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Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC v Shanghai SIPG FC
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Хозяева)
Прогноз 30.72%3.26справедливый коэффициент
EV +2.30%
Преимущество +0.691%
Kelly +0.987%
Рост +0.023%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.33
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
28.13%30.77%30.70%33.45%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.623.003.003.3338.17%33.35%33.33%30.03%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Shanghai SIPG FC (Гости)
Прогноз 43.16%2.32справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.739%
Преимущество -0.321%
Kelly -0.569%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.30
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
39.14%43.01%43.27%45.90%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.932.152.152.3051.81%46.50%46.51%43.48%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 26.12%3.83справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.78%
Преимущество -0.473%
Kelly -0.645%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.76
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
25.29%26.23%26.03%28.18%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.103.453.453.7632.26%28.98%28.99%26.60%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Хозяева): 30.72%; Shanghai SIPG FC (Гости): 43.16%; Ничья: 26.12%. Для исхода «Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Хозяева)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.26. 1 букмекер предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 3.33, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +2.30%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (48 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.13%EV +2.30%E +0.691%K +0.987%G +0.023% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.48%EV -11.10%E -5.39%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -7.27%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-24 07:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.66%EV -1.69%E -0.529%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.34%EV -7.64%E -3.57%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.00%EV -4.65%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-24 07:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.55%EV -1.69%E -0.529%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.19%EV -7.64%E -3.57%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -5.96%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-24 07:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -1.69%E -0.529%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.57%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-24 07:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -1.69%E -0.529%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -8.51%E -4.01%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -8.57%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-24 07:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -1.69%E -0.529%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.90%EV -14.98%E -7.60%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.84%EV -8.57%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-24 07:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.82%EV -2.00%E -0.627%K -0.913%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.88%EV -8.51%E -4.01%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.30%EV -1.78%E -0.473%K -0.645%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-24 07:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.13%EV -2.92%E -0.925%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.28%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.59%EV -2.83%E -0.759%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-24 07:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.57%EV -4.15%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.16%EV -4.62%E -2.09%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.27%EV -5.18%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-24 07:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.59%EV -4.77%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.11%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -2.04%E -0.544%K -0.742%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-24 07:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -4.77%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.81%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.65%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-24 07:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -4.77%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -11.53%E -5.62%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-24 07:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -4.77%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -11.53%E -5.62%K -10.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-24 07:25 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -2.90%E -1.29%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.96%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-24 07:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -5.06%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -7.27%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-24 07:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.97%EV -1.60%E -0.703%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -12.49%E -3.73%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-24 07:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.97%EV -1.60%E -0.703%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -12.49%E -3.73%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-24 07:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.97%EV -1.60%E -0.703%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -12.49%E -3.73%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-24 07:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.97%EV -1.60%E -0.703%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -12.49%E -3.73%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-24 07:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.97%EV -1.60%E -0.703%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -12.49%E -3.73%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-24 07:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.97%EV -1.60%E -0.703%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -12.49%E -3.73%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-24 07:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -5.06%E -2.30%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -8.57%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-24 07:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.96%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-24 07:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -9.37%E -4.46%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -5.96%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-24 07:14 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -9.37%E -4.46%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -7.27%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-24 07:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -9.37%E -4.46%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.57%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-24 07:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -9.37%E -4.46%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.57%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-24 07:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -9.37%E -4.46%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.57%E -2.45%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-24 07:23 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -9.37%E -4.46%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-24 07:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -9.37%E -4.46%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-24 07:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -9.37%E -4.46%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-24 07:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -9.37%E -4.46%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-24 07:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.38%EV -10.23%E -4.92%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.54%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-24 07:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.11%EV -9.07%E -3.06%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.43%EV -6.35%E -2.93%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.46%EV -9.09%E -2.61%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-24 07:14 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -9.37%E -3.18%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.18%EV -5.92%E -2.71%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -9.88%E -2.86%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-24 07:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.05%EV -9.37%E -3.18%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.01%EV -5.92%E -2.71%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-24 07:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.05%EV -9.37%E -3.18%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.01%EV -5.92%E -2.71%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-24 07:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.54%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.95%EV -5.92%E -2.71%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.51%EV -9.88%E -2.86%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-24 07:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -11.52%E -4.00%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -13.80%E -4.18%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-24 07:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -11.52%E -4.00%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -13.80%E -4.18%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-24 07:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.97%EV -12.45%E -4.37%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.37%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -7.27%E -2.05%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-24 07:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.13%EV -12.45%E -4.37%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.70%EV -5.92%E -2.71%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.17%EV -17.71%E -5.62%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-10-24 07:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.80%EV -13.98%E -4.99%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.40%EV -9.37%E -4.46%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.81%EV -9.88%E -2.86%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-24 07:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.20%EV -13.98%E -4.99%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.63%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.18%EV -19.02%E -6.14%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-10-24 07:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.20%EV -13.98%E -4.99%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.63%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.18%EV -19.02%E -6.14%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-10-24 07:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.31%EV -13.98%E -4.99%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 43.97%EV -16.71%E -8.66%K -17.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.72%EV -13.80%E -4.18%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-10-24 07:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -15.52%E -5.64%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -0.739%E -0.321%K -0.569%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -16.41%E -5.13%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-24 07:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.45%EV -19.51%E -7.45%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.77%EV -7.21%E -3.35%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -11.18%E -3.29%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-10-24 07:14 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (5)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.32% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48% | 0.7% | 2026-10-24 07:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.32% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48% | 0.7% | 2026-10-24 07:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.32% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48% | 0.7% | 2026-10-24 07:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.32% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48% | 0.7% | 2026-10-24 07:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.41% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47% | 2.1% | 2026-10-24 07:25 |