The School of OddsFC Lahti v HJK Helsinki
Head to Head
Option 1: FC Lahti (Local)
Odds
2.9533.90%Min
3.1931.31%Mean
3.2331.01%Median
3.3030.30%Max
Consensus probabilities
27.85%3.590Min
30.05%3.328Max
28.98%3.450Mean
28.81%3.472Median
28.92%3.458IQM
28.99%3.449Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 3.30 under the IQM model: 28.92%
EV -4.56%Edge -1.38%Kelly -1.98%Growth +0.000%
Option 2: HJK Helsinki (Visit)
Odds
1.8354.64%Min
1.9950.24%Mean
2.0050.00%Median
2.0748.31%Max
Consensus probabilities
44.97%2.224Min
47.13%2.122Max
46.02%2.173Mean
46.09%2.170Median
46.09%2.170IQM
46.05%2.171Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 2.07 under the IQM model: 46.09%
EV -4.59%Edge -2.22%Kelly -4.29%Growth +0.000%
Option 3: Draw
Odds
3.3030.30%Min
3.5628.11%Mean
3.5528.17%Median
3.9025.64%Max
Consensus probabilities
23.72%4.215Min
26.69%3.746Max
24.99%4.002Mean
25.11%3.983Median
24.99%4.002IQM
24.95%4.007Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 3.90 under the IQM model: 24.99%
EV -2.54%Edge -0.650%Kelly -0.875%Growth +0.000%
Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | FC Lahti (Local) ▼ | HJK Helsinki (Visit) | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casumo | 3.30I 30.30% NM 27.85%EV -4.56% E -1.38% K -1.98% G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50% NM 45.50%EV -6.90% E -3.42% K -6.76% G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99% NM 26.64%EV -13.78% E -3.99% K -5.63% G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-04 12:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.30I 30.30% NM 27.85%EV -4.56% E -1.38% K -1.98% G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50% NM 45.50%EV -6.90% E -3.42% K -6.76% G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99% NM 26.64%EV -13.78% E -3.99% K -5.63% G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-04 12:20 |
| TABtouch | 3.30I 30.30% NM 27.85%EV -4.56% E -1.38% K -1.98% G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50% NM 45.50%EV -6.90% E -3.42% K -6.76% G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99% NM 26.64%EV -13.78% E -3.99% K -5.63% G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-04 12:20 |
| Unibet | 3.30I 30.30% NM 27.85%EV -4.56% E -1.38% K -1.98% G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50% NM 45.50%EV -6.90% E -3.42% K -6.76% G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99% NM 26.64%EV -13.78% E -3.99% K -5.63% G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-04 12:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.30I 30.30% NM 27.85%EV -4.56% E -1.38% K -1.98% G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50% NM 45.50%EV -6.90% E -3.42% K -6.76% G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99% NM 26.64%EV -13.78% E -3.99% K -5.63% G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-04 12:20 |
| Grosvenor | 3.30I 30.30% NM 27.85%EV -4.56% E -1.38% K -1.98% G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50% NM 45.50%EV -6.90% E -3.42% K -6.76% G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99% NM 26.64%EV -13.78% E -3.99% K -5.63% G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-04 12:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.30I 30.30% NM 27.85%EV -4.56% E -1.38% K -1.98% G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50% NM 45.50%EV -6.90% E -3.42% K -6.76% G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99% NM 26.64%EV -13.78% E -3.99% K -5.63% G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-04 12:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.30I 30.30% NM 27.85%EV -4.56% E -1.38% K -1.98% G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50% NM 45.50%EV -6.90% E -3.42% K -6.76% G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99% NM 26.64%EV -13.78% E -3.99% K -5.63% G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-04 12:20 |
| betPARX | 3.30I 30.30% NM 27.85%EV -4.56% E -1.38% K -1.98% G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50% NM 45.50%EV -6.90% E -3.42% K -6.76% G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99% NM 26.64%EV -13.78% E -3.99% K -5.63% G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-04 12:19 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.28I 30.49% NM 28.45%EV -5.14% E -1.57% K -2.26% G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51% NM 47.13%EV -8.74% E -4.42% K -8.92% G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18% NM 24.43%EV -4.54% E -1.19% K -1.61% G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-04 14:44 |
| 1xBet | 3.27I 30.58% NM 28.64%EV -5.43% E -1.66% K -2.39% G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00% NM 46.83%EV -7.82% E -3.91% K -7.82% G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18% NM 24.52%EV -4.54% E -1.19% K -1.61% G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-04 14:45 |
| NordicBet | 3.25I 30.77% NM 28.68%EV -6.01% E -1.85% K -2.67% G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50% NM 46.14%EV -6.90% E -3.42% K -6.76% G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03% NM 25.19%EV -7.54% E -2.04% K -2.79% G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 15:00 |
| Betsson | 3.25I 30.77% NM 28.68%EV -6.01% E -1.85% K -2.67% G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50% NM 46.14%EV -6.90% E -3.42% K -6.76% G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03% NM 25.19%EV -7.54% E -2.04% K -2.79% G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 15:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.25I 30.77% NM 28.16%EV -6.01% E -1.85% K -2.67% G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50% NM 45.31%EV -6.90% E -3.42% K -6.76% G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99% NM 26.53%EV -13.78% E -3.99% K -5.63% G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-04 12:20 |
| BetRivers | 3.25I 30.77% NM 28.16%EV -6.01% E -1.85% K -2.67% G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50% NM 45.31%EV -6.90% E -3.42% K -6.76% G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99% NM 26.53%EV -13.78% E -3.99% K -5.63% G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-04 12:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.25I 30.77% NM 27.93%EV -6.01% E -1.85% K -2.67% G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00% NM 45.38%EV -7.82% E -3.91% K -7.82% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 26.69%EV -15.03% E -4.42% K -6.26% G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-04 12:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.25I 30.77% NM 27.93%EV -6.01% E -1.85% K -2.67% G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00% NM 45.38%EV -7.82% E -3.91% K -7.82% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 26.69%EV -15.03% E -4.42% K -6.26% G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-04 12:20 |
| Pinnacle | 3.20I 31.25% NM 29.71%EV -7.46% E -2.33% K -3.39% G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31% NM 45.92%EV -4.59% E -2.22% K -4.29% G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64% NM 24.37%EV -2.54% E -0.650% K -0.875% G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 14:45 |
| SportsBet | 3.20I 31.25% NM 28.86%EV -7.46% E -2.33% K -3.39% G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00% NM 46.18%EV -7.82% E -3.91% K -7.82% G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03% NM 24.96%EV -7.54% E -2.04% K -2.79% G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-04 14:45 |
| FanDuel | 3.20I 31.25% NM 28.86%EV -7.46% E -2.33% K -3.39% G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00% NM 46.18%EV -7.82% E -3.91% K -7.82% G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03% NM 24.96%EV -7.54% E -2.04% K -2.79% G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-04 14:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.20I 31.25% NM 28.66%EV -7.46% E -2.33% K -3.39% G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00% NM 45.86%EV -7.82% E -3.91% K -7.82% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.48%EV -10.03% E -2.79% K -3.86% G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-04 14:50 |
| Bet Right | 3.20I 31.25% NM 28.63%EV -7.46% E -2.33% K -3.39% G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51% NM 46.27%EV -8.74% E -4.42% K -8.92% G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40% NM 25.10%EV -8.78% E -2.41% K -3.31% G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-04 14:45 |
| LeoVegas | 3.15I 31.75% NM 28.75%EV -8.90% E -2.83% K -4.14% G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28% NM 46.44%EV -10.13% E -5.19% K -10.66% G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40% NM 24.81%EV -8.78% E -2.41% K -3.31% G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-04 14:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.15I 31.75% NM 27.88%EV -8.90% E -2.83% K -4.14% G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81% NM 45.51%EV -11.05% E -5.72% K -11.88% G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30% NM 26.61%EV -17.53% E -5.31% K -7.62% G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-04 12:20 |
| 888sport | 3.10I 32.26% NM 29.32%EV -10.35% E -3.34% K -4.93% G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00% NM 45.44%EV -7.82% E -3.91% K -7.82% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.24%EV -10.03% E -2.79% K -3.86% G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-04 15:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.10I 32.26% NM 29.32%EV -10.35% E -3.34% K -4.93% G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00% NM 45.44%EV -7.82% E -3.91% K -7.82% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.24%EV -10.03% E -2.79% K -3.86% G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-04 15:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.10I 32.26% NM 29.32%EV -10.35% E -3.34% K -4.93% G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00% NM 45.44%EV -7.82% E -3.91% K -7.82% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.24%EV -10.03% E -2.79% K -3.86% G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-04 15:00 |
| William Hill | 3.10I 32.26% NM 29.32%EV -10.35% E -3.34% K -4.93% G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00% NM 45.44%EV -7.82% E -3.91% K -7.82% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.24%EV -10.03% E -2.79% K -3.86% G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-04 15:00 |
| betfred_uk | 3.10I 32.26% NM 28.98%EV -10.35% E -3.34% K -4.93% G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28% NM 46.07%EV -10.13% E -5.19% K -10.66% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 24.95%EV -10.03% E -2.79% K -3.86% G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-04 14:43 |
| Paddy Power | 3.10I 32.26% NM 28.98%EV -10.35% E -3.34% K -4.93% G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28% NM 46.07%EV -10.13% E -5.19% K -10.66% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 24.95%EV -10.03% E -2.79% K -3.86% G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-04 14:45 |
| Betway | 3.00I 33.33% NM 30.05%EV -13.24% E -4.41% K -6.62% G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28% NM 46.23%EV -10.13% E -5.19% K -10.66% G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32% NM 23.72%EV -5.04% E -1.33% K -1.80% G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-04 14:45 |
| Sky Bet | 3.00I 33.33% NM 29.23%EV -13.24% E -4.41% K -6.62% G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28% NM 44.97%EV -10.13% E -5.19% K -10.66% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 25.79%EV -15.03% E -4.42% K -6.26% G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-04 14:45 |
| BoyleSports | 3.00I 33.33% NM 28.89%EV -13.24% E -4.41% K -6.62% G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48% NM 46.35%EV -13.81% E -7.39% K -15.88% G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57% NM 24.76%EV -12.53% E -3.58% K -5.01% G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-07-04 14:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.95I 33.90% NM 28.63%EV -14.69% E -4.98% K -7.53% G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64% NM 46.16%EV -15.66% E -8.56% K -18.86% G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85% NM 25.21%EV -16.28% E -4.86% K -6.93% G +0.000% | 18.4% | 2026-07-04 14:50 |
Margin = book's overround · I = implied probability · NM = no-margin (de-vigged) probability · EV = expected value · E = edge · K = Kelly fraction · G = bankroll growth.