The School of Odds

Los Angeles Dodgers v San Diego Padres

2026-07-05 02:11 — MLB

Head to Head

24 sportsbooks (11 in analysis)

Option 1: Los Angeles Dodgers (Local)

1.3375.19%Min
1.3673.33%Mean
1.3673.53%Median
1.4071.43%Max
67.80%1.475Min
70.58%1.417Max
69.58%1.437Mean
70.04%1.428Median
69.70%1.435IQM
69.74%1.434Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.40 under the IQM model: 69.70%

EV -2.42%Edge -1.73%Kelly -6.06%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: San Diego Padres (Visit)

2.8035.71%Min
3.1232.02%Mean
3.1531.75%Median
3.3130.21%Max
29.42%3.399Min
32.20%3.105Max
30.42%3.287Mean
29.96%3.338Median
30.30%3.300IQM
30.26%3.304Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.31 under the IQM model: 30.30%

EV +0.301%Edge +0.091%Kelly +0.130%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLos Angeles Dodgers (Local)San Diego Padres (Visit) ▼MarginUpdated
LowVig.ag1.38I 72.46% NM 70.58%EV -3.82% E -2.77% K -10.05% G +0.000%3.31I 30.21% NM 29.42%EV +0.301% E +0.091% K +0.130% G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-03 18:45
BetOnline.ag1.38I 72.46% NM 70.58%EV -3.82% E -2.77% K -10.05% G +0.000%3.31I 30.21% NM 29.42%EV +0.301% E +0.091% K +0.130% G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-03 18:45
1xBet1.40I 71.43% NM 69.96%EV -2.42% E -1.73% K -6.06% G +0.000%3.26I 30.67% NM 30.04%EV -1.21% E -0.373% K -0.537% G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-03 19:15
DraftKings1.36I 73.53% NM 70.43%EV -5.21% E -3.83% K -14.48% G +0.000%3.24I 30.86% NM 29.57%EV -1.82% E -0.562% K -0.813% G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-03 19:10
Caesars1.36I 73.53% NM 70.31%EV -5.21% E -3.83% K -14.48% G +0.000%3.22I 31.06% NM 29.69%EV -2.43% E -0.754% K -1.09% G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-03 18:55
GTbets1.38I 72.46% NM 69.87%EV -3.82% E -2.77% K -10.05% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 30.13%EV -3.03% E -0.948% K -1.38% G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-03 18:45
Fliff1.36I 73.53% NM 70.18%EV -5.21% E -3.83% K -14.48% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 29.82%EV -3.03% E -0.948% K -1.38% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-03 17:50
PointsBet (AU)1.36I 73.53% NM 70.18%EV -5.21% E -3.83% K -14.48% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 29.82%EV -3.03% E -0.948% K -1.38% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-03 19:05
Coolbet1.36I 73.53% NM 70.04%EV -5.21% E -3.83% K -14.48% G +0.000%3.18I 31.45% NM 29.96%EV -3.64% E -1.14% K -1.67% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-03 19:10
Bet Right1.37I 72.99% NM 69.69%EV -4.51% E -3.30% K -12.20% G +0.000%3.15I 31.75% NM 30.31%EV -4.55% E -1.44% K -2.12% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-03 18:55
Betr (AU)1.36I 73.53% NM 69.84%EV -5.21% E -3.83% K -14.48% G +0.000%3.15I 31.75% NM 30.16%EV -4.55% E -1.44% K -2.12% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-03 19:10
888sport1.33I 75.19% NM 70.31%EV -7.30% E -5.49% K -22.13% G +0.000%3.15I 31.75% NM 29.69%EV -4.55% E -1.44% K -2.12% G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-03 19:10
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19% NM 70.31%EV -7.30% E -5.49% K -22.13% G +0.000%3.15I 31.75% NM 29.69%EV -4.55% E -1.44% K -2.12% G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-03 19:10
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19% NM 70.31%EV -7.30% E -5.49% K -22.13% G +0.000%3.15I 31.75% NM 29.69%EV -4.55% E -1.44% K -2.12% G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-03 19:10
FanDuel1.39I 71.94% NM 69.04%EV -3.12% E -2.24% K -8.00% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 30.96%EV -6.06% E -1.96% K -2.89% G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-03 17:35
Unibet (UK)1.38I 72.46% NM 69.20%EV -3.82% E -2.77% K -10.05% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 30.80%EV -6.06% E -1.96% K -2.89% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-03 19:10
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53% NM 69.51%EV -5.21% E -3.83% K -14.48% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 30.49%EV -6.06% E -1.96% K -2.89% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-03 17:35
SportsBet1.36I 73.53% NM 69.37%EV -5.21% E -3.83% K -14.48% G +0.000%3.08I 32.47% NM 30.63%EV -6.67% E -2.17% K -3.21% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-03 17:35
Winamax (DE)1.38I 72.46% NM 68.85%EV -3.82% E -2.77% K -10.05% G +0.000%3.05I 32.79% NM 31.15%EV -7.58% E -2.48% K -3.70% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-03 19:10
PlayUp1.40I 71.43% NM 68.18%EV -2.42% E -1.73% K -6.06% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 31.82%EV -9.09% E -3.03% K -4.55% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-03 18:55
Betclic (FR)1.37I 72.99% NM 68.65%EV -4.51% E -3.30% K -12.20% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 31.35%EV -9.09% E -3.03% K -4.55% G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-03 19:10
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53% NM 68.81%EV -5.21% E -3.83% K -14.48% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 31.19%EV -9.09% E -3.03% K -4.55% G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-03 19:09
Unibet (FR)1.34I 74.63% NM 68.02%EV -6.61% E -4.93% K -19.43% G +0.000%2.85I 35.09% NM 31.98%EV -13.64% E -4.79% K -7.37% G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-03 19:10
Winamax (FR)1.33I 75.19% NM 67.80%EV -7.30% E -5.49% K -22.13% G +0.000%2.80I 35.71% NM 32.20%EV -15.15% E -5.41% K -8.42% G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-03 19:10
Margin = book's overround · I = implied probability · NM = no-margin (de-vigged) probability · EV = expected value · E = edge · K = Kelly fraction · G = bankroll growth.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLos Angeles Dodgers (Local)San Diego Padres (Visit)Margin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.39I 71.94%3.33I 30.03%2.0%2026-07-03 17:55
Polymarket1.39I 71.94%3.23I 30.96%2.9%2026-07-03 18:10
Novig1.39I 71.94%3.23I 30.96%2.9%2026-07-03 19:53
Smarkets1.34I 74.63%2.84I 35.21%9.8%2026-07-03 19:10