The School of OddsMarseille v Strasbourg
Head to Head
Option 1: Marseille (Local)
Odds
1.5863.29%Min
1.6859.65%Mean
1.6759.88%Median
1.7955.87%Max
Consensus probabilities
53.58%1.866Min
56.27%1.777Max
55.03%1.817Mean
54.83%1.824Median
54.81%1.824IQM
55.13%1.814Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 1.79 under the IQM model: 54.81%
EV -1.89%Edge -1.05%Kelly -2.39%Growth +0.000%
Option 2: Strasbourg (Visit)
Odds
3.5528.17%Min
4.0624.65%Mean
4.0524.69%Median
4.4422.52%Max
Consensus probabilities
22.19%4.506Min
23.85%4.194Max
22.59%4.428Mean
22.58%4.428Median
22.59%4.426IQM
22.56%4.433Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 4.44 under the IQM model: 22.59%
EV +0.319%Edge +0.072%Kelly +0.093%Growth +0.000%
Option 3: Draw
Odds
3.7526.67%Min
4.1524.11%Mean
4.2023.81%Median
4.4022.73%Max
Consensus probabilities
21.36%4.682Min
22.77%4.391Max
22.38%4.468Mean
22.58%4.428Median
22.59%4.426IQM
22.31%4.482Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 4.40 under the IQM model: 22.59%
EV -0.585%Edge -0.133%Kelly -0.172%Growth +0.000%
Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Marseille (Local) | Strasbourg (Visit) ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.79I 55.87% NM 55.05%EV -1.89% E -1.05% K -2.39% G +0.000% | 4.44I 22.52% NM 22.19%EV +0.319% E +0.072% K +0.093% G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09% NM 22.76%EV -2.17% E -0.500% K -0.651% G +0.000% | 1.5% | 2026-07-03 14:40 |
| SportsBet | 1.71I 58.48% NM 55.84%EV -6.27% E -3.67% K -8.83% G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53% NM 22.47%EV -3.97% E -0.935% K -1.22% G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73% NM 21.70%EV -0.585% E -0.133% K -0.172% G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-03 13:35 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV -5.18% E -2.99% K -7.09% G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81% NM 22.58%EV -5.10% E -1.22% K -1.59% G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81% NM 22.58%EV -5.10% E -1.22% K -1.59% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-03 14:40 |
| betfred_uk | 1.70I 58.82% NM 55.64%EV -6.82% E -4.01% K -9.74% G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81% NM 22.52%EV -5.10% E -1.22% K -1.59% G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09% NM 21.84%EV -2.17% E -0.500% K -0.651% G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-03 14:54 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.70I 58.82% NM 55.55%EV -6.82% E -4.01% K -9.74% G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81% NM 22.49%EV -5.10% E -1.22% K -1.59% G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26% NM 21.96%EV -2.84% E -0.661% K -0.862% G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-03 14:50 |
| FanDuel | 1.67I 59.88% NM 56.27%EV -8.47% E -5.07% K -12.63% G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81% NM 22.37%EV -5.10% E -1.22% K -1.59% G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73% NM 21.36%EV -0.585% E -0.133% K -0.172% G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-03 14:55 |
| Bet Victor | 1.67I 59.88% NM 55.11%EV -8.47% E -5.07% K -12.63% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 22.45%EV -7.36% E -1.80% K -2.38% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 22.45%EV -7.36% E -1.80% K -2.38% G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-03 15:43 |
| Sky Bet | 1.70I 58.82% NM 54.65%EV -6.82% E -4.01% K -9.74% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.23%EV -9.62% E -2.41% K -3.21% G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81% NM 22.12%EV -5.10% E -1.22% K -1.59% G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-03 13:35 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88% NM 55.09%EV -8.47% E -5.07% K -12.63% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.00%EV -9.62% E -2.41% K -3.21% G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81% NM 21.91%EV -5.10% E -1.22% K -1.59% G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-03 15:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.67I 59.88% NM 54.50%EV -8.47% E -5.07% K -12.63% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 22.75%EV -9.62% E -2.41% K -3.21% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 22.75%EV -9.62% E -2.41% K -3.21% G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-03 13:35 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.66I 60.24% NM 54.63%EV -9.01% E -5.43% K -13.66% G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64% NM 23.25%EV -11.88% E -3.05% K -4.10% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 22.12%EV -7.36% E -1.80% K -2.38% G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-03 13:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.61I 62.11% NM 54.78%EV -11.75% E -7.30% K -19.27% G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64% NM 22.61%EV -11.88% E -3.05% K -4.10% G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64% NM 22.61%EV -11.88% E -3.05% K -4.10% G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-07-03 15:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.61I 62.11% NM 54.46%EV -11.75% E -7.30% K -19.27% G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97% NM 22.77%EV -13.01% E -3.38% K -4.57% G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97% NM 22.77%EV -13.01% E -3.38% K -4.57% G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-07-03 15:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.58I 63.29% NM 53.58%EV -13.40% E -8.48% K -23.10% G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17% NM 23.85%EV -19.79% E -5.57% K -7.76% G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67% NM 22.57%EV -15.27% E -4.07% K -5.55% G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-07-03 13:35 |
Margin = book's overround · I = implied probability · NM = no-margin (de-vigged) probability · EV = expected value · E = edge · K = Kelly fraction · G = bankroll growth.