The School of OddsMinnesota Lynx v Connecticut Sun
Head to Head
Option 1: Minnesota Lynx (Local)
Odds
1.0496.15%Min
1.0694.58%Mean
1.0694.34%Median
1.0793.46%Max
Consensus probabilities
86.85%1.151Min
92.15%1.085Max
89.77%1.114Mean
89.71%1.115Median
89.71%1.115IQM
89.81%1.113Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 1.07 under the IQM model: 89.71%
EV -4.01%Edge -3.74%Kelly -57.24%Growth +0.000%
Option 2: Connecticut Sun (Visit)
Odds
7.0014.29%Min
9.2610.80%Mean
9.2510.81%Median
12.208.20%Max
Consensus probabilities
7.85%12.731Min
13.15%7.604Max
10.23%9.771Mean
10.29%9.723Median
10.29%9.721IQM
10.19%9.817Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 12.20 under the IQM model: 10.29%
EV +25.50%Edge +2.09%Kelly +2.28%Growth +0.580%
Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Minnesota Lynx (Local) | Connecticut Sun (Visit) ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.04I 96.15% NM 92.15%EV -6.70% E -6.44% K -167.45% G +0.000% | 12.20I 8.20% NM 7.85%EV +25.50% E +2.09% K +2.28% G +0.580% | 4.4% | 2026-07-04 20:25 |
| theScore Bet | 1.04I 96.15% NM 91.36%EV -6.70% E -6.44% K -167.45% G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09% NM 8.64%EV +13.15% E +1.20% K +1.32% G +0.173% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 20:10 |
| FanDuel | 1.06I 94.34% NM 90.24%EV -4.90% E -4.63% K -81.73% G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20% NM 9.76%EV +0.809% E +0.083% K +0.092% G +0.001% | 4.5% | 2026-07-04 20:05 |
| Fanatics | 1.07I 93.46% NM 89.88%EV -4.01% E -3.74% K -57.24% G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53% NM 10.12%EV -2.28% E -0.240% K -0.268% G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-04 20:05 |
| DraftKings | 1.07I 93.46% NM 89.88%EV -4.01% E -3.74% K -57.24% G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53% NM 10.12%EV -2.28% E -0.240% K -0.268% G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-04 22:00 |
| GTbets | 1.07I 93.46% NM 89.88%EV -4.01% E -3.74% K -57.24% G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53% NM 10.12%EV -2.28% E -0.240% K -0.268% G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-05 01:35 |
| Bet Right | 1.06I 94.34% NM 89.96%EV -4.90% E -4.63% K -81.73% G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53% NM 10.04%EV -2.28% E -0.240% K -0.268% G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 01:35 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.06I 94.34% NM 89.96%EV -4.90% E -4.63% K -81.73% G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53% NM 10.04%EV -2.28% E -0.240% K -0.268% G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 01:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.06I 94.34% NM 89.96%EV -4.90% E -4.63% K -81.73% G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53% NM 10.04%EV -2.28% E -0.240% K -0.268% G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 00:05 |
| SportsBet | 1.05I 95.24% NM 90.05%EV -5.80% E -5.52% K -116.02% G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53% NM 9.95%EV -2.28% E -0.240% K -0.268% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 20:05 |
| Coolbet | 1.05I 95.24% NM 90.05%EV -5.80% E -5.52% K -116.02% G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53% NM 9.95%EV -2.28% E -0.240% K -0.268% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 22:30 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.06I 94.34% NM 89.67%EV -4.90% E -4.63% K -81.73% G +0.000% | 9.20I 10.87% NM 10.33%EV -5.36% E -0.583% K -0.654% G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-05 00:05 |
| Caesars | 1.07I 93.46% NM 89.37%EV -4.01% E -3.74% K -57.24% G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11% NM 10.63%EV -7.42% E -0.824% K -0.928% G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-05 01:32 |
| 888sport | 1.06I 94.34% NM 89.46%EV -4.90% E -4.63% K -81.73% G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11% NM 10.54%EV -7.42% E -0.824% K -0.928% G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-04 22:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.06I 94.34% NM 89.46%EV -4.90% E -4.63% K -81.73% G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11% NM 10.54%EV -7.42% E -0.824% K -0.928% G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-04 22:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.06I 94.34% NM 89.46%EV -4.90% E -4.63% K -81.73% G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11% NM 10.54%EV -7.42% E -0.824% K -0.928% G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-04 22:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.06I 94.34% NM 89.46%EV -4.90% E -4.63% K -81.73% G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11% NM 10.54%EV -7.42% E -0.824% K -0.928% G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-04 22:00 |
| Betsson | 1.05I 95.24% NM 89.55%EV -5.80% E -5.52% K -116.02% G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11% NM 10.45%EV -7.42% E -0.824% K -0.928% G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 20:09 |
| NordicBet | 1.05I 95.24% NM 89.55%EV -5.80% E -5.52% K -116.02% G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11% NM 10.45%EV -7.42% E -0.824% K -0.928% G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 20:09 |
| Paddy Power | 1.05I 95.24% NM 89.01%EV -5.80% E -5.52% K -116.02% G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76% NM 10.99%EV -12.56% E -1.48% K -1.68% G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-04 20:05 |
| ReBet | 1.06I 94.34% NM 88.55%EV -4.90% E -4.63% K -81.73% G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20% NM 11.45%EV -15.65% E -1.91% K -2.17% G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-04 22:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.05I 95.24% NM 88.40%EV -5.80% E -5.52% K -116.02% G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50% NM 11.60%EV -17.71% E -2.21% K -2.53% G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-05 00:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.06I 94.34% NM 86.85%EV -4.90% E -4.63% K -81.73% G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29% NM 13.15%EV -27.99% E -4.00% K -4.67% G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-05 00:10 |
Margin = book's overround · I = implied probability · NM = no-margin (de-vigged) probability · EV = expected value · E = edge · K = Kelly fraction · G = bankroll growth.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Minnesota Lynx (Local) | Connecticut Sun (Visit) | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 1.10I 90.91% | 9.09I 11.00% | 1.9% | 2026-07-05 02:20 |
| Polymarket | 1.08I 92.59% | 10.00I 10.00% | 2.6% | 2026-07-05 02:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.01I 99.01% | 1.01I 99.01% | 98.0% | 2026-07-04 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.01I 99.01% | 1.01I 99.01% | 98.0% | 2026-07-04 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.01I 99.01% | 1.01I 99.01% | 98.0% | 2026-07-04 22:45 |