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Växjö Lakers v Skellefteå AIK

Kickoff: 2026-10-15 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Växjö Lakers (Local)

Prediction 44.16%2.26fair odd
EV -2.41%
Edge -1.09%
Kelly -1.99%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.19%44.61%44.16%48.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.052.002.2152.36%48.82%50.00%45.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Skellefteå AIK (Visit)

Prediction 55.84%1.79fair odd
EV +2.19%
Edge +1.20%
Kelly +2.64%
Growth +0.058%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.07%55.39%55.84%56.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.761.801.8359.88%56.74%55.56%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Växjö Lakers (Local): 44.16%; Skellefteå AIK (Visit): 55.84%. For Skellefteå AIK (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.79. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.83, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.19%.

17 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Neds🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -15.66%E -8.20%K -17.21%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV +2.19%E +1.20%K +2.64%G +0.058%7.0%2026-10-12 16:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -15.66%E -8.20%K -17.21%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV +2.19%E +1.20%K +2.64%G +0.058%7.0%2026-10-12 16:59
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -15.66%E -8.20%K -17.21%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV +2.19%E +1.20%K +2.64%G +0.058%7.0%2026-10-12 17:03
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -15.66%E -8.20%K -17.21%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV +2.19%E +1.20%K +2.64%G +0.058%7.0%2026-10-12 17:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -11.68%E -5.84%K -11.68%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV +0.515%E +0.286%K +0.643%G +0.003%5.6%2026-10-13 07:49
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -11.68%E -5.84%K -11.68%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV +0.515%E +0.286%K +0.643%G +0.003%5.6%2026-10-13 07:49
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -11.68%E -5.84%K -11.68%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV +0.515%E +0.286%K +0.643%G +0.003%5.6%2026-10-13 07:49
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.06%E -2.35%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.84%E -1.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-15 15:50
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.85%E -1.30%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.07%E -2.98%K -7.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-15 16:55
NordicBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.73%E -1.71%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.07%E -2.98%K -7.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-15 16:55
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.06%E -2.35%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.07%E -2.98%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-15 16:55
Pinnacle🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -2.41%E -1.09%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -6.19%E -3.68%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-15 15:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.27%E -3.46%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.74%E -4.04%K -10.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-15 15:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%1.6%2026-10-15 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%1.6%2026-10-15 16:50
Kalshi◎2.33I 42.92%NM 41.75%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.25%2.8%2026-10-15 16:55
Smarkets◎2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%5.4%2026-10-15 16:55

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (17)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
ATG (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 32.02%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.00%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.98%2.4%2026-10-15 15:50
Unibet (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.82%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.35%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.83%3.0%2026-10-15 15:49
Svenska Spel🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.82%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.35%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.83%3.0%2026-10-15 15:50
Coolbet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.62%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.36%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.03%4.4%2026-10-15 15:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%4.8%2026-10-15 15:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.70%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.28%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%6.0%2026-10-15 15:50
1xBet🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 32.93%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.64%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%6.2%2026-10-15 16:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.80%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.32%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%6.6%2026-10-15 15:50
Grosvenor🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.80%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.32%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%6.6%2026-10-15 15:50
Casumo🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.80%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.32%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%6.6%2026-10-15 15:50
Unibet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.80%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.32%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%6.6%2026-10-15 15:50
Marathon Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.66%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.07%6.6%2026-10-15 16:55
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.55%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%6.8%2026-10-15 15:50
TABtouch🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.42%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.71%10.1%2026-10-15 15:49
Winamax (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.84%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.42%11.5%2026-10-15 15:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 33.94%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.28%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.78%15.5%2026-10-15 15:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 33.56%1.99I 50.25%NM 43.00%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.44%16.9%2026-10-15 16:50