Seattle Mariners v Toronto Blue Jays

2026-07-04 20:11 — MLB

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (13 in analysis)

Option 1: Seattle Mariners (Local)

Odds

1.5464.94%Min

1.6261.75%Mean

1.6261.73%Median

1.6759.88%Max

Consensus probabilities

57.69%1.733Min

59.34%1.685Max

58.83%1.700Mean

58.97%1.696Median

58.92%1.697IQM

58.79%1.701Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.67 under the IQM model: 58.92%

EV -1.60%Edge -0.960%Kelly -2.39%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Toronto Blue Jays (Visit)

Odds

2.2045.45%Min

2.3143.35%Mean

2.3043.48%Median

2.3842.02%Max

Consensus probabilities

40.66%2.460Min

42.31%2.364Max

41.17%2.429Mean

41.03%2.437Median

41.08%2.434IQM

41.21%2.426Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.38 under the IQM model: 41.08%

EV -2.23%Edge -0.937%Kelly -1.62%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Seattle Mariners (Local) ▼	Toronto Blue Jays (Visit)	Margin	Updated
1xBet	1.67I 59.88% NM 58.77%EV -1.60% E -0.960% K -2.39% G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02% NM 41.23%EV -2.23% E -0.937% K -1.62% G +0.000%	1.9%	2026-07-03 18:00
GTbets	1.67I 59.88% NM 58.66%EV -1.60% E -0.960% K -2.39% G +0.000%	2.37I 42.19% NM 41.34%EV -2.64% E -1.11% K -1.93% G +0.000%	2.1%	2026-07-03 18:20
LowVig.ag	1.67I 59.88% NM 58.56%EV -1.60% E -0.960% K -2.39% G +0.000%	2.36I 42.37% NM 41.44%EV -3.05% E -1.29% K -2.24% G +0.000%	2.3%	2026-07-03 18:00
BetOnline.ag	1.67I 59.88% NM 58.56%EV -1.60% E -0.960% K -2.39% G +0.000%	2.36I 42.37% NM 41.44%EV -3.05% E -1.29% K -2.24% G +0.000%	2.3%	2026-07-03 18:04
PointsBet (AU)	1.67I 59.88% NM 57.93%EV -1.60% E -0.960% K -2.39% G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48% NM 42.07%EV -5.52% E -2.40% K -4.24% G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-07-03 19:15
Fanatics	1.65I 60.61% NM 58.23%EV -2.78% E -1.69% K -4.28% G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48% NM 41.77%EV -5.52% E -2.40% K -4.24% G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-07-03 17:30
Fliff	1.65I 60.61% NM 57.69%EV -2.78% E -1.69% K -4.28% G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44% NM 42.31%EV -7.57% E -3.36% K -6.06% G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-03 17:30
PlayUp	1.63I 61.35% NM 58.52%EV -3.96% E -2.43% K -6.29% G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48% NM 41.48%EV -5.52% E -2.40% K -4.24% G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-07-03 17:39
NordicBet	1.63I 61.35% NM 58.21%EV -3.96% E -2.43% K -6.29% G +0.000%	2.27I 44.05% NM 41.79%EV -6.75% E -2.97% K -5.31% G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-03 19:10
Betsson	1.63I 61.35% NM 58.21%EV -3.96% E -2.43% K -6.29% G +0.000%	2.27I 44.05% NM 41.79%EV -6.75% E -2.97% K -5.31% G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-03 19:10
FanDuel	1.62I 61.73% NM 59.30%EV -4.55% E -2.81% K -7.34% G +0.000%	2.36I 42.37% NM 40.70%EV -3.05% E -1.29% K -2.24% G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-07-03 17:25
Caesars	1.62I 61.73% NM 59.19%EV -4.55% E -2.81% K -7.34% G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55% NM 40.81%EV -3.46% E -1.47% K -2.57% G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-03 19:29
888sport	1.62I 61.73% NM 58.67%EV -4.55% E -2.81% K -7.34% G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48% NM 41.33%EV -5.52% E -2.40% K -4.24% G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-03 17:35
Betr (AU)	1.62I 61.73% NM 58.67%EV -4.55% E -2.81% K -7.34% G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48% NM 41.33%EV -5.52% E -2.40% K -4.24% G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-03 17:35
William Hill	1.62I 61.73% NM 58.67%EV -4.55% E -2.81% K -7.34% G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48% NM 41.33%EV -5.52% E -2.40% K -4.24% G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-03 17:35
Mr Green (SE)	1.62I 61.73% NM 58.67%EV -4.55% E -2.81% K -7.34% G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48% NM 41.33%EV -5.52% E -2.40% K -4.24% G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-03 17:35
888sport (SE)	1.62I 61.73% NM 58.67%EV -4.55% E -2.81% K -7.34% G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48% NM 41.33%EV -5.52% E -2.40% K -4.24% G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-03 17:35
DraftKings	1.61I 62.11% NM 59.34%EV -5.14% E -3.19% K -8.42% G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55% NM 40.66%EV -3.46% E -1.47% K -2.57% G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-07-03 19:25
Bet Right	1.61I 62.11% NM 59.24%EV -5.14% E -3.19% K -8.42% G +0.000%	2.34I 42.74% NM 40.76%EV -3.87% E -1.66% K -2.89% G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-07-03 19:30
Coolbet	1.61I 62.11% NM 59.14%EV -5.14% E -3.19% K -8.42% G +0.000%	2.33I 42.92% NM 40.86%EV -4.28% E -1.84% K -3.22% G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-03 19:30
Unibet (UK)	1.60I 62.50% NM 59.29%EV -5.73% E -3.58% K -9.55% G +0.000%	2.33I 42.92% NM 40.71%EV -4.28% E -1.84% K -3.22% G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-03 19:25
Betclic (FR)	1.60I 62.50% NM 59.08%EV -5.73% E -3.58% K -9.55% G +0.000%	2.31I 43.29% NM 40.92%EV -5.11% E -2.21% K -3.90% G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-07-03 19:29
Paddy Power	1.60I 62.50% NM 58.97%EV -5.73% E -3.58% K -9.55% G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48% NM 41.03%EV -5.52% E -2.40% K -4.24% G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-07-03 17:30
Bet Victor	1.60I 62.50% NM 58.97%EV -5.73% E -3.58% K -9.55% G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48% NM 41.03%EV -5.52% E -2.40% K -4.24% G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-07-03 19:30
Winamax (DE)	1.60I 62.50% NM 58.97%EV -5.73% E -3.58% K -9.55% G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48% NM 41.03%EV -5.52% E -2.40% K -4.24% G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-07-03 19:25
SportsBet	1.59I 62.89% NM 59.23%EV -6.32% E -3.97% K -10.71% G +0.000%	2.31I 43.29% NM 40.77%EV -5.11% E -2.21% K -3.90% G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-07-03 17:30
ReBet	1.57I 63.69% NM 58.90%EV -7.50% E -4.77% K -13.15% G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44% NM 41.10%EV -7.57% E -3.36% K -6.06% G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-07-03 19:29
Unibet (FR)	1.55I 64.52% NM 58.67%EV -8.67% E -5.60% K -15.77% G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45% NM 41.33%EV -9.62% E -4.37% K -8.02% G +0.000%	10.0%	2026-07-03 19:30
Winamax (FR)	1.54I 64.94% NM 58.82%EV -9.26% E -6.01% K -17.15% G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45% NM 41.18%EV -9.62% E -4.37% K -8.02% G +0.000%	10.4%	2026-07-03 19:25

Margin = book's overround · I = implied probability · NM = no-margin (de-vigged) probability · EV = expected value · E = edge · K = Kelly fraction · G = bankroll growth.

Exchanges (4)

Bookmaker	Seattle Mariners (Local)	Toronto Blue Jays (Visit)	Margin ▲	Updated
Polymarket	1.69I 59.17%	2.38I 42.02%	1.2%	2026-07-03 19:35
Kalshi	1.69I 59.17%	2.38I 42.02%	1.2%	2026-07-03 17:25
Novig	1.54I 64.94%	2.35I 42.55%	7.5%	2026-07-03 19:50
Smarkets	1.55I 64.52%	2.20I 45.45%	10.0%	2026-07-03 19:30