53%Edge -2.99%Kelly -6.51%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Indianapolis Indians (Visit)

1.8952.91%Min
1.9152.36%Mean
1.9152.36%Median
1.9351.81%Max
48.93%2.044Min
49.19%2.033Max
48.94%2.043Mean
48.94%2.043Median
48.94%2.043IQM
48.94%2.043Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.93 under the IQM model: 48.94%

EV -5.55%Edge -2.88%Kelly -5.97%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

BookmakerOmaha Storm Chasers (Local) ▼Indianapolis Indians (Visit)MarginUpdated
FanDuel1.85I 54.05% NM 51.06%EV -5.53% E -2.99% K -6.51% G +0.000%1.93I 51.81% NM 48.94%EV -5.55% E -2.88% K -5.97% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 12:25
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64% NM 51.07%EV -6.55% E -3.58% K -7.90% G +0.000%1.91I 52.36% NM 48.93%EV -6.53% E -3.42% K -7.18% G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 12:25
1xBet1.83I 54.64% NM 50.81%EV -6.55% E -3.58% K -7.90% G +0.000%1.89I 52.91% NM 49.19%EV -7.51% E -3.97% K -8.44% G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-04 12:39
Margin = book's overround · I = implied probability · NM = no-margin (de-vigged) probability · EV = expected value · E = edge · K = Kelly fraction · G = bankroll growth.