The School of Odds

Cleveland Guardians v Chicago White Sox

2026-07-05 18:00 — MLB

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (19 in analysis)

Option 1: Cleveland Guardians (Local)

1.5763.69%Min
1.6361.17%Mean
1.6361.35%Median
1.6859.52%Max
57.64%1.735Min
60.25%1.660Max
58.26%1.717Mean
58.21%1.718Median
58.18%1.719IQM
58.26%1.717Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.68 under the IQM model: 58.18%

EV -2.26%Edge -1.34%Kelly -3.32%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Chicago White Sox (Visit)

2.1546.51%Min
2.2943.60%Mean
2.3043.48%Median
2.3842.02%Max
39.75%2.516Min
42.36%2.361Max
41.74%2.396Mean
41.79%2.393Median
41.82%2.391IQM
41.74%2.396Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.38 under the IQM model: 41.82%

EV -0.471%Edge -0.198%Kelly -0.342%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

BookmakerCleveland Guardians (Local) ▼Chicago White Sox (Visit)MarginUpdated
GTbets1.68I 59.52% NM 58.42%EV -2.26% E -1.34% K -3.32% G +0.000%2.36I 42.37% NM 41.58%EV -1.31% E -0.554% K -0.962% G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-04 21:15
1xBet1.68I 59.52% NM 58.31%EV -2.26% E -1.34% K -3.32% G +0.000%2.35I 42.55% NM 41.69%EV -1.73% E -0.734% K -1.28% G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-05 00:30
LowVig.ag1.68I 59.52% NM 58.21%EV -2.26% E -1.34% K -3.32% G +0.000%2.34I 42.74% NM 41.79%EV -2.14% E -0.916% K -1.60% G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-04 21:15
BetOnline.ag1.68I 59.52% NM 58.21%EV -2.26% E -1.34% K -3.32% G +0.000%2.34I 42.74% NM 41.79%EV -2.14% E -0.916% K -1.60% G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-04 21:15
BetUS1.68I 59.52% NM 58.10%EV -2.26% E -1.34% K -3.32% G +0.000%2.33I 42.92% NM 41.90%EV -2.56% E -1.10% K -1.93% G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-04 23:25
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52% NM 58.00%EV -2.26% E -1.34% K -3.32% G +0.000%2.32I 43.10% NM 42.00%EV -2.98% E -1.28% K -2.26% G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-05 02:40
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88% NM 57.93%EV -2.84% E -1.70% K -4.23% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 42.07%EV -3.82% E -1.66% K -2.94% G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-05 02:40
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88% NM 57.93%EV -2.84% E -1.70% K -4.23% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 42.07%EV -3.82% E -1.66% K -2.94% G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-04 23:40
BetAnything1.67I 59.88% NM 57.93%EV -2.84% E -1.70% K -4.23% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 42.07%EV -3.82% E -1.66% K -2.94% G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-05 02:10
Bovada1.66I 60.24% NM 57.76%EV -3.42% E -2.06% K -5.18% G +0.000%2.27I 44.05% NM 42.24%EV -5.07% E -2.23% K -3.99% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 02:35
Fanatics1.65I 60.61% NM 58.23%EV -4.00% E -2.42% K -6.16% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.77%EV -3.82% E -1.66% K -2.94% G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-04 21:15
Caesars1.65I 60.61% NM 58.23%EV -4.00% E -2.42% K -6.16% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.77%EV -3.82% E -1.66% K -2.94% G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-04 21:30
MyBookie.ag1.65I 60.61% NM 58.23%EV -4.00% E -2.42% K -6.16% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.77%EV -3.82% E -1.66% K -2.94% G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-04 22:08
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61% NM 58.23%EV -4.00% E -2.42% K -6.16% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.77%EV -3.82% E -1.66% K -2.94% G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-04 23:54
TAB1.65I 60.61% NM 58.23%EV -4.00% E -2.42% K -6.16% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.77%EV -3.82% E -1.66% K -2.94% G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-05 02:35
Fliff1.65I 60.61% NM 57.69%EV -4.00% E -2.42% K -6.16% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.31%EV -5.91% E -2.63% K -4.73% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 02:10
PlayUp1.65I 60.61% NM 57.69%EV -4.00% E -2.42% K -6.16% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.31%EV -5.91% E -2.63% K -4.73% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 02:00
BetMGM1.65I 60.61% NM 57.69%EV -4.00% E -2.42% K -6.16% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.31%EV -5.91% E -2.63% K -4.73% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 22:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61% NM 57.69%EV -4.00% E -2.42% K -6.16% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.31%EV -5.91% E -2.63% K -4.73% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 22:05
Coral1.65I 60.61% NM 57.69%EV -4.00% E -2.42% K -6.16% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.31%EV -5.91% E -2.63% K -4.73% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 22:05
Neds1.65I 60.61% NM 57.69%EV -4.00% E -2.42% K -6.16% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.31%EV -5.91% E -2.63% K -4.73% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 22:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61% NM 57.69%EV -4.00% E -2.42% K -6.16% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.31%EV -5.91% E -2.63% K -4.73% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 22:05
DraftKings1.64I 60.98% NM 58.27%EV -4.58% E -2.79% K -7.16% G +0.000%2.29I 43.67% NM 41.73%EV -4.24% E -1.85% K -3.28% G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 22:05
Bet Right1.64I 60.98% NM 58.16%EV -4.58% E -2.79% K -7.16% G +0.000%2.28I 43.86% NM 41.84%EV -4.65% E -2.04% K -3.64% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-04 21:40
Unibet (UK)1.64I 60.98% NM 58.06%EV -4.58% E -2.79% K -7.16% G +0.000%2.27I 44.05% NM 41.94%EV -5.07% E -2.23% K -3.99% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 22:05
Coolbet1.64I 60.98% NM 58.06%EV -4.58% E -2.79% K -7.16% G +0.000%2.27I 44.05% NM 41.94%EV -5.07% E -2.23% K -3.99% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 02:15
Unibet (NL)1.63I 61.35% NM 58.84%EV -5.16% E -3.17% K -8.20% G +0.000%2.33I 42.92% NM 41.16%EV -2.56% E -1.10% K -1.93% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 01:00
Unibet (SE)1.63I 61.35% NM 58.84%EV -5.16% E -3.17% K -8.20% G +0.000%2.33I 42.92% NM 41.16%EV -2.56% E -1.10% K -1.93% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 00:59
Svenska Spel1.63I 61.35% NM 58.84%EV -5.16% E -3.17% K -8.20% G +0.000%2.33I 42.92% NM 41.16%EV -2.56% E -1.10% K -1.93% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 01:00
Marathon Bet1.63I 61.35% NM 58.31%EV -5.16% E -3.17% K -8.20% G +0.000%2.28I 43.86% NM 41.69%EV -4.65% E -2.04% K -3.64% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 00:20
NordicBet1.63I 61.35% NM 58.21%EV -5.16% E -3.17% K -8.20% G +0.000%2.27I 44.05% NM 41.79%EV -5.07% E -2.23% K -3.99% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 21:20
Betsson1.63I 61.35% NM 58.21%EV -5.16% E -3.17% K -8.20% G +0.000%2.27I 44.05% NM 41.79%EV -5.07% E -2.23% K -3.99% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 21:20
Casumo1.62I 61.73% NM 58.88%EV -5.75% E -3.55% K -9.27% G +0.000%2.32I 43.10% NM 41.12%EV -2.98% E -1.28% K -2.26% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 01:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.62I 61.73% NM 58.88%EV -5.75% E -3.55% K -9.27% G +0.000%2.32I 43.10% NM 41.12%EV -2.98% E -1.28% K -2.26% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 01:00
Unibet1.62I 61.73% NM 58.88%EV -5.75% E -3.55% K -9.27% G +0.000%2.32I 43.10% NM 41.12%EV -2.98% E -1.28% K -2.26% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 01:00
ATG (SE)1.62I 61.73% NM 58.88%EV -5.75% E -3.55% K -9.27% G +0.000%2.32I 43.10% NM 41.12%EV -2.98% E -1.28% K -2.26% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 01:00
Bally Bet1.62I 61.73% NM 58.88%EV -5.75% E -3.55% K -9.27% G +0.000%2.32I 43.10% NM 41.12%EV -2.98% E -1.28% K -2.26% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 01:00
betPARX1.62I 61.73% NM 58.88%EV -5.75% E -3.55% K -9.27% G +0.000%2.32I 43.10% NM 41.12%EV -2.98% E -1.28% K -2.26% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 01:05
Betway1.62I 61.73% NM 58.67%EV -5.75% E -3.55% K -9.27% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.33%EV -3.82% E -1.66% K -2.94% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 21:30
888sport1.62I 61.73% NM 58.67%EV -5.75% E -3.55% K -9.27% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.33%EV -3.82% E -1.66% K -2.94% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 21:30
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73% NM 58.67%EV -5.75% E -3.55% K -9.27% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.33%EV -3.82% E -1.66% K -2.94% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 21:15
888sport (SE)1.62I 61.73% NM 58.67%EV -5.75% E -3.55% K -9.27% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.33%EV -3.82% E -1.66% K -2.94% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 21:30
Mr Green (SE)1.62I 61.73% NM 58.67%EV -5.75% E -3.55% K -9.27% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.33%EV -3.82% E -1.66% K -2.94% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 21:30
William Hill1.62I 61.73% NM 58.67%EV -5.75% E -3.55% K -9.27% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.33%EV -3.82% E -1.66% K -2.94% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 21:55
LiveScore Bet1.62I 61.73% NM 58.67%EV -5.75% E -3.55% K -9.27% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.33%EV -3.82% E -1.66% K -2.94% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 01:00
BetRivers1.62I 61.73% NM 58.67%EV -5.75% E -3.55% K -9.27% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.33%EV -3.82% E -1.66% K -2.94% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 01:00
Virgin Bet1.62I 61.73% NM 58.67%EV -5.75% E -3.55% K -9.27% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.33%EV -3.82% E -1.66% K -2.94% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 01:00
TABtouch1.62I 61.73% NM 58.67%EV -5.75% E -3.55% K -9.27% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.33%EV -3.82% E -1.66% K -2.94% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 01:00
Betclic (FR)1.62I 61.73% NM 58.14%EV -5.75% E -3.55% K -9.27% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 41.86%EV -5.91% E -2.63% K -4.73% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 21:38
ReBet1.62I 61.73% NM 58.14%EV -5.75% E -3.55% K -9.27% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 41.86%EV -5.91% E -2.63% K -4.73% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 22:05
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73% NM 58.14%EV -5.75% E -3.55% K -9.27% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 41.86%EV -5.91% E -2.63% K -4.73% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 22:05
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73% NM 58.14%EV -5.75% E -3.55% K -9.27% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 41.86%EV -5.91% E -2.63% K -4.73% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 00:04
FanDuel1.61I 62.11% NM 59.65%EV -6.33% E -3.93% K -10.37% G +0.000%2.38I 42.02% NM 40.35%EV -0.471% E -0.198% K -0.342% G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-05 02:35
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11% NM 58.29%EV -6.33% E -3.93% K -10.37% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 41.71%EV -5.91% E -2.63% K -4.73% G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-05 01:03
Grosvenor1.60I 62.50% NM 58.76%EV -6.91% E -4.32% K -11.52% G +0.000%2.28I 43.86% NM 41.24%EV -4.65% E -2.04% K -3.64% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 01:00
Unibet (FR)1.60I 62.50% NM 57.89%EV -6.91% E -4.32% K -11.52% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 42.11%EV -8.00% E -3.64% K -6.67% G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-05 00:04
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29% NM 57.64%EV -8.07% E -5.11% K -13.92% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 42.36%EV -10.09% E -4.69% K -8.77% G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-04 22:05
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69% NM 60.25%EV -8.66% E -5.51% K -15.18% G +0.000%2.38I 42.02% NM 39.75%EV -0.471% E -0.198% K -0.342% G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-05 02:40
SportsBet1.57I 63.69% NM 59.95%EV -8.66% E -5.51% K -15.18% G +0.000%2.35I 42.55% NM 40.05%EV -1.73% E -0.734% K -1.28% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 02:35
Margin = book's overround · I = implied probability · NM = no-margin (de-vigged) probability · EV = expected value · E = edge · K = Kelly fraction · G = bankroll growth.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerCleveland Guardians (Local)Chicago White Sox (Visit)Margin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%2.38I 42.02%1.2%2026-07-05 02:40
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%2.38I 42.02%1.2%2026-07-05 00:20
Novig1.69I 59.17%2.38I 42.02%1.2%2026-07-05 02:31
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%2.34I 42.74%2.3%2026-07-05 02:35
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%2.24I 44.64%5.6%2026-07-05 02:45
Smarkets1.59I 62.89%2.16I 46.30%9.2%2026-07-05 02:50