The School of Odds

Chris Morris v Joshua Onwordi

2026-07-04 17:35 — MMA

Head to Head

1 sportsbooks (1 in analysis)

Option 1: Chris Morris (Local)

1.2977.52%Min
1.2977.52%Mean
1.2977.52%Median
1.2977.52%Max
74.90%1.335Min
74.90%1.335Max
74.90%1.335Mean
74.90%1.335Median
74.90%1.335IQM
74.90%1.335Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.29 under the IQM model: 74.90%

EV -3.38%Edge -2.62%Kelly -11.64%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Joshua Onwordi (Visit)

3.8525.97%Min
3.8525.97%Mean
3.8525.97%Median
3.8525.97%Max
25.10%3.984Min
25.10%3.984Max
25.10%3.984Mean
25.10%3.984Median
25.10%3.984IQM
25.10%3.984Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.85 under the IQM model: 25.10%

EV -3.38%Edge -0.877%Kelly -1.18%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbooks)

BookmakerChris Morris (Local) ▼Joshua Onwordi (Visit)MarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag1.29I 77.52% NM 74.90%EV -3.38% E -2.62% K -11.64% G +0.000%3.85I 25.97% NM 25.10%EV -3.38% E -0.877% K -1.18% G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-03 23:15
Margin = book's overround · I = implied probability · NM = no-margin (de-vigged) probability · EV = expected value · E = edge · K = Kelly fraction · G = bankroll growth.