The School of Odds

El Paso Chihuahuas v Sacramento River Cats

2026-07-05 00:35 — MiLB

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (5 in analysis)

Option 1: El Paso Chihuahuas (Local)

1.8055.56%Min
1.8454.35%Mean
1.8454.35%Median
1.8753.48%Max
50.00%2.000Min
52.00%1.923Max
50.96%1.962Mean
51.07%1.958Median
50.93%1.963IQM
50.98%1.962Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.87 under the IQM model: 50.93%

EV -4.75%Edge -2.54%Kelly -5.46%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Sacramento River Cats (Visit)

1.8554.05%Min
1.9052.70%Mean
1.9152.36%Median
1.9551.28%Max
48.00%2.083Min
50.00%2.000Max
49.04%2.039Mean
48.93%2.044Median
49.07%2.038IQM
49.02%2.040Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.95 under the IQM model: 49.07%

EV -4.32%Edge -2.22%Kelly -4.55%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

BookmakerEl Paso Chihuahuas (Local) ▼Sacramento River Cats (Visit)MarginUpdated
Bovada1.87I 53.48% NM 50.00%EV -4.75% E -2.54% K -5.46% G +0.000%1.87I 53.48% NM 50.00%EV -8.25% E -4.41% K -9.48% G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 13:43
FanDuel1.86I 53.76% NM 50.66%EV -5.26% E -2.83% K -6.12% G +0.000%1.91I 52.36% NM 49.34%EV -6.28% E -3.29% K -6.91% G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 18:00
1xBet1.85I 54.05% NM 50.27%EV -5.77% E -3.12% K -6.79% G +0.000%1.87I 53.48% NM 49.73%EV -8.25% E -4.41% K -9.48% G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 18:35
BetRivers1.85I 54.05% NM 50.00%EV -5.77% E -3.12% K -6.79% G +0.000%1.85I 54.05% NM 50.00%EV -9.23% E -4.99% K -10.86% G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-04 12:50
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64% NM 51.07%EV -6.79% E -3.71% K -8.18% G +0.000%1.91I 52.36% NM 48.93%EV -6.28% E -3.29% K -6.91% G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 18:00
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64% NM 51.07%EV -6.79% E -3.71% K -8.18% G +0.000%1.91I 52.36% NM 48.93%EV -6.28% E -3.29% K -6.91% G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 18:39
Caesars1.83I 54.64% NM 51.07%EV -6.79% E -3.71% K -8.18% G +0.000%1.91I 52.36% NM 48.93%EV -6.28% E -3.29% K -6.91% G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-04 17:58
BetOnline.ag1.80I 55.56% NM 52.00%EV -8.32% E -4.62% K -10.40% G +0.000%1.95I 51.28% NM 48.00%EV -4.32% E -2.22% K -4.55% G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-04 18:00
Margin = book's overround · I = implied probability · NM = no-margin (de-vigged) probability · EV = expected value · E = edge · K = Kelly fraction · G = bankroll growth.