Cleveland Guardians v Chicago White Sox

2026-07-04 23:11 — MLB

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (13 in analysis)

Option 1: Cleveland Guardians (Local)

Odds

1.6062.50%Min

1.6759.98%Mean

1.6759.88%Median

1.7258.14%Max

Consensus probabilities

55.70%1.795Min

58.23%1.717Max

57.16%1.749Mean

57.18%1.749Median

57.17%1.749IQM

57.27%1.746Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.72 under the IQM model: 57.17%

EV -1.67%Edge -0.972%Kelly -2.32%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Chicago White Sox (Visit)

Odds

2.0548.78%Min

2.2145.16%Mean

2.2045.45%Median

2.3342.92%Max

Consensus probabilities

41.77%2.394Min

44.30%2.257Max

42.84%2.335Mean

42.82%2.335Median

42.83%2.335IQM

42.73%2.340Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.33 under the IQM model: 42.83%

EV -0.201%Edge -0.086%Kelly -0.151%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Cleveland Guardians (Local) ▼	Chicago White Sox (Visit)	Margin	Updated
1xBet	1.72I 58.14% NM 56.89%EV -1.67% E -0.972% K -2.32% G +0.000%	2.27I 44.05% NM 43.11%EV -2.77% E -1.22% K -2.18% G +0.000%	2.2%	2026-07-03 18:00
Fliff	1.71I 58.48% NM 55.70%EV -2.24% E -1.31% K -3.16% G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51% NM 44.30%EV -7.91% E -3.68% K -6.88% G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-03 17:34
FanDuel	1.70I 58.82% NM 56.41%EV -2.81% E -1.66% K -4.02% G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45% NM 43.59%EV -5.77% E -2.62% K -4.81% G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-03 17:25
GTbets	1.69I 59.17% NM 57.96%EV -3.39% E -2.00% K -4.91% G +0.000%	2.33I 42.92% NM 42.04%EV -0.201% E -0.086% K -0.151% G +0.000%	2.1%	2026-07-03 18:20
BetOnline.ag	1.69I 59.17% NM 57.75%EV -3.39% E -2.00% K -4.91% G +0.000%	2.31I 43.29% NM 42.25%EV -1.06% E -0.458% K -0.807% G +0.000%	2.5%	2026-07-03 18:04
LowVig.ag	1.69I 59.17% NM 57.75%EV -3.39% E -2.00% K -4.91% G +0.000%	2.31I 43.29% NM 42.25%EV -1.06% E -0.458% K -0.807% G +0.000%	2.5%	2026-07-03 18:05
PlayUp	1.68I 59.52% NM 56.70%EV -3.96% E -2.36% K -5.82% G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45% NM 43.30%EV -5.77% E -2.62% K -4.81% G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-03 19:10
Betsson	1.68I 59.52% NM 56.48%EV -3.96% E -2.36% K -5.82% G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87% NM 43.52%EV -6.63% E -3.04% K -5.62% G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-03 19:30
NordicBet	1.68I 59.52% NM 56.48%EV -3.96% E -2.36% K -5.82% G +0.000%	2.18I 45.87% NM 43.52%EV -6.63% E -3.04% K -5.62% G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-03 19:30
SportsBet	1.68I 59.52% NM 56.14%EV -3.96% E -2.36% K -5.82% G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51% NM 43.86%EV -7.91% E -3.68% K -6.88% G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-07-03 17:30
PointsBet (AU)	1.67I 59.88% NM 57.93%EV -4.53% E -2.71% K -6.76% G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48% NM 42.07%EV -1.49% E -0.646% K -1.14% G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-07-03 19:05
Fanatics	1.67I 59.88% NM 57.40%EV -4.53% E -2.71% K -6.76% G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44% NM 42.60%EV -3.63% E -1.61% K -2.90% G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-03 18:05
DraftKings	1.67I 59.88% NM 57.18%EV -4.53% E -2.71% K -6.76% G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84% NM 42.82%EV -4.48% E -2.01% K -3.65% G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-07-03 19:25
Unibet (UK)	1.67I 59.88% NM 56.85%EV -4.53% E -2.71% K -6.76% G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45% NM 43.15%EV -5.77% E -2.62% K -4.81% G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-03 19:30
Bet Victor	1.67I 59.88% NM 56.85%EV -4.53% E -2.71% K -6.76% G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45% NM 43.15%EV -5.77% E -2.62% K -4.81% G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-03 19:30
William Hill	1.67I 59.88% NM 56.85%EV -4.53% E -2.71% K -6.76% G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45% NM 43.15%EV -5.77% E -2.62% K -4.81% G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-03 17:35
Betr (AU)	1.67I 59.88% NM 56.85%EV -4.53% E -2.71% K -6.76% G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45% NM 43.15%EV -5.77% E -2.62% K -4.81% G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-03 18:55
Paddy Power	1.67I 59.88% NM 56.28%EV -4.53% E -2.71% K -6.76% G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51% NM 43.72%EV -7.91% E -3.68% K -6.88% G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-07-03 17:30
Bet Right	1.66I 60.24% NM 57.44%EV -5.10% E -3.07% K -7.73% G +0.000%	2.24I 44.64% NM 42.56%EV -4.06% E -1.81% K -3.27% G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-07-03 19:10
Coolbet	1.66I 60.24% NM 57.33%EV -5.10% E -3.07% K -7.73% G +0.000%	2.23I 44.84% NM 42.67%EV -4.48% E -2.01% K -3.65% G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-03 19:10
Winamax (DE)	1.66I 60.24% NM 56.99%EV -5.10% E -3.07% K -7.73% G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45% NM 43.01%EV -5.77% E -2.62% K -4.81% G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-07-03 19:30
Betclic (FR)	1.66I 60.24% NM 56.88%EV -5.10% E -3.07% K -7.73% G +0.000%	2.19I 45.66% NM 43.12%EV -6.20% E -2.83% K -5.21% G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-07-03 19:29
Caesars	1.65I 60.61% NM 58.23%EV -5.67% E -3.44% K -8.73% G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48% NM 41.77%EV -1.49% E -0.646% K -1.14% G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-07-03 18:55
888sport	1.65I 60.61% NM 57.69%EV -5.67% E -3.44% K -8.73% G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44% NM 42.31%EV -3.63% E -1.61% K -2.90% G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-03 19:10
888sport (SE)	1.65I 60.61% NM 57.69%EV -5.67% E -3.44% K -8.73% G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44% NM 42.31%EV -3.63% E -1.61% K -2.90% G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-03 19:10
Mr Green (SE)	1.65I 60.61% NM 57.69%EV -5.67% E -3.44% K -8.73% G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44% NM 42.31%EV -3.63% E -1.61% K -2.90% G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-03 19:10
ReBet	1.62I 61.73% NM 57.03%EV -7.39% E -4.56% K -11.92% G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51% NM 42.97%EV -7.91% E -3.68% K -6.88% G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-07-03 19:29
Unibet (FR)	1.61I 62.11% NM 56.60%EV -7.96% E -4.94% K -13.05% G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62% NM 43.40%EV -10.05% E -4.79% K -9.14% G +0.000%	9.7%	2026-07-03 19:30
Winamax (FR)	1.60I 62.50% NM 56.16%EV -8.53% E -5.33% K -14.22% G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78% NM 43.84%EV -12.19% E -5.95% K -11.61% G +0.000%	11.3%	2026-07-03 19:30

Margin = book's overround · I = implied probability · NM = no-margin (de-vigged) probability · EV = expected value · E = edge · K = Kelly fraction · G = bankroll growth.

Exchanges (4)

Bookmaker	Cleveland Guardians (Local)	Chicago White Sox (Visit)	Margin ▲	Updated
Polymarket	1.75I 57.14%	2.27I 44.05%	1.2%	2026-07-03 19:35
Kalshi	1.75I 57.14%	2.22I 45.05%	2.2%	2026-07-03 17:30
Novig	1.69I 59.17%	2.27I 44.05%	3.2%	2026-07-03 19:53
Smarkets	1.61I 62.11%	2.08I 48.08%	10.2%	2026-07-03 19:30