The School of Odds

Arizona Diamondbacks v Milwaukee Brewers

2026-07-05 01:41 — MLB

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (11 in analysis)

Option 1: Arizona Diamondbacks (Local)

2.0548.78%Min
2.2245.02%Mean
2.2344.84%Median
2.3342.92%Max
41.77%2.394Min
43.86%2.280Max
42.77%2.338Mean
42.82%2.335Median
42.75%2.339IQM
42.66%2.344Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.33 under the IQM model: 42.75%

EV -0.392%Edge -0.168%Kelly -0.295%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Milwaukee Brewers (Visit)

1.6062.50%Min
1.6660.11%Mean
1.6759.88%Median
1.7258.14%Max
56.14%1.781Min
58.23%1.717Max
57.23%1.747Mean
57.18%1.749Median
57.25%1.747IQM
57.34%1.744Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.72 under the IQM model: 57.25%

EV -1.53%Edge -0.890%Kelly -2.13%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)

BookmakerArizona Diamondbacks (Local) ▼Milwaukee Brewers (Visit)MarginUpdated
GTbets2.33I 42.92% NM 42.04%EV -0.392% E -0.168% K -0.295% G +0.000%1.69I 59.17% NM 57.96%EV -3.25% E -1.92% K -4.71% G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-03 18:20
LowVig.ag2.31I 43.29% NM 42.25%EV -1.25% E -0.540% K -0.952% G +0.000%1.69I 59.17% NM 57.75%EV -3.25% E -1.92% K -4.71% G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-03 18:00
BetOnline.ag2.31I 43.29% NM 42.25%EV -1.25% E -0.540% K -0.952% G +0.000%1.69I 59.17% NM 57.75%EV -3.25% E -1.92% K -4.71% G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-03 18:00
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48% NM 42.07%EV -1.67% E -0.728% K -1.29% G +0.000%1.67I 59.88% NM 57.93%EV -4.39% E -2.63% K -6.56% G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-03 19:10
Caesars2.30I 43.48% NM 41.77%EV -1.67% E -0.728% K -1.29% G +0.000%1.65I 60.61% NM 58.23%EV -5.54% E -3.36% K -8.52% G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-03 18:55
1xBet2.27I 44.05% NM 43.11%EV -2.96% E -1.30% K -2.33% G +0.000%1.72I 58.14% NM 56.89%EV -1.53% E -0.890% K -2.13% G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-03 18:00
Fliff2.25I 44.44% NM 42.31%EV -3.81% E -1.69% K -3.05% G +0.000%1.65I 60.61% NM 57.69%EV -5.54% E -3.36% K -8.52% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-03 17:34
888sport2.25I 44.44% NM 42.31%EV -3.81% E -1.69% K -3.05% G +0.000%1.65I 60.61% NM 57.69%EV -5.54% E -3.36% K -8.52% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-03 19:10
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44% NM 42.31%EV -3.81% E -1.69% K -3.05% G +0.000%1.65I 60.61% NM 57.69%EV -5.54% E -3.36% K -8.52% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-03 19:10
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44% NM 42.31%EV -3.81% E -1.69% K -3.05% G +0.000%1.65I 60.61% NM 57.69%EV -5.54% E -3.36% K -8.52% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-03 19:10
Bet Right2.24I 44.64% NM 42.56%EV -4.24% E -1.89% K -3.42% G +0.000%1.66I 60.24% NM 57.44%EV -4.97% E -2.99% K -7.52% G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-03 19:10
DraftKings2.23I 44.84% NM 42.82%EV -4.67% E -2.09% K -3.79% G +0.000%1.67I 59.88% NM 57.18%EV -4.39% E -2.63% K -6.56% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-03 19:25
Coolbet2.23I 44.84% NM 42.67%EV -4.67% E -2.09% K -3.79% G +0.000%1.66I 60.24% NM 57.33%EV -4.97% E -2.99% K -7.52% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-03 19:10
Unibet (UK)2.22I 45.05% NM 42.93%EV -5.09% E -2.29% K -4.18% G +0.000%1.67I 59.88% NM 57.07%EV -4.39% E -2.63% K -6.56% G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-03 19:25
FanDuel2.20I 45.45% NM 43.59%EV -5.95% E -2.70% K -4.96% G +0.000%1.70I 58.82% NM 56.41%EV -2.68% E -1.57% K -3.82% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-03 17:35
PlayUp2.20I 45.45% NM 43.30%EV -5.95% E -2.70% K -4.96% G +0.000%1.68I 59.52% NM 56.70%EV -3.82% E -2.27% K -5.62% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-03 19:10
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45% NM 43.15%EV -5.95% E -2.70% K -4.96% G +0.000%1.67I 59.88% NM 56.85%EV -4.39% E -2.63% K -6.56% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-03 19:23
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45% NM 43.15%EV -5.95% E -2.70% K -4.96% G +0.000%1.67I 59.88% NM 56.85%EV -4.39% E -2.63% K -6.56% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-03 17:44
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45% NM 43.01%EV -5.95% E -2.70% K -4.96% G +0.000%1.66I 60.24% NM 56.99%EV -4.97% E -2.99% K -7.52% G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-03 19:25
Betclic (FR)2.19I 45.66% NM 43.12%EV -6.38% E -2.91% K -5.36% G +0.000%1.66I 60.24% NM 56.88%EV -4.97% E -2.99% K -7.52% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-03 19:24
SportsBet2.15I 46.51% NM 43.86%EV -8.09% E -3.76% K -7.03% G +0.000%1.68I 59.52% NM 56.14%EV -3.82% E -2.27% K -5.62% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-03 17:35
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51% NM 43.72%EV -8.09% E -3.76% K -7.03% G +0.000%1.67I 59.88% NM 56.28%EV -4.39% E -2.63% K -6.56% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-03 17:35
ReBet2.15I 46.51% NM 42.97%EV -8.09% E -3.76% K -7.03% G +0.000%1.62I 61.73% NM 57.03%EV -7.26% E -4.48% K -11.70% G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-03 19:53
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62% NM 43.40%EV -10.22% E -4.87% K -9.30% G +0.000%1.61I 62.11% NM 56.60%EV -7.83% E -4.86% K -12.83% G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-03 19:24
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78% NM 43.84%EV -12.36% E -6.03% K -11.77% G +0.000%1.60I 62.50% NM 56.16%EV -8.40% E -5.25% K -14.00% G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-03 19:25
Margin = book's overround · I = implied probability · NM = no-margin (de-vigged) probability · EV = expected value · E = edge · K = Kelly fraction · G = bankroll growth.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerArizona Diamondbacks (Local)Milwaukee Brewers (Visit)Margin ▲Updated
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%1.72I 58.14%1.1%2026-07-03 19:35
Polymarket2.27I 44.05%1.72I 58.14%2.2%2026-07-03 19:55
Novig2.11I 47.39%1.69I 59.17%6.6%2026-07-03 19:53
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%1.61I 62.11%10.2%2026-07-03 19:25