The School of OddsSport Recife v Botafogo
Head to Head
Option 1: Sport Recife (Local)
Odds
1.8155.25%Min
1.8853.32%Mean
1.9152.36%Median
1.9152.36%Max
Consensus probabilities
48.39%2.066Min
48.89%2.045Max
48.44%2.064Mean
48.44%2.064Median
48.44%2.064IQM
48.44%2.064Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 1.91 under the IQM model: 48.44%
EV -7.48%Edge -3.92%Kelly -8.22%Growth +0.000%
Option 2: Botafogo (Visit)
Odds
3.6527.40%Min
3.8426.03%Mean
3.9525.32%Median
3.9525.32%Max
Consensus probabilities
23.64%4.230Min
24.05%4.157Max
23.96%4.173Mean
23.96%4.173Median
23.96%4.173IQM
23.96%4.173Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 3.95 under the IQM model: 23.96%
EV -5.34%Edge -1.35%Kelly -1.81%Growth +0.000%
Option 3: Draw
Odds
3.2031.25%Min
3.3230.09%Mean
3.4029.41%Median
3.4029.41%Max
Consensus probabilities
27.44%3.645Min
27.67%3.613Max
27.60%3.624Mean
27.60%3.624Median
27.60%3.624IQM
27.60%3.624Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 3.40 under the IQM model: 27.60%
EV -6.17%Edge -1.82%Kelly -2.57%Growth +0.000%
Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Sport Recife (Local) ▼ | Botafogo (Visit) | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 1.91I 52.36% NM 48.89%EV -7.48% E -3.92% K -8.22% G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32% NM 23.64%EV -5.34% E -1.35% K -1.81% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 27.47%EV -6.17% E -1.82% K -2.57% G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-03 23:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.91I 52.36% NM 48.89%EV -7.48% E -3.92% K -8.22% G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32% NM 23.64%EV -5.34% E -1.35% K -1.81% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 27.47%EV -6.17% E -1.82% K -2.57% G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-03 23:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.91I 52.36% NM 48.89%EV -7.48% E -3.92% K -8.22% G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32% NM 23.64%EV -5.34% E -1.35% K -1.81% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 27.47%EV -6.17% E -1.82% K -2.57% G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-03 23:10 |
| Casumo | 1.91I 52.36% NM 48.89%EV -7.48% E -3.92% K -8.22% G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32% NM 23.64%EV -5.34% E -1.35% K -1.81% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 27.47%EV -6.17% E -1.82% K -2.57% G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-03 23:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.91I 52.36% NM 48.89%EV -7.48% E -3.92% K -8.22% G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32% NM 23.64%EV -5.34% E -1.35% K -1.81% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 27.47%EV -6.17% E -1.82% K -2.57% G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-03 23:09 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.91I 52.36% NM 48.89%EV -7.48% E -3.92% K -8.22% G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32% NM 23.64%EV -5.34% E -1.35% K -1.81% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 27.47%EV -6.17% E -1.82% K -2.57% G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-03 23:10 |
| betPARX | 1.91I 52.36% NM 48.89%EV -7.48% E -3.92% K -8.22% G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32% NM 23.64%EV -5.34% E -1.35% K -1.81% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 27.47%EV -6.17% E -1.82% K -2.57% G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-03 23:09 |
| BetRivers | 1.88I 53.19% NM 48.44%EV -8.93% E -4.75% K -10.15% G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32% NM 23.96%EV -8.93% E -2.35% K -3.19% G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30% NM 27.60%EV -8.93% E -2.71% K -3.88% G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-03 23:09 |
| Grosvenor | 1.85I 54.05% NM 48.48%EV -10.39% E -5.61% K -12.22% G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67% NM 23.92%EV -10.13% E -2.70% K -3.68% G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77% NM 27.60%EV -10.31% E -3.17% K -4.58% G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-03 23:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.83I 54.64% NM 48.75%EV -11.36% E -6.21% K -13.68% G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67% NM 23.79%EV -10.13% E -2.70% K -3.68% G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77% NM 27.45%EV -10.31% E -3.17% K -4.58% G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-03 23:10 |
| TABtouch | 1.83I 54.64% NM 48.39%EV -11.36% E -6.21% K -13.68% G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03% NM 23.93%EV -11.33% E -3.06% K -4.20% G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25% NM 27.67%EV -11.69% E -3.65% K -5.32% G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-07-03 23:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.81I 55.25% NM 48.51%EV -12.32% E -6.81% K -15.22% G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40% NM 24.05%EV -12.53% E -3.43% K -4.73% G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25% NM 27.44%EV -11.69% E -3.65% K -5.32% G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-03 23:09 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.81I 55.25% NM 48.51%EV -12.32% E -6.81% K -15.22% G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40% NM 24.05%EV -12.53% E -3.43% K -4.73% G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25% NM 27.44%EV -11.69% E -3.65% K -5.32% G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-03 23:10 |
Margin = book's overround · I = implied probability · NM = no-margin (de-vigged) probability · EV = expected value · E = edge · K = Kelly fraction · G = bankroll growth.